West Brom vs Blackburn
West Brom claw back to edge Blackburn
A brace from Guðjohnsen gave Blackburn an early lead, but West Brom's resilience saw them through with a late winner.
Blackburn stormed ahead with two early goals from A. Guðjohnsen within the first 12 minutes, setting the tone. West Brom fought back, with B. Stewart pulling one back before the break and I. Price converting a penalty after the break. F. Myhre sealed the comeback with a late goal to secure a 3-2 victory. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction for a West Brom win was on the money, even if the scoreline was more dramatic than expected.
Outcome probability
West Brom and Blackburn face off in what promises to be a closely contested fixture in the regular season. Both sides have shown competitive form, making this a match where fine margins could decide the outcome.
Match factors
West Brom's defensive solidity with Styles
Callum Styles' high defensive work rate and goal threat from defense provide West Brom a tactical edge
Afolayan's scoring form boosts Blackburn attack
Oladapo Afolayan leads Blackburn with 4 goals and 2 assists, showing strong recent scoring form
West Brom's key attackers in good form
Heggebø and Price have scored 2 and 1 goals respectively in last 5 games, supporting home win prediction
West Brom missing key attacker Johnston
M. Johnston is confirmed out with broken leg, reducing attacking options for West Brom
Blackburn's defensive absences weaken backline
Blackburn missing three defenders including Litherland and Ribeiro, impacting defensive stability
The context
This is the 11th round of the regular season, with West Brom sitting 4th on 17 points and Blackburn close behind in 7th with 15 points. Their head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with six wins apiece and six draws from 18 meetings, highlighting the competitive nature of this fixture.
Key insights
- C
Callum Styles
West Brom
Styles' high defensive work rate and rare goal threat provide West Brom with a tactical advantage in defence and attack.
Championship 26/273.6 tackles per game, 2 goals this season, consistent full 90-minute performances
Oladapo Afolayan
Blackburn
Afolayan's strong recent scoring form boosts Blackburn's attacking threat despite defensive absences.
Championship 26/274 goals and 2 assists this season, 4 goals in last 5 games
Aune Selland Heggebø
West Brom
Heggebø's recent away scoring form supports West Brom's predicted narrow win.
Championship 26/273 goals in 9 games, 2 goals in last 5 away games
Analysis
West Brom's defensive solidity, particularly through Callum Styles who combines a high work rate with a rare goal threat from defence, gives them a tactical edge. Blackburn's attack is spearheaded by Oladapo Afolayan, who boasts four goals and two assists this season and has been in strong recent form. However, Blackburn's defensive absences may weaken their backline, potentially tipping the scales. West Brom's attackers, including Aune Selland Heggebø and Isaac Price, have contributed goals recently, supporting the prediction of a narrow home win. The predicted 1-0 scoreline aligns with the average goals in their head-to-head matches and suggests a tight, tactical battle.
Key facts
- 1.West Brom and Blackburn have an equal head-to-head record: 6 wins each and 6 draws in 18 matches.
- 2.Their head-to-head matches average 2.4 goals, consistent with a low-scoring prediction.
- 3.West Brom currently rank 4th in the league with 17 points from 10 games.
- 4.Blackburn sit 7th with 15 points from 10 games, showing competitive form.
- 5.Callum Styles provides defensive solidity and an occasional goal threat for West Brom.
- 6.Oladapo Afolayan leads Blackburn's attack with 4 goals and 2 assists this season.
- 7.West Brom's Aune Selland Heggebø has scored 2 goals in the last 5 away games.
- 8.Blackburn face defensive challenges due to absences impacting their backline.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-0 victory for West Brom, with the home side likely to take an early lead and hold on. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0 as well, reflecting a disciplined defensive effort. The match is also predicted to see around four cards, indicating a moderately physical encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — West Brom
Away — Blackburn
The verdict
In summary, expect a close encounter where West Brom's defensive strengths and recent attacking form give them the slight edge needed to secure all three points. Blackburn will pose threats, especially through Afolayan, but defensive absences may prove costly in this finely balanced contest.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 06:07 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Guðjohnsen
Assist: Montgomery
Guðjohnsen
Stewart
Montgomery
Yellow Card
Campbell
Yellow Card
Morishita
Afolayan
Yellow Card
Mepham
Yellow Card
Tobias Christopher Collyer
Cantwell
Afolayan
Sam Morsy
Nzingoula
Stewart
McLoughlin
Yellow Card
Price
Penalty
Guðjohnsen
Morgan
Campbell
Myhre
Assist: Heggebø
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 6 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 7 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 8 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
Match Statistics
West Brom
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1M. O’LearyG
- 2C. MephamD
- 4C. StylesD
- 6G. CampbellD
- 8J. MolumbyM
- 9B. StewartF
- 11J. MorganM
- 15Tobias Christopher CollyerM
- 18B. PereiraD
- 20R. NzingoulaM
- 21I. PriceM
Substitutes
- 3N. PhillipsD
- 7F. MyhreM
- 13M. IngramG
- 17O. DiakitéM
- 19A. HeggebøF
- 22C. TownsendD
- 23T. BanyF
- 26K. TundeF
- 29Harry WhitwellM
Blackburn
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2R. AlebiosuD
- 3H. PickeringD
- 6Tom AtchesonD
- 8Sam MorsyM
- 9A. GuðjohnsenF
- 10T. CantwellM
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 21O. AfolayanM
- 22B. TóthG
- 25R. MorishitaM
- 31Kristi MontgomeryM
Substitutes
- 1A. PearsG
- 7A. KargboF
- 11J. FevrierF
- 14D. De NeveM
- 17H. CarterD
- 24M. BaradjiM
- 27Gady BeyukuD
- 29M. JørgensenF
- 30J. GarrettM
West Brom
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | F | 63 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| I. Price | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2/6 |
| F. Myhre | M | 3 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Diakité | M | 47 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| A. Heggebø | F | 27 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| B. Pereira | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| G. Campbell | D | 87 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| Tobias Christopher Collyer | M | 43 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Molumby | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| C. Styles | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/4 |
| R. Nzingoula | M | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| J. Morgan | M | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 6 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. O’Leary | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Phillips | D | 3 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Mepham | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Whitwell | M | 27 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Townsend | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Tunde | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Bany | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ingram | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Blackburn
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Guðjohnsen | F | 73 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| J. Fevrier | F | 63 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Jørgensen | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Morishita | M | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Sam Morsy | M | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Alebiosu | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| T. Cantwell | M | 60 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Garrett | M | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Carter | D | 17 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Pickering | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Afolayan | M | 60 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| M. Baradji | M | 30 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Tóth | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Atcheson | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. De Neve | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kargbo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pears | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win West Brom vs Blackburn?
- Fipster's AI model predicted West Brom to win against Blackburn.
- What score did Fipster predict for West Brom vs Blackburn?
- Fipster predicted a final score of West Brom 1–0 Blackburn.
- What were the win probabilities for West Brom vs Blackburn?
- Fipster's model gave West Brom a 59% chance of winning, Blackburn a 20% chance, and a 21% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 59% confidence — a medium-confidence call.