Villarreal vs Elche
Villarreal and Elche settle for stalemate
A goalless draw frustrates expectations in La Liga clash
Villarreal and Elche played out a 0-0 draw in a match that defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a 4-3 home win. Neither side could find the net, resulting in a stalemate that leaves both teams sharing the spoils. The clean sheet outcome was a surprise against the anticipated goal fest.
Outcome probability
Villarreal and Elche are set to clash in what promises to be an entertaining fixture in the regular season. Both teams have shown moments of attacking prowess, and this match could well be a goal-fest.
Match factors
Villarreal's creative midfield edge
Alberto Moleiro leads with 3 assists and strong recent form, key to unlocking Elche's defense
Pape Gueye's scoring form
Gueye has 3 goals this season with strong away scoring, boosting Villarreal's attack potential
Elche missing key attackers and defenders
Elche confirmed out players include key defender Redondo and attacker Alonso, weakening defense and attack
Villarreal's scoring streak at home
Villarreal has scored in last 3 home games, showing attacking consistency despite conceding goals
The context
Villarreal currently sit 10th in the league with 8 points from 8 games, while Elche find themselves 18th with 5 points from 7 matches. The goal difference clearly favours Villarreal, who have a +6 margin compared to Elche's struggles at the other end of the table.
Key insights
Alberto Moleiro
Villarreal
Leads the team with 3 assists and excellent recent form, crucial for creating chances.
La Liga 26/273 assists in 7 games, 0.43 assists/game
Pape Gueye
Villarreal
Top scorer with 3 goals, showing strong away scoring form boosting Villarreal's attack.
La Liga 26/273 goals in 7 games, 0.43 goals/game
Alberto Moleiro
Villarreal
Creative midfield edge with passing accuracy and creativity above league average.
La Liga 26/273 assists in 7 games
Analysis
Villarreal's creative midfield, led by Alberto Moleiro with 3 assists this season, is key to unlocking Elche's defence. Pape Gueye, the team's top scorer with 3 goals, has been particularly effective away from home, adding to Villarreal's attacking threat. Elche, missing key players including defender Redondo and attacker Alonso, may find it tough to contain Villarreal's firepower. Villarreal have scored in their last three home games, indicating consistent attacking form, though they have also conceded goals, suggesting an open game. The prediction of a 4-3 scoreline reflects this attacking openness and the competitive nature of the fixture.
Key facts
- 1.Villarreal are 10th with 8 points from 8 games (W2 D2 L4).
- 2.Elche are 18th with 5 points from 7 games (W1 D2 L4).
- 3.Villarreal have a +6 goal difference, significantly better than Elche.
- 4.Alberto Moleiro leads Villarreal with 3 assists in 7 games.
- 5.Pape Gueye is Villarreal's top scorer with 3 goals in 7 games.
- 6.Elche are missing key defender Redondo and attacker Alonso.
- 7.Villarreal have scored in their last 3 home matches.
- 8.The predicted scoreline is a high-scoring 4-3 victory for Villarreal.
Prediction
The forecast is for a home win by Villarreal with a thrilling 4-3 scoreline. While the probabilities favour Villarreal, the close nature of the contest and multiple plausible outcomes mean this is a cautious call. Expect plenty of goals and a tight finish.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Villarreal
Away — Elche
No standout top scorers flagged for Elche
The verdict
In summary, Villarreal's attacking edge and home form give them the slight upper hand against a resilient but weakened Elche side. Fans should brace themselves for an exciting, high-scoring encounter that could go down to the wire.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 13:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Aguado
Villar
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Lemar
Osorio
Cepeda
Macia
Santi Comesaña
Oluwaseyi
Tete Morente
Yellow Card
Akhomach
Revivo
Yellow Card
Freeman
Yellow Card
Buba Sangaré
Pérez
Chust
Yellow Card
Foyth
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 |  Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Villarreal
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Logan CostaD
- 3A. FreemanD
- 8J. FoythD
- 10Alberto MoleiroM
- 11Ilias AkhomachM
- 14Santi ComesañaM
- 16C. MaciaM
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 25P. GulácsiG
Substitutes
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 5A. DiattaM
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 18P. GueyeM
- 20Carlos RomeroD
- 24N. SalibaM
- 27N. El JmiliF
Elche
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1M. DituroG
- 2Buba SangaréD
- 3R. RevivoD
- 8Marc AguadoM
- 11Germán ValeraD
- 12Gonzalo VillarM
- 18T. LemarM
- 21L. CepedaF
- 23Víctor ChustD
- 24A. OsorioF
- 47J. MorcilloD
Substitutes
- 5F. RedondoM
- 6BigasD
- 9E. PonceF
- 10F. BuonanotteM
- 13Alejandro IturbeG
- 14Fer NiñoF
- 15K. LomónacoD
- 16Martim NetoM
- 17JosanM
- 20Tete MorenteF
- 22Rubén SánchezD
- 29Ali HouaryF
Villarreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Costa | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| A. Freeman | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 66 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| P. Gulácsi | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Macia | M | 66 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Foyth | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | M | 75 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4/6 |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 24 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1/1 |
| N. El Jmili | F | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| S. Mouriño | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Diatta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Romero | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luíz Júnior | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Elche
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dituro | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Morcillo | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| T. Lemar | M | 65 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marc Aguado | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Redondo | M | 62 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Víctor Chust | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cepeda | F | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Rubén Sánchez | D | 7 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Martim Neto | M | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fer Niño | F | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tete Morente | F | 25 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Villar | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Germán Valera | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Revivo | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Osorio | F | 65 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Buba Sangaré | D | 83 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| E. Ponce | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bigas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Lomónaco | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Buonanotte | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Iturbe | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Houary | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Villarreal vs Elche?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Villarreal to win against Elche.
- What score did Fipster predict for Villarreal vs Elche?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Villarreal 4–3 Elche.
- What were the win probabilities for Villarreal vs Elche?
- Fipster's model gave Villarreal a 35% chance of winning, Elche a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.