Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg
Werder Bremen snatch dramatic win
A late surge sees Bremen overturn Augsburg's lead in a five-goal thriller.
FC Augsburg looked comfortable with a two-goal cushion thanks to early strikes from R. Fellhauer and C. Brackelmann. However, Werder Bremen mounted a spirited comeback after the break, with M. Grüll sparking the revival and N. Füllkrug equalising before M. Weiser sealed the win deep into stoppage time. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an Augsburg victory, delivering a thrilling upset on home turf.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Werder Bremen facing FC Augsburg in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both sides have reshaped their squads over the summer, with fresh faces aiming to make an immediate impact as they seek to set the tone for the campaign ahead.
Key facts
- 1.FC Augsburg have a better league standing and goal difference than Werder Bremen.
- 2.Werder Bremen signed A. Schlager (free agent) and have two loan arrivals: Y. Regeer and E. Dinkçi.
- 3.FC Augsburg signed Seol Young-Woo and have loan players A. Ibrahimović and Abdulay Bah.
- 4.Werder Bremen lost R. Schmid, M. Backhaus, and Abdoul Karim Coulibaly over the summer.
- 5.FC Augsburg lost D. Giannoulis, K. Schlotterbeck, and C. Zesiger in transfers.
- 6.Predicted halftime score is 0-2 in favour of FC Augsburg.
- 7.Predicted fulltime score is 1-3 to FC Augsburg.
- 8.Expected total cards in the match is three.
The context
Werder Bremen have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of A. Schlager on a free transfer and the loan signings of Y. Regeer and E. Dinkçi, while parting ways with R. Schmid, M. Backhaus, and Abdoul Karim Coulibaly. FC Augsburg, meanwhile, have strengthened their squad by signing Seol Young-Woo and bringing in A. Ibrahimović and Abdulay Bah on loan, offsetting the departures of D. Giannoulis, K. Schlotterbeck, and C. Zesiger. These changes set the stage for a competitive season opener between two teams eager to make their mark.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Werder Bremen
Away — FC Augsburg
Analysis
Statistically, FC Augsburg hold the edge with a superior league standing and a better goal difference compared to Werder Bremen. The prediction models strongly favour an away win, with the most probable halftime scoreline being 0-2 and a fulltime score of 1-3. Discipline-wise, the match is expected to see around three cards, suggesting a contest with a fair share of competitive intensity but not overly aggressive.
Prediction
Expect FC Augsburg to assert their superiority early on, taking a two-goal lead into halftime and maintaining control to finish 3-1. Werder Bremen may find the net once, but the visitors' stronger squad and tactical setup should secure them the three points in this season opener.
The verdict
As the new season unfolds, FC Augsburg look poised to start on a high note, capitalising on their summer reinforcements and superior form. Werder Bremen will need to regroup quickly after this setback if they are to challenge effectively in the matches ahead.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Massengo
Yellow Card
Fellhauer
Assist: Rieder
Arthur
Yellow Card
Massengo
Kömür
Gregoritsch
Brackelmann
Assist: Claude-Maurice
Grüll
Yellow Card
Grüll
Assist: Chuky San José
Dinkçi
Yellow Card
Wolf
Behrens
Yellow Card
Reis
Pieper
Brackelmann
Füllkrug
Weiser
Assist: Grüll
Arthur
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Werder Bremen
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1K. HeinG
- 2O. DemanD
- 5A. PieperD
- 10N. FüllkrugF
- 13ArthurM
- 15L. ReisM
- 17M. GrüllM
- 18E. DinkçiF
- 20Chuky San JoséF
- 32M. FriedlD
- 44Y. RegeerM
Substitutes
- 3O. WójcikD
- 4N. StarkD
- 8M. WeiserD
- 23Dariusz StalmachM
- 26C. IttenF
- 29Salim Amani MusahF
- 30A. SchlagerG
- 33Mick SchmetgensD
- 38P. ErevbenagieF
FC Augsburg
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1F. DahmenG
- 2C. BrackelmannD
- 4H. MassengoM
- 5C. MatsimaD
- 10M. KömürM
- 11M. GregoritschF
- 16Hennes BehrensM
- 19R. FellhauerM
- 27M. WolfM
- 32F. RiederM
- 40Noahkai Kai Daniel BanksD
Substitutes
- 6J. GouweleeuwD
- 7Seol Young-WooD
- 9Rodrigo RibeiroF
- 14Y. KeitelM
- 20A. Claude-MauriceM
- 21A. IbrahimovićM
- 22N. LabrovićG
- 35Abdulay BahD
- 39U. OgunduF
Werder Bremen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Füllkrug | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0/2 |
| M. Grüll | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Chuky San José | F | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Y. Regeer | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| M. Friedl | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Weiser | D | 22 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| O. Deman | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| A. Pieper | D | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Reis | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Salim Amani Musah | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Dinkçi | F | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/7 |
| K. Hein | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Wójcik | D | 11 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Itten | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schlager | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Stark | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Erevbenagie | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mick Schmetgens | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Augsburg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Fellhauer | M | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| C. Brackelmann | D | 83 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Rieder | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| C. Matsima | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Noahkai Kai Daniel Banks | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Gregoritsch | F | 53 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Dahmen | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Ribeiro | F | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Claude-Maurice | M | 37 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Seol Young-Woo | D | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gouweleeuw | D | 7 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Wolf | M | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Kömür | M | 53 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Y. Keitel | M | 38 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Massengo | M | 52 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hennes Behrens | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ibrahimović | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Ogundu | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulay Bah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Labrović | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster's AI model predicted FC Augsburg to win against Werder Bremen.
- What score did Fipster predict for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Werder Bremen 1–3 FC Augsburg.
- What were the win probabilities for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
- Fipster's model gave Werder Bremen a 5% chance of winning, FC Augsburg a 90% chance, and a 5% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 90% confidence — a high-confidence call.