Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen stuns Leipzig with early strike and late flourish
A commanding 3-1 victory sees Bremen overturn expectations against Leipzig.
Werder Bremen took an early lead through E. Dinkçi and never looked back, adding two more goals from N. Füllkrug and M. Grüll after the break to secure a solid 3-1 win. RB Leipzig's R. Baku managed a consolation goal deep into stoppage time, but it was too little, too late. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, delivering a surprise triumph for the home side.
Outcome probability
The new Bundesliga season kicks off with Werder Bremen facing RB Leipzig, a fixture promising tactical intrigue and fresh faces eager to make their mark. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an engaging contest.
Key facts
- 1.RB Leipzig finished last season ranked 3rd with 65 points from 34 games.
- 2.Werder Bremen ended last season 15th with 32 points from 34 games.
- 3.RB Leipzig have a significantly better goal difference (+42) than Werder Bremen.
- 4.RB Leipzig's points-per-game last season was 1.91 compared to Bremen's 0.94.
- 5.Werder Bremen signed A. Schlager (free agent) and E. Dinkçi (loan) over the summer.
- 6.RB Leipzig signed R. Reitz, M. Estève, and C. Nkunku this summer.
- 7.Werder Bremen lost M. Backhaus to transfer.
- 8.RB Leipzig lost Y. Diomande, X. Schlager, and P. Gulácsi in the off-season.
The context
Werder Bremen have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of A. Schlager on a free transfer and E. Dinkçi on loan, while parting ways with M. Backhaus. Meanwhile, RB Leipzig have strengthened their squad by signing R. Reitz, M. Estève, and C. Nkunku, offsetting the departures of Y. Diomande, X. Schlager, and P. Gulácsi. These changes highlight Leipzig's intent to maintain their competitive edge as the season begins.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Werder Bremen
Away — RB Leipzig
Analysis
Statistically, RB Leipzig hold a clear advantage with a superior goal difference and points-per-game ratio from last season, suggesting a stronger overall squad. The predicted scoreline of 2-1 in favour of Leipzig aligns with their ability to secure an early lead, as indicated by the expected halftime score of 0-1. Werder Bremen's new signings will look to disrupt Leipzig's rhythm, but the visitors' depth and quality are likely to prevail.
Prediction
Expect RB Leipzig to take the lead before halftime and hold on for a 2-1 victory. Werder Bremen will respond with a goal of their own, but Leipzig's attacking prowess and tactical discipline should see them through this opening fixture.
The verdict
As the Bundesliga season gets underway, this match sets the tone for both sides. Leipzig's summer business and last season's form suggest they will start strongly, while Bremen will aim to build on their new additions. Ultimately, Leipzig's edge in quality points to a narrow away win to kick off the campaign.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Dinkçi
Assist: Chuky San José
Chuky San José
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Bakayoko
Dinkçi
Arthur
Füllkrug
Assist: Grüll
Füllkrug
El Aynaoui
Grüll
Chuky San José
Regeer
Nkunku
Nusa
Baku
Assist: MaksimoviÄ
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Werder Bremen
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1K. HeinG
- 2O. DemanD
- 5A. PieperD
- 10N. FüllkrugF
- 13ArthurD
- 15L. ReisM
- 17M. GrüllM
- 18E. DinkçiM
- 20Chuky San JoséM
- 32M. FriedlD
- 44Y. RegeerM
Substitutes
- 3O. WójcikD
- 4N. StarkD
- 16M. N'DiayeD
- 23Dariusz StalmachM
- 26C. IttenF
- 29Salim Amani MusahF
- 30A. SchlagerG
- 33Mick SchmetgensD
- 38P. ErevbenagieF
RB Leipzig
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3M. EstèveD
- 4W. OrbánD
- 6E. BanzuziM
- 7A. NusaF
- 11J. BakayokoF
- 13N. SeiwaldM
- 17R. BakuD
- 21N. El AynaouiM
- 22D. RaumD
- 26M. VandevoordtG
- 28C. NkunkuF
Substitutes
- 1Ø. NylandG
- 9Marc GuiuF
- 16L. KlostermannD
- 27T. GomisF
- 30A. MaksimoviÄM
- 35Max FinkgräfeD
- 39B. HenrichsD
- 45S. KonateF
Werder Bremen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Grüll | M | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2/2 |
| N. Füllkrug | F | 74 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Dinkçi | M | 67 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Pieper | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Friedl | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chuky San José | M | 83 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Hein | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur | D | 67 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Mick Schmetgens | D | 23 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| O. Deman | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Y. Regeer | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 7 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Erevbenagie | F | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| L. Reis | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Itten | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Salim Amani Musah | F | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. N'Diaye | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schlager | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Wójcik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Stark | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Raum | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | — |
| M. Vandevoordt | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Nkunku | F | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Nusa | F | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 4/7 |
| T. Gomis | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/8 |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| S. Konate | F | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| M. Estève | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Guiu | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Baku | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| W. Orbán | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| J. Bakayoko | F | 63 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| N. Seiwald | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. MaksimoviÄ | M | 6 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Banzuzi | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Klostermann | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ø. Nyland | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Henrichs | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Leipzig to win against Werder Bremen.
- What score did Fipster predict for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Werder Bremen 1–2 RB Leipzig.
- What were the win probabilities for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster's model gave Werder Bremen a 12% chance of winning, RB Leipzig a 75% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.