Willem II vs PEC Zwolle

EredivisieMatchweek 12
Ref: Allard LindhoutKoning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg · 14,700 cap
Fipster Pick
Away Winlow

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Willem II and PEC Zwolle face off in the 12th round of the regular season, with both sides looking to improve their league standing. Willem II have struggled so far, while PEC Zwolle have shown more promise and a better goal difference.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–2
Half-time0–0
PEC Zwolle Win
LOW
Confidence
Willem II 31%Draw 31%PEC Zwolle 38%

The context

Willem II sit 18th in the league with just 2 points from 11 games, having yet to register a win this season. PEC Zwolle are 13th with 11 points, boasting a significantly better goal difference and a points-per-game rate over five times that of their opponents.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Willem II's leading scorer Devin Haen in good form

Haen has 3 goals this season and 2 in last 10 matches, showing consistent scoring ability

Statistical Edgehigh

PEC Zwolle's Koen Kostons is the top scorer with 4 goals

Kostons leads PEC Zwolle with 4 goals in 10 games, a strong scoring rate

Tactical Advantagemedium

Creative midfielders Vito van Crooij and Dylan Mbayo key for assists

Both players have above average assist rates and are primary creators for their teams

Form Momentummedium

PEC Zwolle on a positive scoring streak

PEC Zwolle has scored in 3 of last 5 matches, showing better recent attacking form

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players

Analysis

The match is expected to be tight in the first half, with a 0-0 halftime scoreline the most likely scenario. PEC Zwolle's attacking threat, led by top scorer Koen Kostons with 4 goals, and creative midfielder Dylan Mbayo, gives them the edge. Willem II's Devin Haen, their leading scorer with 3 goals, will be key to their hopes, but the visitors' overall form and goal difference suggest they will come out on top.

Prediction

We predict a 2-1 victory for PEC Zwolle, with the away side pulling ahead in the second half after a cautious opening. The match should feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but not overly aggressive encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.Willem II are 18th with 2 points from 11 games (W0 D2 L9).
  2. 2.PEC Zwolle are 13th with 11 points from 11 games (W3 D2 L6).
  3. 3.PEC Zwolle have a significantly better goal difference than Willem II.
  4. 4.PEC Zwolle average 1.00 points per game compared to Willem II's 0.18.
  5. 5.Devin Haen is Willem II's top scorer with 3 goals in 11 games.
  6. 6.Koen Kostons leads PEC Zwolle with 4 goals in 10 games.
  7. 7.Dylan Mbayo is PEC Zwolle's leading assister with 4 assists in 11 games.
  8. 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.

The verdict

While Willem II will be eager to claim their first win, PEC Zwolle's superior form and goal-scoring ability make them the favourites to take all three points in this encounter.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Willem II

Devin Haen

Devin Haen

Attacker

Willem II

Total Goals
3
League avg: 0.67
11 played
11 starts
990 mins
~90 mins/game
Uriel van Aalst

Uriel van Aalst

Attacker

Willem II

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.67
11 played
11 starts
968 mins
~88 mins/game

Away — PEC Zwolle

Koen Kostons

Koen Kostons

Attacker

PEC Zwolle

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.67
10 played
8 starts
674 mins
~67 mins/game
Elias Grænge Sørensen

Elias Grænge Sørensen

Attacker

PEC Zwolle

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.67
9 played
3 starts
398 mins
~44 mins/game

Prediction generated 3 Nov 2026, 06:07 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Fipster's AI model predicts PEC Zwolle to win against Willem II.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Fipster predicts a final score of Willem II 1–2 PEC Zwolle.
What are the win probabilities for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Fipster's model gives Willem II a 31% chance of winning, PEC Zwolle a 38% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 38% confidence — a low-confidence call.