Villarreal vs Levante
Match recap
Villarreal beat Levante 5–1 in their La Liga fixture. Mikautadze, Moleiro, Mikautadze, Buchanan, and Pépé scored for Villarreal; Espí replied for Levante. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.22 for Villarreal versus 0.75 for Levante. Villarreal sit 3rd in the La Liga table while Levante are 16th.
Analysis
As La Liga approaches its 34th round, Villarreal host Levante in a match that promises excitement and a tight contest. With Villarreal sitting comfortably in third place and Levante struggling near the bottom, the stage is set for a home victory, but Levante will be eager to spoil the party.
Villarreal have the upper hand historically, winning 11 of 19 encounters against Levante. Currently third in the league with 65 points, they boast a strong goal difference of +21. Levante, languishing 19th with 33 points and a -13 goal difference, face an uphill battle, compounded by injuries and suspensions.
Villarreal's attacking threat is spearheaded by Nicolas Pépé, who has netted 7 goals this season with a notable recent scoring streak at home. Alberto Moleiro's creativity in midfield adds to their offensive edge. Levante's key attackers are hampered by injuries and suspensions, weakening their chances. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 aligns with Villarreal's strong home scoring momentum, while the fulltime 2-1 scoreline reflects a competitive but ultimately victorious home side.
Prediction
Expect Villarreal to take an early lead and maintain control, securing a 2-1 win. The match should feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest. Confidence in this outcome is high at 85%, given Villarreal's form, home advantage, and Levante's struggles.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key attackers missing or questionable
Villarreal's Mikautadze and Buchanan are injured or suspended, reducing attacking options.
Villarreal's creative midfield edge
Moleiro's playmaking and Pépé's form provide Villarreal a creative advantage over Levante.
Home scoring streak supports Villarreal
Villarreal has scored in all last 5 home games, indicating strong attacking momentum at home.
Levante's inconsistent form and injuries
Levante struggles with injuries and lower scoring rate, weakening their chances against Villarreal.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Villarreal's superior form, home advantage, and key player contributions make them favourites to edge out Levante 2-1. Levante's resilience may keep the scoreline close, but the Yellow Submarine should sail to victory.
- Villarreal have won 11 of 19 meetings against Levante.
- Villarreal rank 3rd with 65 points; Levante are 19th with 33 points.
- Villarreal's goal difference is +21; Levante's is -13.
- Nicolas Pépé has scored 7 goals this season, with strong recent home form.
- Alberto Moleiro leads Villarreal with 4 assists this season.
- Levante face key absences due to injury and suspension.
- Villarreal have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- Predicted total cards for the match is 4.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Villarreal
Away — Levante
No standout top scorers flagged for Levante
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Álvarez
Mikautadze
Dani Parejo
Yellow Card
Arriaga
Yellow Card
Romero
Espí
Assist: Martínez
Veiga
Yellow Card
Moleiro
Assist: Santi Comesaña
Unknown
Mikautadze
Assist: Pépé
Arriaga
Pedraza
Mikautadze
Dani Parejo
Martínez
Navarro
Moreno
Buchanan
Assist: Pépé
Partey
Yellow Card
Pépé
Assist: Cardona
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 | 43 |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -14 | 42 |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -6 | 42 |
Match Statistics
Villarreal
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3A. FreemanD
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 10Dani ParejoM
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 14Santi ComesañaM
- 19N. PépéM
- 20Alberto MoleiroM
- 24PedrazaD
- 25Arnau TenasG
Substitutes
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 2Logan CostaD
- 4Rafa MarínD
- 5Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 11Alfon GonzálezF
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 16T. ParteyM
- 17T. BuchananF
- 18P. GueyeM
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 23Sergi CardonaD
Levante
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2M. MorenoD
- 3A. MatturroD
- 6Diego PampínD
- 8Jon Ander OlasagastiM
- 9Iván RomeroM
- 10Pablo MartínezM
- 13M. RyanG
- 16K. ArriagaM
- 19Carlos EspíF
- 22J. ToljanD
- 24Carlos ÁlvarezM
Substitutes
- 1Pablo CuñatG
- 7BruguiM
- 11José Luis MoralesF
- 14U. RaghouberM
- 17Víctor GarcíaD
- 18Iker LosadaF
- 20Oriol ReyM
- 21Etta EyongF
- 23Manu SánchezD
- 26K. TundeF
- 29Nacho PérezD
- 55T. AbedF
Villarreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Pépé | M | 98 | 10.0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2/5 |
| Georges Mikautadze | F | 74 | 8.5 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | — | 2/2 |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 98 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| Alexander Freeman | D | 98 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Dani Parejo | M | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 98 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfonso Pedraza | D | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gerard Moreno(C) | F | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Arnau Tenas | G | 98 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luiz Júnior | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Mouriño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pape Gueye | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Costa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfon González | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tajon Buchanan | F | 14 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 25 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Willy Kambwala | D | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Partey | M | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Levante
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Martínez(C) | M | 77 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Carlos Espí | F | 98 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Kervin Arriaga | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Jon Ander Olasagasti | M | 98 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Carlos Álvarez | M | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| Iván Romero | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alan Matturro | D | 98 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Toljan | D | 98 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Diego Pampín | D | 98 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Matias Moreno | D | 98 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mathew Ryan | G | 98 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Manuel Sánchez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oriol Rey | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Luis Morales | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nacho Pérez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Víctor García | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Cuñat | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tai Abed | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Losada | F | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roger Brugué | M | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Kareem Tunde | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Etta Eyong | F | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ugo Raghouber | M | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |