Vitoria vs Botafogo
Vitoria edges Botafogo with penalty strike
Matheuzinho's first-half penalty seals a narrow home win.
In a tight Serie A encounter, Vitoria secured a 1-0 victory over Botafogo thanks to Matheuzinho's penalty in the 27th minute. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring an away win, the home side held firm to claim all three points in a closely contested match.
Outcome probability
Vitoria and Botafogo face off in what promises to be a competitive encounter in the regular season. Both sides have shown moments of promise, but Botafogo's slightly better form and goal difference suggest they might just have the upper hand.
Match factors
Botafogo's superior scoring rate
Botafogo averages 1.7 goals per game vs Vitoria's 1.0, indicating stronger attack
Vitoria's Rene vs Botafogo defense
Rene's 5 goals and strong home form pose a key threat to Botafogo's defense
Arthur Cabral's consistent scoring
Arthur Cabral leads Botafogo with 7 goals and strong recent form, boosting attack
Gabriel Baralhas creative midfield role
Baralhas' 3 assists and captaincy highlight his key playmaking role for Vitoria
Defensive solidity from Ramon
Ramon's defensive stats and 19 starts provide Vitoria stability at the back
The context
This match is part of the 23rd round of the league, where Botafogo currently sit 8th with 30 points, while Vitoria are 13th with 26 points. Historically, Botafogo have the edge in their head-to-head meetings, having won 8 of the 20 encounters compared to Vitoria's 3, with 9 draws.
Key insights
Arthur Cabral
Botafogo
Leading scorer with 7 goals and strong recent form, boosting Botafogo's attack.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 17 appearances, 0.41 goals/game
Rene
Vitoria
Top scorer with 5 goals and strong home scoring form, key offensive threat.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 13 appearances, 0.38 goals/game
Danilo Santos
Botafogo
High scoring midfielder with 7 goals, a key contributor to Botafogo's attack.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 14 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
Gabriel Baralhas
Vitoria
Team captain and creative hub with 3 assists, vital in midfield playmaking.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 18 appearances, 0.17 assists/game
Analysis
Botafogo's attacking prowess is highlighted by Arthur Cabral, their leading scorer with 7 goals this season, who has been in strong recent form. Midfielder Danilo Santos also contributes significantly with 7 goals. Vitoria will rely on Rene, their top scorer with 5 goals and strong home form, to challenge Botafogo's defence. Despite Vitoria's defensive stability, Botafogo's superior goal difference and consistent scoring rate give them a tactical advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Botafogo lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Vitoria's 3 in 20 matches, with 9 draws.
- 2.Botafogo are 8th in the league with 30 points; Vitoria are 13th with 26 points.
- 3.Botafogo have a better goal difference (+2) compared to Vitoria (-9).
- 4.Arthur Cabral is Botafogo's top scorer with 7 goals this season.
- 5.Rene is Vitoria's top scorer with 5 goals and strong home form.
- 6.Danilo Santos has scored 7 goals from midfield for Botafogo.
- 7.Gabriel Baralhas is Vitoria's captain and creative midfield presence with 3 assists.
Prediction
The prediction sees Botafogo taking an early lead by halftime, with a 0-1 scoreline, and ultimately winning 2-1. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of around four cards, reflecting a spirited contest. While the away win is the most probable outcome, the low confidence in this call suggests the game could still swing either way.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Vitoria
Away — Botafogo
The verdict
In summary, Botafogo's consistent scoring and historical edge over Vitoria make them the favourites to claim the three points. However, Vitoria's key players and home form mean they won't go down without a fight, promising an entertaining match for the fans.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Huguinho
Yellow Card
Matheuzinho
Penalty
Huguinho
Montoro
Yellow Card
Goal Disallowed - offside
Ramon
Yellow Card
Martínez
Yellow Card
Matheus Martins
Martínez
Ramon
Monzón
Yellow Card
Tarzia
Rene
Santos
Medina
Matheuzinho
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | +2 | 32 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 13 |  Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 27 |
Match Statistics
Vitoria
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Lucas ArcanjoG
- 2E. BrítezD
- 6E. MartínezM
- 10MatheuzinhoM
- 12D. TarziaM
- 13RamonD
- 25CacáD
- 33ErickM
- 36Luan CândidoD
- 88Zé VitorM
- 91ReneF
Substitutes
- 7MarinhoF
- 8T. PochettinoM
- 11OsvaldoF
- 15WalaceD
- 18KauanD
- 23FabrícioF
- 26EdenilsonM
- 70FabianoD
- 71Yuri SenaG
- 79Renato KayzerF
- 83JamersonD
- 98MateusinhoD
Botafogo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2VitinhoD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 6C. MedinaM
- 8Danilo SantosM
- 10Álvaro MontoroM
- 11Matheus MartinsM
- 13Alex TellesD
- 17WarlesonG
- 19Arthur CabralF
- 33L. MonzónD
- 75HuguinhoM
Substitutes
- 4M. PonteD
- 7Júnior SantosF
- 9DaniloF
- 12Gabriel BatistaG
- 23S. RodríguezM
- 25AllanM
- 26AnthonyD
- 37K. BarriaF
- 59Kauan ToledoM
- 77L. VillalbaF
- 88EdenílsonM
- 91Domingos AndradeM
Vitoria
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erick | M | 92 | 8.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5/5 |
| Lucas Arcanjo | G | 92 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Vitor | M | 92 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Matheuzinho | M | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/3 |
| Luan Cândido | D | 92 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Martínez | M | 59 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Diego Tarzia | M | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Emanuel Brítez | D | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cacá(C) | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ramon | D | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Renê Sousa | F | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kauan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateusinho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Sena | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabiano Souza | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osvaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Santos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | 33 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Walace | D | 33 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marinho | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tomás Pochettino | M | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 92 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Telles(C) | D | 92 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Cristian Medina | M | 72 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Warleson | G | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 53 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Vitinho | D | 92 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Lucas Monzón | D | 92 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/7 |
| Huguinho | M | 28 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Villalba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Ponte | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan Toledo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Batista | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadir Barría | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Rodríguez | M | 20 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Danilo | F | 39 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Domingos Andrade | M | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Júnior Santos | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |