Vitoria vs Bahia
Bahia stuns Vitoria with late double
A solid away win sealed by A. Véliz and a stoppage-time clincher from Jean Lucas.
Bahia secured a 2-0 victory over Vitoria in Serie A, overturning expectations as Fipster had tipped a Vitoria win. A. Véliz broke the deadlock after the break, and Jean Lucas wrapped up the points deep into stoppage time, ensuring a clean sheet and a confident away performance.
Outcome probability
This upcoming fixture between Vitoria and Bahia promises a competitive encounter as both teams look to improve their league standings. With Vitoria sitting 13th and Bahia 5th, the match could be pivotal for momentum.
Match factors
Bahia missing key creative midfielders
Bahia's Erick and Everton Ribeiro are confirmed out, weakening midfield creativity and assist potential
Vitoria's attacking duo in form
Rene and Renato Kayzer lead Vitoria's scoring with 5 and 4 goals respectively, strong home form supports attack
Vitoria's home scoring efficiency
Vitoria averages 1.45 goals per home game, above league average, boosting chances for multiple scorers
Luciano Juba's scoring threat from defense
Bahia's defender Luciano Juba has 7 goals this season, a rare scoring threat especially on set pieces, if fit
Erick's creative form for Vitoria
Erick leads Vitoria with 4 assists and strong recent match ratings, key to unlocking Bahia's defense
The context
In their 20 previous meetings, Bahia have the upper hand with 8 wins to Vitoria's 4, alongside 8 draws. Bahia currently hold a better league position and a positive goal difference, but Vitoria's home scoring efficiency could be a key factor.
Key insights
Rene
Vitoria
Top scorer for Vitoria with 5 goals, showing strong home scoring rate and likely to influence the outcome.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 14 appearances, 0.36 goals/game
Erick
Vitoria
Leading assist provider with 4 assists and strong recent form, key to unlocking Bahia's defence.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 21 appearances, 0.19 assists/game
- L
Luciano Juba
Bahia
Rare scoring defender with 7 goals this season, a major threat on set pieces if fit, but doubtful status caps impact.
Serie A 26/277 goals this season
Renato Kayzer
Vitoria
Important attacking presence with 4 goals this season and good recent contributions at home.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 17 appearances, 0.24 goals/game
Analysis
The first half is expected to be balanced, with a predicted 1-1 scoreline at halftime. Vitoria's attacking duo, Rene and Renato Kayzer, have been influential this season, especially at home. Bahia's defensive threat includes Luciano Juba, a defender with an impressive 7 goals this season, though his fitness remains uncertain. Vitoria's creative spark comes from Erick, who leads the team with 4 assists and strong recent form. Bahia's midfield creativity is hampered by the absence of key players Erick and Everton Ribeiro, which could tilt the balance in Vitoria's favour.
Key facts
- 1.Bahia lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Vitoria's 4 in 20 matches.
- 2.Bahia are 5th in the league with 34 points; Vitoria are 13th with 26 points.
- 3.Bahia have a +4 goal difference; Vitoria have -11 this season.
- 4.Vitoria average 1.45 goals per home game, above the league average.
- 5.Vitoria's Rene is top scorer with 5 goals this season, showing strong home form.
- 6.Bahia's Luciano Juba has 7 goals this season, a rare scoring defender, but is doubtful for this match.
- 7.Bahia are missing key creative midfielders Erick and Everton Ribeiro due to injury.
Prediction
The forecast is for Vitoria to clinch a 2-1 win after a competitive first half. The home side's ability to capitalise on their attacking strengths and Bahia's midfield absences are likely to be decisive in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Vitoria
Away — Bahia
The verdict
Expect a spirited contest with Vitoria narrowly overcoming Bahia. The match should provide plenty of action and a few moments of quality, with Vitoria's home form giving them the edge in a tight affair.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Matheuzinho
Yellow Card
Rodrigo Nestor
Yellow Card
Tarzia
Walace
Erick
Véliz
Assist: Pulga
Matheuzinho
Erick
Brítez
Pulga
Yellow Card
Ruan Pablo
Pulga
Véliz
Jean Lucas
Assist: Araújo
Jean Lucas
Yellow Card
Cacá
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Vitoria
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Lucas ArcanjoG
- 2E. BrítezD
- 10MatheuzinhoM
- 12D. TarziaM
- 13RamonD
- 15WalaceM
- 25CacáD
- 33ErickM
- 36Luan CândidoD
- 88Zé VitorM
- 91ReneF
Substitutes
- 6E. MartínezM
- 7MarinhoF
- 8T. PochettinoM
- 11OsvaldoF
- 18KauanD
- 23FabrícioF
- 26EdenilsonM
- 71Yuri SenaG
- 79Renato KayzerF
- 83JamersonD
- 98MateusinhoD
Bahia
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 5N. AcevedoM
- 9A. VélizF
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 14ErickM
- 16Erick PulgaM
- 21S. RamosD
- 31Roman GomezD
- 33David DuarteD
- 46Luciano JubaD
- 99C. OliveraM
Substitutes
- 3Marco MorenoD
- 4KanuD
- 6Jean LucasM
- 8Caio AlexandreM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 15M. AraújoM
- 17G. HerreraG
- 23M. SanabriaF
- 27EveraldoF
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 66Zé GuilhermeD
- 77Ruan PabloF
Vitoria
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cacá | D | 95 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Arcanjo(C) | G | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walace | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Diego Tarzia | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Zé Vitor | M | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Luan Cândido | D | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Emanuel Brítez | D | 77 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramon | D | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Erick | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Renê Sousa | F | 95 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Osvaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edenilson | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabrício Santos | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuri Sena | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamerson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tomás Pochettino | M | 50 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Emmanuel Martínez | M | 50 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Marinho | F | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mateusinho | D | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Renato Kayzer | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luciano Juba | D | 95 | 8.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| Alejo Véliz | F | 94 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Erick Pulga | F | 82 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2/4 |
| Ronaldo | G | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolás Acevedo(C) | M | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Erick | M | 71 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Román Gómez | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| Cristian Olivera | F | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Marcos Victor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Guilherme | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kanu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guido Herrera | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Moreno | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jean Lucas | M | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/3 |
| Ruan Pablo | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |