West Ham vs Everton
Match recap
West Ham beat Everton 2–1 in their Premier League fixture. Souček and Wilson scored for West Ham; Dewsbury-Hall replied for Everton. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.17 for West Ham versus 1.35 for Everton. West Ham sit 18th in the Premier League table while Everton are 13th.
Analysis
West Ham host Everton in what promises to be a tightly contested Premier League fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with the stakes high, a cautious approach is likely early on.
The two sides have a fairly even head-to-head record, with West Ham slightly ahead in wins but Everton sitting comfortably higher in the league table. West Ham's home advantage and recent form will be tested against Everton's balanced squad and tactical discipline.
Statistically, the matchup suggests a low-scoring affair. West Ham's J. Bowen leads the charge with 8 goals and 8 assists, making him a dual threat at home. V. Castellanos' recent scoring spree adds firepower, though the absence of C. Summerville due to injury may blunt their wings. Everton's solid midfield and defensive organisation, combined with their higher league standing, balance the scales. The predicted 1-1 scoreline aligns with the average goals in their past meetings and the expected cautious tactics.
Prediction
Our forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half giving way to goals from both sides in the second. The match is expected to be competitive with four cards likely, reflecting the intensity but fair play. Confidence in this outcome stands at 35%, acknowledging the evenly matched nature of the teams.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Bowen's Dual Threat
Bowen's combined goal and assist threat creates multiple attacking options for West Ham.
Castellanos' Hot Streak
Castellanos' recent scoring surge at home gives West Ham an edge in finishing chances.
Summerville's Absence Weakens Attack
Summerville's injury reduces West Ham's attacking depth and creativity on the wings.
Fernandes' Midfield Control
Fernandes' passing and defensive work rate can help West Ham control midfield tempo.
Everton's Balanced Form
Everton shows decent form with key players like Beto and Dewsbury-Hall contributing goals and assists.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a balanced contest where neither side dominates. West Ham's home strengths and Everton's league position suggest a shared point is the fairest result. Fans should prepare for a tactical battle with moments of individual brilliance, particularly from Bowen and Castellanos.
- West Ham and Everton have met 20 times with 8 wins for West Ham, 7 for Everton, and 5 draws.
- Their head-to-head matches average 2.2 goals, consistent with a 1-1 predicted scoreline.
- West Ham are 17th in the league with 32 points from 32 games.
- Everton sit 10th with 47 points from 33 games.
- J. Bowen leads West Ham with 8 goals and 8 assists this season.
- V. Castellanos has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games, showing strong home form.
- The predicted total of 4 cards suggests a competitive but controlled match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — West Ham
Away — Everton
No standout top scorers flagged for Everton
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
O'Brien
Yellow Card
Tarkowski
Yellow Card
Souček
Assist: Bowen
Garner
Yellow Card
McNeil
O'Brien
Castellanos
Yellow Card
Castellanos
Pablo
Gueye
Dewsbury-Hall
Assist: Tarkowski
Disasi
Yellow Card
Bowen
Wilson
Yellow Card
Alcaraz
Yellow Card
Wilson
Assist: Bowen
Match Statistics
West Ham
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1M. HermansenG
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 4A. DisasiD
- 7C. SummervilleM
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 12E. DioufD
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 19PabloF
- 20J. BowenM
- 28T. SoučekM
Substitutes
- 9C. WilsonF
- 17Adama TraoréF
- 23A. AreolaG
- 25J. TodiboD
- 27S. MagassaM
- 29A. Wan-BissakaD
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 32F. PottsM
- 55M. KantéM
Everton
Starting XI
- 1J. PickfordG
- 5M. KeaneD
- 6J. TarkowskiD
- 7D. McNeilM
- 10I. NdiayeM
- 11T. BarryF
- 15J. O'BrienD
- 16V. MykolenkoD
- 22K. Dewsbury-HallM
- 27I. GueyeM
- 37J. GarnerM
Substitutes
- 2N. PattersonD
- 12M. TraversG
- 19Tyrique GeorgeF
- 20T. DiblingM
- 23S. ColemanD
- 24C. AlcarazM
- 34M. RöhlM
- 42T. IroegbunamM
- 45H. ArmstrongM
West Ham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomáš Souček | M | 100 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | D | 100 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 3/6 |
| Jarrod Bowen(C) | M | 95 | 8.0 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Crysencio Summerville | M | 100 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Axel Disasi | D | 100 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 100 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | D | 100 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | D | 100 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mads Hermansen | G | 100 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Felipe | F | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentín Castellanos | F | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mohamadou Kanté | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Scarles | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Soungoutou Magassa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adama Traore | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alphonse Aréola | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Clair Todibo | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Wilson | F | 19 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Freddie Potts | M | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Everton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Tarkowski(C) | D | 100 | 8.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall | M | 100 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jordan Pickford | G | 100 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitaliy Mykolenko | D | 100 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Garner | M | 100 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dwight McNeil | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jake O'Brien | D | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Idrissa Gana Gueye | M | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Iliman Ndiaye | M | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/6 |
| Michael Keane | D | 100 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Thierno Barry | F | 100 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Harrison Armstrong | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Merlin Röhl | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Dibling | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Séamus Coleman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Travers | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Patterson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyrique George | F | 35 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Iroegbunam | M | 35 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |