West Brom vs Burnley
West Brom overturn Burnley with commanding win
A quickfire double from I. Price seals a 3-1 victory for the Baggies.
West Brom defied expectations with a 3-1 triumph over Burnley in the Championship. An early own goal by C. Styles gave Burnley a brief lead, but Harry Whitwell levelled before the break. I. Price then took centre stage after the interval, scoring twice including a penalty to secure the win. This result was a surprise against Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring an away win for Burnley.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with West Brom facing Burnley in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are eager to make a strong start, with Burnley looking to bounce back after relegation and West Brom aiming to build on their previous campaign.
Key facts
- 1.West Brom finished 21st in the Championship last season with 51 points from 46 games.
- 2.Burnley were relegated from the Premier League, finishing 19th with 22 points from 38 games.
- 3.West Brom have a better goal difference (+27) than Burnley last season.
- 4.West Brom averaged 1.11 points per game last season, compared to Burnley’s 0.58.
- 5.West Brom have signed N. Galves and B. Stewart over the summer.
- 6.Burnley have lost J. Anthony, M. Dúbravka, and L. Ugochukwu (on loan).
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 0-0, suggesting a cautious start.
- 8.Burnley are predicted to win 2-1, indicating a close match with late goals.
The context
This fixture marks the first meeting of the season between West Brom and Burnley, who competed in different divisions last term. Burnley come down from the Premier League, while West Brom remained in the Championship. Both sides have made some summer changes, with West Brom bolstered by the arrivals of N. Galves and B. Stewart, while Burnley have seen the departures of J. Anthony, M. Dúbravka, and L. Ugochukwu (on loan).
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — West Brom
Away — Burnley
Analysis
West Brom finished their last season with a respectable points tally and a positive goal difference, suggesting a solid foundation. Burnley, despite their relegation, bring Premier League experience and will be keen to prove their mettle. The predicted halftime score of 0-0 indicates a cautious start, with the game likely to open up in the second half. Burnley's ability to edge the match 2-1 reflects their potential to break down West Brom's defence and capitalise on key moments.
Prediction
The forecast sees Burnley clinching a narrow 2-1 victory over West Brom. While the first half may be tight and goalless, Burnley’s experience and tactical nous are expected to shine through in the latter stages, securing them the three points.
The verdict
As the season opener, this match sets the tone for both sides. Burnley will be eager to start their campaign positively after relegation, while West Brom will look to leverage their summer signings to challenge strongly. Expect a closely fought contest with Burnley just shading it in the end.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Styles (OG)
Whitwell
Sonne
Yellow Card
Campbell
Yellow Card
Sonne
Sonne
Price
Mejbri
Laurent
Laurent
Mejbri
Broja
Broja
Price
Penalty
Edwards
Yellow Card
Unknown
Humphreys
Humphreys
Unknown
Whitwell
Whitwell
Molumby
Molumby
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wolves | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Charlton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Birmingham | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Wrexham | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 |  Burnley | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 |  Bristol City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
Match Statistics
West Brom
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1M. O’LearyG
- 3N. PhillipsD
- 4C. StylesD
- 6G. CampbellD
- 7F. MyhreF
- 8J. MolumbyM
- 11J. MorganF
- 17O. DiakitéM
- 21I. PriceM
- 25N. GalvesD
- 29Harry WhitwellM
Substitutes
- 2C. MephamD
- 5K. BielikD
- 9B. StewartF
- 13M. IngramG
- 20R. NzingoulaM
- 22C. TownsendD
- 23T. BanyF
- 28Alex WilliamsD
- 37Oliver BostockF
Burnley
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. WeißG
- 2K. WalkerD
- 3Max AlleyneD
- 6B. HumphreysD
- 7J. Bruun LarsenM
- 10M. EdwardsM
- 21A. RamseyM
- 22O. SonneD
- 27A. BrojaF
- 28H. MejbriM
- 29J. LaurentM
Substitutes
- 4J. WorrallD
- 8U. RaghouberM
- 11Z. AmdouniF
- 12D. SatpaevF
- 14C. RobertsD
- 15A. AhmedhodžićD
- 23Lucas PiresD
- 31M. TrésorF
- 37G. CoudertG
West Brom
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Whitwell | M | 73 | 8.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Isaac Price | M | 73 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Max O'Leary | G | 73 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousmane Diakité | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jayson Molumby | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| George Campbell(C) | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Phillips | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jimmy Morgan | F | 73 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nolan Galves | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felix Horn Myhre | F | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Callum Styles | D | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Chris Mepham | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Bostock | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rabby Nzingoula | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Barney Stewart | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Krystian Bielik | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Ingram | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Conor Townsend | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tammer Bany | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Williams | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Burnley
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Weiss | G | 73 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Armando Broja | F | 57 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Josh Laurent | M | 57 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Walker(C) | D | 73 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Aaron Ramsey | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcus Edwards | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Max Alleyne | D | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Sonne | D | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Hannibal Mejbri | M | 57 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bashir Humphreys | D | 73 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Pires | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Worrall | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anel Ahmedhodžić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Grégoire Coudert | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mike Trésor | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ugo Raghouber | M | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dastan Satpaev | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zeki Amdouni | F | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Roberts | D | 28 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |