Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen secure solid 2-0 win
Füllkrug and Dinkçi strike to seal a comfortable home victory.
Werder Bremen claimed a straightforward 2-0 victory over 1899 Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga, with N. Füllkrug opening the scoring shortly after the break and E. Dinkçi adding a second goal late on. The home side controlled the match well, denying Hoffenheim any reply. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the actual scoreline was a bit more restrained than the anticipated 4-2.
Outcome probability
As the Bundesliga regular season rolls on, Werder Bremen and 1899 Hoffenheim prepare to face off in what promises to be a lively encounter. Bremen's attacking prowess at home has been impressive, while Hoffenheim will look to challenge despite some injury doubts.
Match factors
Füllkrug's clinical finishing vs Hoffenheim defense
Füllkrug's 6 goals in 6 games highlight his threat against a Hoffenheim defense conceding 2.3 goals per game
Werder Bremen's strong home scoring form
Werder Bremen averages 2.67 goals per home game, well above league average, supporting predicted 4 goals
Marco Grüll's dual threat in goals and assists
Grüll has 2 goals and 4 assists this season with strong recent form, key to Bremen's attack
Hoffenheim's doubtful key attacker Conté
Conté is doubtful with injury but is Hoffenheim's top scorer and assister; his absence reduces their attacking threat
Avdullahu's midfield defensive work vs Bremen's attackers
Avdullahu leads Hoffenheim in tackles and interceptions, crucial to disrupting Bremen's attacking flow
The context
This match is part of the eighth round of the Bundesliga regular season. Werder Bremen currently enjoy a notable points-per-game advantage over Hoffenheim, reflecting their stronger form so far. Historically, Hoffenheim have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, but recent form and home advantage could tilt the scales.
Key insights
Niclas Füllkrug
Werder Bremen
Füllkrug's clinical finishing is a major threat against Hoffenheim's leaky defence, with 6 goals in 6 games.
Bundesliga 26/276 goals in 6 games, 1.4 average in last 5 games
Marco Grüll
Werder Bremen
Grüll's dual threat of goals and assists fuels Bremen's attack, making him a key creative force.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals and 4 assists in 6 games
Bambasé Conté
1899 Hoffenheim
Conté's doubtful status due to injury reduces Hoffenheim's attacking options, impacting their goal threat.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals and 2 assists this season
Analysis
Werder Bremen's attack, spearheaded by Niclas Füllkrug, has been prolific with six goals in six games, including a strong recent run. Marco Grüll adds creativity and goal threat, making Bremen's forward line a handful. Hoffenheim face a challenge with key attacker Bambasé Conté doubtful due to injury, which could blunt their offensive edge. Defensively, Hoffenheim's Leon Avdullahu is crucial in midfield to disrupt Bremen's flow, but Bremen's home scoring average of 2.67 goals per game suggests they will find opportunities. The predicted halftime score of 2-1 aligns with the expected open and attacking nature of the game, leading to a 4-2 fulltime result.
Key facts
- 1.Werder Bremen average 2.67 goals per home game this season.
- 2.Niclas Füllkrug leads Bremen with 6 goals in 6 games, including 7 in his last 5 matches.
- 3.Marco Grüll has contributed 2 goals and 4 assists this season, key to Bremen's attack.
- 4.Bambasé Conté is doubtful for Hoffenheim, impacting their offensive threat.
- 5.Werder Bremen hold a points-per-game advantage of 1.71 over Hoffenheim's 1.00.
- 6.In 20 previous meetings, Hoffenheim have won 11 times, Bremen 4, with 5 draws.
Prediction
We expect Werder Bremen to take an early lead and maintain their momentum, leading 2-1 at halftime. Their attacking efficiency should see them extend the advantage in the second half, finishing the match 4-2 winners over Hoffenheim.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Werder Bremen
Away — 1899 Hoffenheim
The verdict
In summary, Werder Bremen's strong home form and attacking firepower make them the favourites to claim a high-scoring victory. Hoffenheim will offer resistance, but the absence of key players and Bremen's clinical finishing should prove decisive.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 16:31 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Weiser
Füllkrug
Assist: Hein
Friedl
Yellow Card
Hložek
Deman
Chuky San José
Dinkçi
Assist: Grüll
Kramarić
Avdullahu
Asllani
Rots
Reis
Füllkrug
Arthur
Yellow Card
Regeer
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. HeinG
- 2O. DemanD
- 5A. PieperD
- 8M. WeiserM
- 10N. FüllkrugF
- 13ArthurD
- 15L. ReisM
- 17M. GrüllM
- 20Chuky San JoséM
- 32M. FriedlD
- 44Y. RegeerM
Substitutes
- 3O. WójcikD
- 11J. NjinmahF
- 14S. LynenM
- 18E. DinkçiF
- 19K. QuetantF
- 23Dariusz StalmachM
- 26C. IttenF
- 30A. SchlagerG
- 33Mick SchmetgensD
1899 Hoffenheim
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1O. BaumannG
- 5O. KabakD
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 10A. HložekF
- 11F. AsllaniF
- 14A. DaghimM
- 18W. BurgerM
- 27A. KramarićM
- 28K. MachidaD
- 29Natnael AbrahaM
- 39M. RotsD
Substitutes
- 13BernardoD
- 19T. LemperleF
- 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
- 37L. PhilippG
- 47V. LässigD
- 52K. GjasulaM
- 55Y. B. Zor MuhammedF
Werder Bremen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Füllkrug | F | 91 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1/2 |
| M. Grüll | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 5 | 3/5 |
| E. Dinkçi | F | 74 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| A. Pieper | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Friedl | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Lynen | M | 17 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mick Schmetgens | D | 17 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Hein | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Deman | D | 73 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Arthur | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| M. Weiser | M | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Reis | M | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Y. Regeer | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Chuky San José | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| O. Wójcik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Njinmah | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Itten | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schlager | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Quetant | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Machida | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kabak | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Hložek | F | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Rots | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| W. Burger | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 4/4 |
| T. Lemperle | F | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| A. Kramarić | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| Cajetan Benjamin Lenz | M | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Asllani | F | 87 | 6.4 | — | — | 7 | — | — | 3/5 |
| Natnael Abraha | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/8 |
| Y. B. Zor Muhammed | F | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Daghim | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| L. Avdullahu | M | 87 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Baumann | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Lässig | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Gjasula | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bernardo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Philipp | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Werder Bremen to win against 1899 Hoffenheim.
- What score did Fipster predict for Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Werder Bremen 4–2 1899 Hoffenheim.
- What were the win probabilities for Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Fipster's model gave Werder Bremen a 91% chance of winning, 1899 Hoffenheim a 4% chance, and a 5% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 91% confidence — a high-confidence call.