West Ham vs Arsenal
Match recap
Arsenal beat West Ham 1–0 in their Premier League fixture. Trossard scored for Arsenal. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.30 for West Ham versus 1.36 for Arsenal. West Ham sit 18th in the Premier League table while Arsenal are 1st.
Analysis
As the Premier League season nears its climax, West Ham host Arsenal in a fixture that promises goals and drama. Arsenal, sitting comfortably at the top, look to extend their dominance against a struggling West Ham side.
Historically, Arsenal have had the upper hand, winning 13 of their last 20 meetings with West Ham. The average goals per game in this fixture is a lively 3.1, reflecting an open and attacking style from both sides. Arsenal lead the league with 76 points, while West Ham languish near the relegation zone with 36 points.
Arsenal's injury woes in attack and midfield, including absences of Saka, Rice, and Trossard, could have been a concern, but their superior form and defensive record still give them the edge. West Ham's Jarrod Bowen remains a key threat, especially at home, but Arsenal's midfield control and passing accuracy should stifle West Ham's chances. The predicted 2-1 scoreline aligns with Arsenal's ability to break down teams despite missing key players.
Prediction
Expect Arsenal to take the lead by halftime, possibly 2-0, before West Ham pulls one back late on. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this prediction stands at 23%, reflecting the tight nature of the contest but Arsenal's clear advantage.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
West Ham's Bowen vs Arsenal's Defensive Gaps
Bowen's high involvement in goals and assists exploits Arsenal's injury-hit defense.
Arsenal's Key Injuries to Attack and Midfield
Absences of Saka, Rice, and Trossard reduce Arsenal's creative and defensive strength.
Arsenal's Superior Form and Defensive Record
Arsenal's higher win rate and lower goals conceded per game favor them despite injuries.
West Ham's Struggles at Away Matches
West Ham's poor away scoring and recent losses lower their scoring probability.
Midfield Passing and Control Edge for Arsenal
Arsenal's midfielders have higher passing accuracy and volume, aiding control and chance creation.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Arsenal's historical dominance, current form, and tactical strengths point to a narrow away win. West Ham will fight hard, but Arsenal's quality should shine through to secure all three points.
- Arsenal have won 13 of the last 20 meetings against West Ham.
- Average goals per game in this fixture is 3.1, indicating attacking play.
- Arsenal top the league with 76 points; West Ham sit 17th with 36 points.
- Jarrod Bowen leads West Ham with 8 goals and 10 assists this season.
- Arsenal's midfield boasts higher passing accuracy and volume than West Ham.
- West Ham have struggled away from home, scoring fewer goals on the road.
- Arsenal's injury absences include key players Saka, Rice, and Trossard.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — West Ham
Away — Arsenal
No standout top scorers flagged for Arsenal
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
White
Castellanos
Yellow Card
Summerville
Yellow Card
Calafiori
Castellanos
Eze
Todibo
Yellow Card
Unknown
Saka
Yellow Card
Cristhian Mosquera
Yellow Card
Saka
Trossard
Assist: Ødegaard
Disasi
Saliba
Yellow Card
Trossard
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 17 |  Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 | 41 |
| 18 |  West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 | 39 |
| 19 |  Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 | 22 |
Match Statistics
West Ham
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1M. HermansenG
- 4A. DisasiD
- 7C. SummervilleF
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 12E. DioufM
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 20J. BowenF
- 25J. TodiboD
- 28T. SoučekM
- 29A. Wan-BissakaM
Substitutes
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 3M. KilmanD
- 9C. WilsonF
- 19PabloF
- 23A. AreolaG
- 27S. MagassaM
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 32F. PottsM
- 55M. KantéM
Arsenal
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1David RayaG
- 2W. SalibaD
- 4B. WhiteD
- 6Gabriel MagalhãesD
- 7B. SakaM
- 10E. EzeM
- 14V. GyökeresF
- 19L. TrossardM
- 33R. CalafioriD
- 41D. RiceM
- 49M. Lewis-SkellyM
Substitutes
- 3Cristhian MosqueraD
- 5P. HincapiéD
- 8M. ØdegaardM
- 11Gabriel MartinelliF
- 13KepaG
- 20N. MaduekeF
- 29K. HavertzF
- 36Martín ZubimendiM
- 56M. DowmanM
West Ham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | D | 90 | 8.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Crysencio Summerville | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Valentín Castellanos | F | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jarrod Bowen(C) | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomáš Souček | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean-Clair Todibo | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mads Hermansen | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Axel Disasi | D | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Freddie Potts | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Soungoutou Magassa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Scarles | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Kilman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamadou Kanté | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alphonse Aréola | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Callum Wilson | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pablo Felipe | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Arsenal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Trossard | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| William Saliba | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Raya | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Declan Rice | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gabriel Magalhães | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Eberechi Eze | M | 67 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Myles Lewis-Skelly | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ben White | D | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Gyökeres | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Riccardo Calafiori | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Bukayo Saka(C) | M | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 0/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gabriel Martinelli | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Piero Hincapié | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kepa Arrizabalaga | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Dowman | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Ødegaard | M | 23 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Cristhian Mosquera | D | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Martín Zubimendi | M | 39 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noni Madueke | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kai Havertz | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |