West Ham vs QPR
West Ham held to draw by resilient QPR
Bowen's equaliser cancels out Madsen's early penalty in a tight Championship clash.
QPR took an early lead through N. Madsen's penalty at 18 minutes, putting West Ham on the back foot. J. Bowen pulled one back for the hosts in the 70th minute, but his missed penalty in stoppage time denied West Ham a late winner. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a West Ham victory, proving QPR's resilience in this Championship encounter.
Outcome probability
As the season progresses into its ninth round, West Ham and QPR prepare to face off in what promises to be a tactical battle. Both teams have shown resilience, but the Hammers' recent form and goal-scoring prowess suggest they hold the upper hand.
Match factors
West Ham missing key midfielder Souček
Souček's ankle injury sidelines a key midfield presence, potentially weakening West Ham's central control and creativity.
West Ham's strong defensive passing edge
Kilman and Mavropanos exhibit passing accuracy and volume well above league averages, aiding West Ham's ball retention and build-up from defense.
West Ham's recent scoring consistency
West Ham has scored in their last 5 matches, including multiple goals from defenders and midfielders, indicating diverse attacking threats.
QPR's defensive uncertainty with Dunne doubtful
Dunne's doubtful status due to knee injury may disrupt QPR's defensive stability and passing rhythm, impacting their ability to contain West Ham's attack.
West Ham's superior home scoring rate
West Ham averages 3.5 goals per home game, significantly higher than QPR's 0.7 home scoring average, favoring a strong home offensive performance.
The context
West Ham currently lead the league with 15 points from 8 games, boasting a significantly better goal difference than QPR, who sit seventh with 12 points from 7 matches. This fixture offers West Ham a chance to extend their lead, while QPR will look to close the gap.
Key insights
- M
M. Kilman
West Ham
Kilman’s exceptional 93% passing accuracy and high passing volume help West Ham maintain possession and build attacks from the back.
Championship 26/2793% passing accuracy, avg 74 passes per game
- K
K. Mavropanos
West Ham
Mavropanos adds goal threat from defence and is key in set-piece situations, boosting West Ham’s scoring options.
Championship 26/2789% passing accuracy, recent goals scored
- J
J. Dunne
QPR
Dunne’s doubtful status due to knee injury may disrupt QPR’s defensive organisation and passing rhythm.
Championship 26/27Doubtful with knee injury
Analysis
West Ham's defensive duo, Kilman and Mavropanos, have been instrumental with their exceptional passing accuracy and ability to contribute goals, providing a solid foundation for the team. Meanwhile, QPR face uncertainty with defender Dunne doubtful due to a knee injury, potentially disrupting their defensive stability. West Ham's superior home scoring rate, averaging 3.5 goals per game, contrasts sharply with QPR's modest 0.7, highlighting the Hammers' offensive threat.
Key facts
- 1.West Ham lead the league with 15 points from 8 games (W4 D3 L1).
- 2.QPR are seventh with 12 points from 7 games (W3 D3 L1).
- 3.West Ham have a superior goal difference of +8 compared to QPR.
- 4.West Ham average 3.5 goals per home game this season.
- 5.QPR average only 0.7 goals per home game this season.
- 6.Kilman boasts a 93% passing accuracy, well above league average for defenders.
- 7.Mavropanos contributes goals from defense with 89% passing accuracy.
- 8.Dunne is doubtful for QPR due to a knee injury, affecting their defensive stability.
Prediction
The prediction leans strongly towards a West Ham home win, with a halftime score of 1-0 and a fulltime result of 2-0. The expected total of four cards suggests a moderately disciplined encounter. West Ham's ability to control possession and convert chances should see them comfortably secure the three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — West Ham
Away — QPR
The verdict
In summary, West Ham's blend of defensive solidity and attacking variety, combined with QPR's defensive doubts, sets the stage for a confident home victory. Fans can expect a controlled performance from the Hammers, culminating in a 2-0 win to maintain their league lead.
Prediction generated 19 Sep 2026, 15:57 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Engels
Yellow Card
Madsen
Penalty
Kemper
Yellow Card
Walker-Peters
Souček
Smyth
Kilman
Yellow Card
Morato
Yellow Card
Kamara
Yellow Card
Solomon
Mukasa
Kemper
Rayan Jawad Kolli
Bowen
Poku
Kone
Yellow Card
Bowen
Missed Penalty
Mbengue
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +11 | 16 |
| 4 |  Stoke City | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 |  Wolves | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  QPR | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
Match Statistics
West Ham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. HermansenG
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 3M. KilmanD
- 5MoratoD
- 7A. EngelsM
- 10M. SolomonM
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 14D. MukasaM
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 20J. BowenM
- 28T. SoučekM
Substitutes
- 9J. PiroeF
- 19PabloF
- 23A. AreolaG
- 27S. MagassaM
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 34J. VeltmanD
- 35E. AustböF
- 58A. GolambeckisD
- 61L. OrfordM
QPR
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1P. CharlesG
- 2K. AdamsonD
- 3J. DunneD
- 5R. EdwardsM
- 6J. Clarke-SalterD
- 11P. SmythF
- 12B. KemperD
- 17K. PokuF
- 18G. KamaraM
- 24N. MadsenM
- 26Rayan Jawad KolliF
Substitutes
- 4L. MorrisonD
- 13C. WardG
- 20H. ValeM
- 22R. KoneF
- 25Justin Patrick Nnamdi ObikwuF
- 27A. MbengueD
- 40J. VaraneM
- 48T. LampteyD
West Ham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bowen | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | — | 3/4 |
| K. Mavropanos | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| L. Orford | M | 22 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hermansen | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Solomon | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| E. Austbö | F | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| J. Piroe | F | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Pablo | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| M. Kilman | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| T. Souček | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| V. Castellanos | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| K. Walker-Peters | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Mukasa | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Morato | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Magassa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Veltman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Areola | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Golambeckis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Scarles | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
QPR
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Charles | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Madsen | M | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. Smyth | F | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| J. Clarke-Salter | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dunne | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Lamptey | D | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Adamson | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Poku | F | 80 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| G. Kamara | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Kone | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Jawad Kolli | F | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| A. Mbengue | D | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Vale | M | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| R. Edwards | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| B. Kemper | D | 69 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Varane | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Morrison | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ward | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win West Ham vs QPR?
- Fipster's AI model predicted West Ham to win against QPR.
- What score did Fipster predict for West Ham vs QPR?
- Fipster predicted a final score of West Ham 2–0 QPR.
- What were the win probabilities for West Ham vs QPR?
- Fipster's model gave West Ham a 75% chance of winning, QPR a 12% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.