Villarreal vs Sevilla
Match recap
Sevilla beat Villarreal 3–2 in their La Liga fixture. Moreno and Mikautadze scored for Villarreal; Oso, Kike Salas, and Adams replied for Sevilla. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.81 for Villarreal versus 0.88 for Sevilla. Villarreal sit 3rd in the La Liga table while Sevilla are 13th.
Analysis
As La Liga approaches its 36th round, Villarreal hosts Sevilla in a match that promises goals and drama. With Villarreal's potent home attack and Sevilla's defensive struggles away, this fixture is set for an exciting contest.
Villarreal currently sit 3rd in the league with 68 points, showcasing consistent form and a strong goal difference of +25. Sevilla, placed 12th with 40 points, have struggled defensively on the road, conceding nearly two goals per away game. The stage is set for Villarreal to leverage their home advantage.
Villarreal's attacking trio, led by G. Mikautadze and N. Pépé, have been in fine form at home, combining for multiple goals and assists recently. Despite some injury setbacks, the team's creative output remains high, with Alberto Moleiro linking midfield and attack effectively. Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities away from home further tilt the scales towards Villarreal.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 victory for Villarreal, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this outcome is high at 95%, supported by statistical evidence and current form.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Villarreal's potent home attack
Villarreal scores 2.4 goals per home game, with key attackers in strong form, giving them an edge.
Key Villarreal attackers injured or suspended
Mikautadze and Gerard Moreno are injured; Buchanan suspended but returning, affecting attacking options.
Superior creative output from Villarreal
Pépé and Moleiro provide high assist rates, enhancing Villarreal's goal-scoring chances.
Villarreal's positive scoring streak at home
Villarreal has scored in last 5 home games, showing consistent offensive momentum.
Sevilla's defensive vulnerabilities away
Sevilla concedes 1.9 goals per away game, indicating potential defensive frailty against Villarreal's attack.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Villarreal's superior league position, attacking firepower, and home advantage make them favourites to edge past Sevilla. Fans can expect a closely fought match with goals and tactical battles, culminating in a deserved home win.
- Villarreal rank 3rd with 68 points from 34 games (W21 D5 L8).
- Sevilla are 12th with 40 points from 35 games (W11 D7 L17).
- Villarreal have a +25 goal difference, indicating strong offense and defense.
- Villarreal average 2.00 points per game, nearly double Sevilla's 1.14.
- Villarreal score 2.4 goals per home game, showing potent attack.
- Sevilla concede 1.9 goals per away game, highlighting defensive issues.
- G. Mikautadze has 11 goals, including 2 in last 2 home games.
- N. Pépé contributes 8 goals and 6 assists, excelling at home.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Villarreal
Away — Sevilla
No standout top scorers flagged for Sevilla
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Moreno
Assist: Mikautadze
Mikautadze
Assist: Moleiro
Oso
Assist: Agoumé
Kike Salas
Assist: Vargas
Gueye
Pépé
Vargas
Dani Parejo
Mikautadze
Maupay
Adams
Assist: Sow
Pérez
Yellow Card
Adams
Sow
Veiga
Yellow Card
José Ángel Carmona
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -15 | 45 |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 | 43 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 | 43 |
Match Statistics
Villarreal
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3A. FreemanD
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 10Dani ParejoM
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 18P. GueyeM
- 19N. PépéM
- 20Alberto MoleiroM
- 24PedrazaD
- 25Arnau TenasG
Substitutes
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 2Logan CostaD
- 4Rafa MarínD
- 5Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 11Alfon GonzálezF
- 14Santi ComesañaM
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 16T. ParteyM
- 17T. BuchananF
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 23Sergi CardonaD
Sevilla
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1O. VlachodimosG
- 2José Ángel CarmonaD
- 3César AzpilicuetaD
- 4Kike SalasD
- 9A. AdamsF
- 11R. VargasM
- 12G. SuazoD
- 17N. MaupayF
- 18L. AgouméM
- 20D. SowM
- 36OsoD
Substitutes
- 5T. NianzouD
- 6N. GudeljM
- 8Joan JordánM
- 10A. SánchezF
- 13Ø. NylandG
- 14Peque FernándezF
- 15Fábio CardosoD
- 16Juanlu SánchezM
- 19B. MendyM
- 21C. EjukeF
- 24A. JanuzajM
- 32Andrés CastrínD
Villarreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Moreno(C) | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/5 |
| Dani Parejo | M | 70 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Georges Mikautadze | F | 70 | 7.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Pape Gueye | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alexander Freeman | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolas Pépé | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/7 |
| Arnau Tenas | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alfonso Pedraza | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Logan Costa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfon González | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Júnior | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kambwala | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Mouriño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tajon Buchanan | F | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Partey | M | 30 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sevilla
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oso | D | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4/9 |
| Djibril Sow | M | 86 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| José Ángel Carmona | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Kike Salas | D | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Akor Adams | F | 86 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Odysseas Vlachodimos | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucien Agoumé | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ruben Vargas | M | 67 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 3/7 |
| César Azpilicueta(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Neal Maupay | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Suazo | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fábio Cardoso | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adnan Januzaj | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ørjan Nyland | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Batista Mendy | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chidera Ejuke | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joan Jordán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanguy Nianzou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peque Fernández | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexis Sánchez | F | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 23 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nemanja Gudelj | M | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andres Castrin | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |