Wolves vs Bolton
Match recap
Bolton beat Wolves 3–1 in their Championship fixture. Bellegarde scored for Wolves; Ito, Dalby, and Sheehan replied for Bolton. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.27 for Wolves versus 1.62 for Bolton. Wolves sit 6th in the Championship table while Bolton are 19th.
Outcome probability
Wolves and Bolton face off in the 10th round of the regular season, with Wolves showing stronger form and Bolton struggling to keep pace. This match promises a clear advantage for Wolves, who have been impressive in recent fixtures.
Match factors
Wolves missing key attackers Jiménez and Saïd
Both top attackers are confirmed out, reducing Wolves' usual scoring options and shifting reliance to midfielders.
Fer López and Rodrigo Gomes driving Wolves' attack
Both midfielders have strong recent form with goals and assists, compensating for absent forwards.
Wolves' defensive solidity at home vs Bolton's defensive struggles
Wolves concede fewer goals at home while Bolton concedes 2.5 away, favoring Wolves' attack.
Bolton's attacking threat led by Dalby and Gale
Dalby and Gale are Bolton's main goal contributors, showing consistent scoring and creative output.
Bolton's defensive injury concerns
Three defenders confirmed out, including Forino-Joseph and Brunt (doubtful), weakening Bolton's backline.
The context
Wolves currently sit 4th in the league with 14 points from 7 games, demonstrating solid form and a positive goal difference. Bolton, on the other hand, are 15th with 10 points from 8 games and a negative goal difference, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.
Key insights
- F
Fer López
Wolves
Fer López has been a creative hub with multiple goals and assists recently, maintaining high ratings up to 8.2.
Championship 26/27Consistently high ratings and key involvement in Wolves' goals this season.
- R
Rodrigo Gomes
Wolves
Rodrigo Gomes has contributed multiple goals and assists, including braces, with ratings up to 8.7.
Championship 26/27Strong recent form with goals and assists, driving Wolves' attack.
- S
S. Dalby
Bolton
Dalby is Bolton's top scorer with recent goals and a high rating of up to 7.94, leading their attack.
Championship 26/27Primary attacking threat with consistent scoring this season.
- T
Thierry Gale
Bolton
Gale provides consistent goals and assists, with recent ratings up to 8.3, contributing creatively for Bolton.
Championship 26/27Creative midfielder with set-piece involvement and goal contributions.
Analysis
Wolves have a significant edge in both attack and defence, boasting a +5 goal difference compared to Bolton's -4. Their midfielders Fer López and Rodrigo Gomes have been instrumental in driving Wolves' recent success, compensating for the absence of key forwards. Bolton's main threats come from Dalby and Gale, but defensive injuries and a leaky backline make it tough for them to contain Wolves' offensive pressure.
Key facts
- 1.Wolves rank 4th with 14 points from 7 games (W4 D2 L1).
- 2.Bolton rank 15th with 10 points from 8 games (W3 D1 L4).
- 3.Wolves have a +5 goal difference; Bolton have -4.
- 4.Wolves average 2.00 points per game; Bolton average 1.25.
- 5.Wolves' midfielders Fer López and Rodrigo Gomes have been key creators recently.
- 6.Bolton's top scorers are Dalby and Gale, but defensive injuries weaken their backline.
- 7.Wolves are predicted to lead 2-0 at halftime and win 4-1 by fulltime.
Prediction
Expect Wolves to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime before extending their advantage to a 4-1 victory by fulltime. The home side's superior points-per-game average and defensive solidity should see them comfortably outscore Bolton, who are likely to struggle to keep the scoreline respectable.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Wolves
Away — Bolton
The verdict
This fixture looks set to reinforce Wolves' strong league position with a confident home win. Bolton will need to tighten up defensively and find more attacking cohesion to challenge teams like Wolves in future matches.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 15:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mane
Yellow Card
Ito
Larrazabal
Yellow Card
Bellegarde
Assist: Krejčí
Mane
Iling-Junior
Bair
Ito
Dalby
Assist: Larrazabal
Erhahon
Yellow Card
Erhahon
Gale
James
Bueno
Sheehan
André
Trippier
Yellow Card
Neave
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Wolves
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1José SáG
- 2K. TrippierD
- 3Hugo BuenoD
- 7AndréM
- 8J. JamesM
- 10A. ArmstrongF
- 27J. BellegardeM
- 28Fer LópezM
- 34N. DjigaD
- 36M. ManeM
- 37L. KrejčíD
Substitutes
- 5M. MunetsiM
- 13João VirgíniaG
- 14S. NeaveF
- 19R. SaïdF
- 20T. DoyleM
- 23T. ChirewaF
- 24Toti GomesD
- 33G. KonanD
- 38J. TchatchouaD
Bolton
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5L. BruntD
- 8J. SheehanM
- 9T. BairF
- 11T. GaleM
- 14A. FamewoD
- 16S. Iling-JuniorM
- 17A. ItoF
- 18E. ToalD
- 21E. ErhahonM
- 22Gaizka LarrazabalD
- 31G. BazunuG
Substitutes
- 1J. BonhamG
- 4X. SimonsM
- 6B. DaviesD
- 10S. DalbyF
- 20Ruben RodriguesF
- 25M. ConwayD
- 26J. NelsonF
- 39R. HardieF
Wolves
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bellegarde | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| L. Krejčí | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| K. Trippier | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| R. Saïd | F | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| N. Djiga | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Hugo Bueno | D | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| André | M | 85 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Armstrong | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Neave | F | 5 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fer López | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0/4 |
| J. James | M | 80 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Mane | M | 63 | 6.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| José Sá | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Konan | D | 10 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Munetsi | M | 10 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Virgínia | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toti Gomes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Tchatchoua | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Doyle | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Chirewa | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bolton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Sheehan | M | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Dalby | F | 24 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| A. Ito | F | 66 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Brunt | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Toal | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Conway | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Nelson | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| S. Iling-Junior | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| X. Simons | M | 12 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaizka Larrazabal | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Famewo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Gale | M | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bair | F | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Erhahon | M | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Bazunu | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hardie | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bonham | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Davies | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Wolves vs Bolton?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Wolves to win against Bolton.
- What score did Fipster predict for Wolves vs Bolton?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Wolves 4–1 Bolton.
- What were the win probabilities for Wolves vs Bolton?
- Fipster's model gave Wolves a 85% chance of winning, Bolton a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.