West Ham vs Derby
Match recap
West Ham beat Derby 3–0 in their Championship fixture. West Ham held 52% possession to 48% for Derby. West Ham sit 2nd in the Championship table while Derby are 22nd.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with West Ham, freshly relegated from the Premier League, hosting Derby. Both sides have been busy in the transfer market, shaping squads eager to make their mark in this campaign. Fans can expect a competitive encounter as the Irons look to bounce back and Derby aim to assert their Championship credentials.
Key facts
- 1.West Ham were relegated from the Premier League last season, finishing 18th with 39 points from 38 games.
- 2.Derby finished 8th in the Championship last season with 69 points from 46 games.
- 3.West Ham have signed A. Engels ahead of the new season.
- 4.West Ham lost Mateus Fernandes, C. Summerville, and E. Diouf in the summer transfer window.
- 5.Derby have added A. Mowatt, F. Bilbija, and R. Hedges to their squad.
- 6.Derby had a significantly better goal difference than West Ham last season, with +27 goals.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-2, favouring Derby before West Ham's comeback.
- 8.The match is expected to see around four total cards, indicating a competitive and physical game.
The context
West Ham enter this fixture after a challenging previous season that saw them relegated down from the Premier League, while Derby remain in the Championship following a solid eighth-place finish. The Hammers have bolstered their ranks with the arrival of A. Engels, hoping to strengthen their squad after losing Mateus Fernandes, C. Summerville, and E. Diouf. Derby have added A. Mowatt, F. Bilbija, and R. Hedges to their roster, aiming to build on last season's performance.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — West Ham
Away — Derby
Analysis
The match promises to be a tight affair, with aggregate probabilities showing a competitive balance. Derby's superior goal difference last season suggests they have attacking prowess, but West Ham's home advantage and new signings could tip the scales. The predicted halftime scoreline of 1-2 in Derby's favour hints at an early away lead, but West Ham's resilience is expected to shine through in the second half, overturning the deficit to clinch a 3-2 victory. Expect a lively encounter with around four cards, reflecting the intensity on the pitch.
Prediction
We foresee West Ham staging a spirited comeback after trailing at halftime, ultimately securing a 3-2 win. The Irons' ability to rally in the second half will be key, capitalising on their home advantage and new additions to outscore Derby in a thrilling contest.
The verdict
This season opener sets the tone for what should be an entertaining campaign. West Ham's determination to bounce back and Derby's ambition to climb higher will make this a match worth watching. Expect goals, drama, and a narrow victory for the home side as the new season gets underway.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Match Statistics
West Ham
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. HermansenG
- 3M. KilmanD
- 7A. EngelsM
- 9J. PiroeF
- 10M. SolomonM
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 14D. MukasaM
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 20J. BowenM
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 34J. VeltmanD
Substitutes
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 5MoratoD
- 17M. KantéM
- 18A. BoiroD
- 21K. LamadridM
- 49F. HerrickG
- 58A. GolambeckisD
- 61L. OrfordM
Derby
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. Widell ZetterströmG
- 6S. LangåsD
- 10R. BrewsterM
- 11S. SzmodicsM
- 18C. TaylorD
- 19H. MeisterF
- 20A. MowattM
- 24R. NyambeD
- 26R. HedgesM
- 28D. SandersonD
- 29O. FrauloM
Substitutes
- 4D. OzohM
- 8B. ClarkM
- 15L. SalvesenF
- 16M. FuseiniF
- 22M. JohnstonD
- 23J. WardM
- 31J. VickersG
- 33C. Blackett-TaylorF
- 42Raymond OfforD
West Ham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mavropanos | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Piroe | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| V. Castellanos | F | 64 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| M. Kilman | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Veltman | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Scarles | D | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Solomon | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4/4 |
| A. Boiro | D | 13 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Engels | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| J. Bowen | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3/4 |
| D. Mukasa | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| L. Orford | M | 26 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hermansen | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Morato | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Herrick | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Lamadrid | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kanté | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Golambeckis | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Walker-Peters | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Derby
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hedges | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| S. Langås | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Fraulo | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Blackett-Taylor | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| D. Sanderson | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Szmodics | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| L. Salvesen | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| D. Ozoh | M | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Johnston | D | 19 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fuseini | F | 19 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Brewster | M | 22 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Meister | F | 62 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Nyambe | D | 71 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| A. Mowatt | M | 86 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| B. Clark | M | 28 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Raymond Offor | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Vickers | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ward | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win West Ham vs Derby?
- Fipster's AI model predicted West Ham to win against Derby.
- What score did Fipster predict for West Ham vs Derby?
- Fipster predicted a final score of West Ham 3–2 Derby.
- What were the win probabilities for West Ham vs Derby?
- Fipster's model gave West Ham a 68% chance of winning, Derby a 16% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.