Willem II vs Cambuur
Cambuur steamroll Willem II in Eredivisie rout
A six-goal salvo from Cambuur leaves Willem II reeling at home.
Cambuur delivered a commanding performance at Willem II, racing to a 3-0 lead inside the first 18 minutes thanks to early strikes from N. Binder, I. Hamache, and I. Baouf. The visitors continued their dominance after the break with goals from Binder again, R. El Arguioui, and J. Çeka, sealing a comprehensive 6-1 victory despite a late consolation from Anass Zarrouk. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win was spot on, though the scale of Cambuur's triumph far exceeded expectations.
Outcome probability
Willem II and Cambuur face off in a Dutch league regular season match where Cambuur look set to continue their better form with a narrow win.
Match factors
Willem II's attacking trio in form
Devin Haen and Uriel van Aalst lead attack with consistent scoring and assisting, posing a threat to Cambuur's defense.
Defensive solidity from Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Tjoe-A-On's high tackle and interception numbers provide defensive stability and offensive support with assists.
Cambuur's Ilyes Hamache in hot scoring form
Hamache's recent high ratings and goals make him a key player to watch for Cambuur's attack.
Doubt over Jamal Amofa's availability
Amofa's doubtful status may weaken Cambuur's defense and passing if he misses the match.
The context
Cambuur currently sit 13th in the league with 8 points from 8 games, showing a more stable campaign compared to Willem II, who are 18th with just 2 points from 9 games. The goal difference also favours Cambuur significantly, highlighting their relative defensive and offensive edge this season.
Key insights
Devin Haen
Willem II
Leads team scoring with 3 goals, showing strong away form with 2 goals in last 5 away games, making him a key attacking threat.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
Uriel van Aalst
Willem II
Contributes both goals and assists, with 1 goal and 2 assists, providing all-around attacking impact and creativity.
Eredivisie 26/271 goal, 2 assists in 8 games
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Cambuur
Provides defensive solidity with 19 tackles and 15 interceptions, plus 2 assists, offering both defensive and offensive contributions.
Eredivisie 26/272 assists in 8 appearances, 19 tackles, 15 interceptions
- I
Ilyes Hamache
Cambuur
In hot scoring form recently, with multiple goals and a high match rating, making him a key player in Cambuur's attack.
Eredivisie 26/27Multiple recent goals, high rating (9.77) in last match
Analysis
Cambuur's attacking threat, led by players like Ilyes Hamache who has been in good scoring form recently, gives them an advantage. Meanwhile, Willem II rely heavily on their attacking duo Devin Haen and Uriel van Aalst, who have been consistent contributors. However, Cambuur's defensive stability, bolstered by players such as Nathan Tjoe-A-On, and the doubtful availability of Cambuur's captain Jamal Amofa could influence the match dynamics. The prediction suggests Cambuur will take an early lead and maintain it, despite Willem II's attempts to fight back.
Key facts
- 1.Willem II are 18th with 2 points from 9 games (W0 D2 L7).
- 2.Cambuur are 13th with 8 points from 8 games (W2 D2 L4).
- 3.Cambuur have a significantly better goal difference than Willem II this season.
- 4.Cambuur average 1.00 points per game compared to Willem II's 0.22.
- 5.Devin Haen leads Willem II with 3 goals in 8 appearances.
- 6.Uriel van Aalst has contributed 1 goal and 2 assists for Willem II.
- 7.Nathan Tjoe-A-On has 2 assists and strong defensive stats for Cambuur.
- 8.Ilyes Hamache is in good scoring form for Cambuur with multiple recent goals.
Prediction
The forecast is for Cambuur to lead 1-0 at halftime and ultimately win 2-1. This scoreline reflects Cambuur's ability to strike early and hold on, while Willem II will manage to get on the scoresheet but fall short in the end.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Willem II
Away — Cambuur
No standout top scorers flagged for Cambuur
The verdict
Expect a closely contested match with Cambuur's superior form and goal difference tipping the scales in their favour. Willem II will push hard but Cambuur's early goal and defensive resilience should see them through to a deserved victory.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 14:43 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Binder
Assist: Costarelli
Hamache
Assist: Costarelli
Baouf
Assist: El Arguioui
Goal confirmed
Slory
Yellow Card
Dekker
Vilhena
van Crooij
ter Avest
Yellow Card
Binder
Assist: Hamache
El Arguioui
Costarelli
Maertens
van Duijl
Slory
Mulders
Binder
Zarrouk
Assist: Haen
Çeka
Assist: Kooistra
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +21 | 25 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -29 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Willem II
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. DidillonG
- 3F. StamD
- 5H. ter AvestD
- 6C. TwigtM
- 7J. SloryM
- 9D. HaenF
- 19Uriel van AalstM
- 23M. DekkerD
- 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 52T. VilhenaM
Substitutes
- 2A. CiranniD
- 8K. BoogaardM
- 10J. SchuurmanM
- 11A. CulumF
- 15A. Et-TaïbiD
- 17O. MartinF
- 18Anass ZarroukM
- 26M. DelangheG
- 28T. VerheydtF
- 31K. de LeeuwG
- 50E. GürbüzF
- 83M. LemmensD
Cambuur
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1T. JansenG
- 4I. BaoufD
- 8N. SourenM
- 10R. El ArguiouiM
- 11I. HamacheM
- 13N. BinderF
- 14B. van DuijlD
- 16R. MuldersD
- 28M. CostarelliD
- 30J. ÇekaM
- 33M. MaertensM
Substitutes
- 3J. BerkhoutD
- 7S. BouhoudaneF
- 9S. VinkF
- 15F. KvamF
- 17Ethan ApkakouM
- 18Wiebe van der HeideM
- 22L. PlogmannG
- 23L. JettenD
- 24M. KalisvaartG
- 27W. KooistraF
- 29Iwan HenstraF
- 45B. VogelzangD
Willem II
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uriel van Aalst | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| T. Didillon | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Culum | F | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Anass Zarrouk | M | 44 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Haen | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Verheydt | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Twigt | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| V. van Crooij | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Stam | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Vilhena | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Slory | M | 68 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| N. Tjoe-A-On | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| M. Dekker | D | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Lemmens | D | 22 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. ter Avest | D | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| J. Schuurman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Gürbüz | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Boogaard | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ciranni | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Martin | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Et-Taïbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. de Leeuw | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Delanghe | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cambuur
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Binder | F | 77 | 9.0 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2/3 |
| R. El Arguioui | M | 90 | 8.8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1/5 |
| I. Hamache | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4/6 |
| M. Costarelli | D | 65 | 8.4 | — | 2 | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| J. Çeka | M | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 3/4 |
| I. Baouf | D | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Jetten | D | 25 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| R. Mulders | D | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| W. Kooistra | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Vink | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Berkhout | D | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Souren | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Iwan Henstra | F | 25 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| M. Maertens | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| B. van Duijl | D | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| T. Jansen | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Bouhoudane | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kvam | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kalisvaart | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Vogelzang | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wiebe van der Heide | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Apkakou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Plogmann | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Willem II vs Cambuur?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Cambuur to win against Willem II.
- What score did Fipster predict for Willem II vs Cambuur?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Willem II 1–2 Cambuur.
- What were the win probabilities for Willem II vs Cambuur?
- Fipster's model gave Willem II a 15% chance of winning, Cambuur a 70% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 70% confidence — a high-confidence call.