Watford vs Charlton
Watford secure comfortable win over Charlton
Kjerrumgaard and Zemura seal a solid 2-0 victory for the hosts.
Watford claimed a 2-0 victory against Charlton in the Championship, with L. Kjerrumgaard breaking the deadlock after the break and J. Zemura adding a late finish in stoppage time. The home side controlled the match well enough to keep a clean sheet and secure all three points. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
Watford and Charlton are set for an intriguing regular season fixture that promises goals and excitement. Both teams have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for a closely contested match.
Match factors
Watford's midfield scoring edge
Amin Nabizada leads Watford with 3 goals, outperforming league midfield averages, providing a key attacking outlet
Charlton's top scorer Tyreece Campbell in form
Campbell has 4 goals this season and is a consistent starter, posing a significant threat to Watford's defense
Watford's creative hub Iker Bravo
Bravo leads Watford with 2 assists and above average passing accuracy, key for creating chances
Watford missing key midfielders Bove and Baah
Confirmed absences of Bove and Baah reduce midfield depth and creativity, increasing reliance on Nabizada and Kayembe
Charlton's recent scoring streak
Charlton has scored in 3 consecutive matches, showing positive attacking momentum heading into this fixture
The context
Charlton currently sit 12th in the league with 14 points from 10 games, while Watford find themselves lower down the table in 22nd with 8 points. Historically, Charlton have the upper hand with four wins in eight meetings against Watford, but recent form and home advantage could play a crucial role here.
Key insights
Amin Nabizada
Watford
Leads Watford with 3 goals, all scored at home, providing a crucial attacking outlet.
Championship 26/273 goals in 10 appearances, strong home scoring form
Tyreece Campbell
Charlton
Top scorer with 4 goals, consistent starter, posing a significant threat to Watford's defence.
Championship 26/274 goals in 10 appearances, 0.4 goals/game
Iker Bravo
Watford
Creative midfielder leading with 2 assists and above average passing accuracy, key for chance creation.
Championship 26/272 assists in 10 appearances, 0.2 assists/game
Analysis
The head-to-head encounters between these two sides have averaged over three goals per match, indicating an open and attacking style when they meet. Watford's Amin Nabizada has been a standout performer at home, netting three goals this season, while Charlton's Tyreece Campbell leads their scoring charts with four goals. Watford will miss key midfielders Bove and Baah, which could test their creativity, but the presence of creative midfielder Iker Bravo, who tops their assists, offers hope. Charlton have been consistent scorers recently, finding the net in three consecutive matches, suggesting they will pose a real threat.
Key facts
- 1.Charlton lead head-to-head with 4 wins in 8 matches against Watford.
- 2.Average of 3.1 goals per match in their head-to-head meetings.
- 3.Charlton are 12th in the league with 14 points from 10 games.
- 4.Watford are 22nd with 8 points from 10 games.
- 5.Watford's Amin Nabizada has scored 3 goals this season, all at home.
- 6.Charlton's Tyreece Campbell is their top scorer with 4 goals.
- 7.Watford will miss key midfielders Bove and Baah due to injury.
Prediction
Expect a thrilling encounter with Watford narrowly coming out on top 3-2. The home side's attacking midfielders and creative spark should just edge out Charlton's solid form and goal-scoring threat. Four cards are anticipated, reflecting the competitive nature of the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Watford
Away — Charlton
The verdict
This fixture promises entertainment with plenty of goals and competitive spirit. Watford's home advantage and key attacking players might just tip the balance in their favour, but Charlton will be no pushovers in what should be a lively contest.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 06:06 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
McNamara
Yellow Card
Boadu
Yellow Card
Bravo
Yellow Card
Skipp
Yellow Card
Campbell
Yellow Card
Skipp
Coventry
Yellow Card
Kjerrumgaard
Coventry
McNamara
Ahearne-Grant
Diatta
Boadu
Kjerrumgaard
Bola
Campbell
Zemura
Yellow Card
Bravo
Mwamba
Yellow Card
Zemura
Assist: Vata
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 21 |  Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Watford
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1F. RavagliaG
- 3S. CoulibalyD
- 4K. KebenD
- 5H. KyprianouM
- 6M. PollockD
- 9L. KjerrumgaardF
- 10M. BoaduF
- 15K. DiattaD
- 16M. BolaD
- 17Iker BravoM
- 39E. KayembeM
Substitutes
- 7O. MaammaF
- 11R. VataF
- 20M. DoumbiaF
- 21Amin NabizadaF
- 22M. PayeroM
- 26D. BachmannG
- 29Branimir MlačićD
- 33J. ZemuraD
- 45S. MavididiF
Charlton
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2K. RamsayD
- 5L. JonesD
- 6C. CoventryM
- 7T. CampbellM
- 9K. Ahearne-GrantM
- 11M. LeaburnF
- 12Billy Dawson KoumetioD
- 13A. OkonkwoG
- 18I. MesíkM
- 20D. McNamaraM
- 34O. SkippM
Substitutes
- 8H. KnibbsM
- 14S. CareyM
- 17A. BellD
- 19M. AlliF
- 23C. KelmanF
- 25W. MannionG
- 32A. MwambaD
- 33Micah MbickF
- 44Tyler BindonD
Watford
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kjerrumgaard | F | 76 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| K. Diatta | D | 66 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| S. Coulibaly | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Pollock | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Bravo | M | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/3 |
| E. Kayembe | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2/3 |
| M. Payero | M | 24 | 7.1 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| Branimir Mlačić | D | 14 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Keben | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Bola | D | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Ravaglia | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Zemura | D | 24 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Doumbia | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Vata | F | 4 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| H. Kyprianou | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Boadu | F | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| S. Mavididi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Maamma | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Nabizada | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bachmann | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Charlton
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Okonkwo | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jones | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Ramsay | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Billy Dawson Koumetio | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Kelman | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Carey | M | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Leaburn | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| D. McNamara | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| I. Mesík | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| M. Alli | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Skipp | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Coventry | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| T. Campbell | M | 77 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Mwamba | D | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Knibbs | M | 27 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Ahearne-Grant | M | 63 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Bindon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Micah Mbick | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Mannion | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bell | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Watford vs Charlton?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Watford to win against Charlton.
- What score did Fipster predict for Watford vs Charlton?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Watford 3–2 Charlton.
- What were the win probabilities for Watford vs Charlton?
- Fipster's model gave Watford a 42% chance of winning, Charlton a 29% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 42% confidence — a low-confidence call.