Wolves vs Sunderland
Match recap
Wolves and Sunderland drew 1–1 in their Premier League fixture. Bueno scored for Wolves; Mukiele replied for Sunderland. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.78 for Wolves versus 0.64 for Sunderland. Wolves sit 20th in the Premier League table while Sunderland are 7th.
Analysis
Wolves host Sunderland in what promises to be a tightly contested fixture in the regular season. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and this match looks set to continue that trend with a balanced outcome.
Wolves sit precariously at 20th with just 17 points, while Sunderland enjoy a more comfortable 12th place with 46 points. Historically, their encounters have been competitive, with Wolves winning three times, Sunderland twice, and two draws in seven meetings. The average goals per match between them is 2.4, hinting at a modest scoring affair.
Wolves' attacker T. Arokodare is in decent form, scoring three goals this season and showing good minutes per game, making him a key threat. Sunderland's attacking options are somewhat hampered by injuries to key players like Brobbey, reducing their goal-scoring potential. Wolves' defensive discipline could be tested due to Krejčí's injury and card history, while Sunderland's midfield creativity is impacted by the absence of G. Xhaka. Both teams are likely to cancel each other out, leading to a low-scoring draw.
Prediction
The prediction is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime score of 0-0. The match is expected to be competitive but balanced, with four cards likely to be shown as both sides fight hard for points. Confidence in this outcome stands at 44%, reflecting the evenly matched nature of the contest.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Arokodare's scoring form vs Sunderland's defense
Arokodare's recent scoring and minutes suggest he can exploit Sunderland's defensive vulnerabilities.
Absence of João Gomes weakens Wolves' midfield
João Gomes' injury reduces Wolves' defensive midfield control and tackling strength.
Møller Wolfe's assist potential from defense
Møller Wolfe exceeds league average assists for defenders, enhancing Wolves' chance creation.
Sunderland's key attackers injury concerns
Brobbey and Isidor's injuries limit Sunderland's attacking threat, reducing goal scoring potential.
Wolves' defensive discipline risk with Krejčí
Krejčí's disciplinary issues and injury may affect Wolves' defensive stability and risk conceding.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Wolves and Sunderland are set for a stalemate, each sharing a point after a disciplined and closely fought game. Fans should expect a tactical battle with moments of attacking promise but ultimately a draw that reflects their current form and standings.
- Wolves have won 3 of 7 meetings against Sunderland, who have won 2, with 2 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, aligning with the predicted 1-1 scoreline.
- Sunderland rank 12th with 46 points; Wolves are 20th with 17 points.
- T. Arokodare has scored 3 goals in 29 appearances, showing good recent form away from home.
- Sunderland's top scorer Brobbey is injury doubtful, limiting their attacking threat.
- Wolves' defender Krejčí's injury and disciplinary record may affect defensive stability.
- Sunderland's creative midfielder G. Xhaka is injured, impacting their attacking creativity.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Wolves
Away — Sunderland
No standout top scorers flagged for Sunderland
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mukiele
Assist: Xhaka
Ballard
Red Card
Brobbey
Yellow Card
Pedro Lima
Bueno
Assist: Bueno
Xhaka
Yellow Card
Sadiki
Reinildo
Brobbey
Bueno
Cirkin
Yellow Card
Roefs
Yellow Card
Arokodare
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
| 20 |  Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -41 | 20 |
Match Statistics
Wolves
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3Hugo BuenoM
- 4S. BuenoD
- 7AndréM
- 8João GomesM
- 9A. ArmstrongF
- 14T. ArokodareF
- 15Y. MosqueraD
- 17Pedro LimaM
- 24Toti GomesD
- 25D. BentleyG
- 36M. ManeF
Substitutes
- 2M. DohertyD
- 6D. Møller WolfeD
- 11Hwang Hee-ChanF
- 21Rodrigo GomesD
- 27J. BellegardeM
- 38J. TchatchouaD
- 47A. GomesM
Sunderland
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5D. BallardD
- 7C. TalbiM
- 9B. BrobbeyF
- 15O. AldereteD
- 17ReinildoD
- 20N. MukieleD
- 22R. RoefsG
- 27N. SadikiM
- 28E. Le FéeM
- 32T. HumeM
- 34G. XhakaM
Substitutes
- 3D. CirkinD
- 6L. GeertruidaD
- 11C. RiggM
- 12Eliezer MayendaF
- 13L. O'NienM
- 18W. IsidorF
- 19H. DiarraM
- 31M. EllborgG
- 37J. T. BiF
Wolves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Bueno | D | 94 | 9.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Toti Gomes(C) | D | 94 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateus Mané | F | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/4 |
| Daniel Bentley | G | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Bueno | M | 78 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Yerson Mosquera | D | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| João Gomes | M | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| André | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Adam Armstrong | F | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tolu Arokodare | F | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tom Edozie | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Doherty | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Ricner Bellegarde | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hwang Hee-chan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Tchatchoua | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Möller Wolfe | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angel Gomes | M | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gomes | D | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sunderland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordi Mukiele | D | 94 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Granit Xhaka(C) | M | 94 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Robin Roefs | G | 94 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trai Hume | M | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Noah Sadiki | M | 72 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Brian Brobbey | F | 72 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Omar Alderete | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enzo Le Fée | M | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Reinildo Mandava | D | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Chemsdine Talbi | M | 94 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Daniel Ballard | D | 24 | 4.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jocelin Ta Bi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliezer Mayenda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Rigg | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Melker Ellborg | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lutsharel Geertruida | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luke O'Nien | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dennis Cirkin | D | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilson Isidor | F | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Habib Diarra | M | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |