Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna snatch late win at Villarreal
A spirited comeback sees Deportivo overturn an early deficit to claim a narrow victory.
Villarreal took an early lead through N. Pépé's strike before Deportivo La Coruna fought back with goals from Luismi Cruz and Z. Eddahchouri after the break. An own goal by Adama Traoré added to Villarreal's woes, and P. Aubameyang sealed the win late on for Deportivo. The result aligned with Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the visitors' resilience paid off.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Villarreal facing Deportivo La Coruna in what promises to be an intriguing clash. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Deportivo La Coruna looking to make a statement after their recent promotion.
Key insights
- P
P. Gulácsi
Villarreal
New signing expected to strengthen Villarreal's defence.
La Liga 26/27Summer transfer arrival.
- P
P. Aubameyang
Deportivo La Coruna
Key attacking addition likely to influence the match outcome.
La Liga 26/27Summer transfer arrival.
The context
Villarreal finished third in La Liga last season, accumulating 72 points from 38 games, showcasing a strong campaign. Deportivo La Coruna, newly promoted, enter this fixture with fresh enthusiasm and the ambition to prove their mettle against established opposition. Summer signings have added spice to the encounter, with Villarreal bolstered by the arrival of goalkeeper P. Gulácsi, while Deportivo La Coruna have strengthened their attack with P. Aubameyang.
Key facts
- 1.Villarreal finished 3rd in La Liga last season with 72 points from 38 games.
- 2.Deportivo La Coruna are newly promoted this season.
- 3.Villarreal have a significantly better goal difference than Deportivo La Coruna.
- 4.Villarreal signed goalkeeper P. Gulácsi during the summer.
- 5.Deportivo La Coruna signed forward P. Aubameyang ahead of the new season.
- 6.Aggregate probabilities favour an away win for Deportivo La Coruna.
- 7.The most likely full-time scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Deportivo La Coruna.
- 8.Four cards are predicted in this match.
Analysis
Despite Villarreal's superior goal difference and points-per-game advantage last season, the aggregate probabilities favour Deportivo La Coruna to secure an away win. The most likely full-time scoreline is 2-1 in favour of the visitors, supported by notable probabilities for other away wins such as 3-2 and 3-1. While Villarreal's home advantage and recent additions suggest a competitive match, the prediction leans towards Deportivo La Coruna edging it in a closely fought contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Villarreal
Away — Deportivo La Coruna
Prediction
Expect a tightly contested match with Deportivo La Coruna clinching a 2-1 victory. Their attacking prowess, highlighted by new signing P. Aubameyang, could prove decisive against Villarreal's defence, even with the addition of P. Gulácsi in goal. Four cards are anticipated, indicating a spirited encounter.
The verdict
This season opener sets the stage for an exciting campaign, with Deportivo La Coruna making a confident start by overcoming Villarreal. Fans can look forward to a match filled with intensity, tactical battles, and a narrow away win to kick things off.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pépé
Assist: Pérez
Luismi Cruz
Assist: Aubameyang
Riki Rodríguez
Moleiro
Pérez
Gueye
Nsongo
Giménez
Soriano
Traoré (OG)
Moreno
Luismi Cruz
Eddahchouri
Assist: Aubameyang
Santi Comesaña
Yellow Card
Costa
Buchanan
Yellow Card
Aubameyang
Amatucci
Yellow Card
Peke
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +24 | 21 |
| 6 |  Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Villarreal
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 2Logan CostaD
- 3A. FreemanD
- 7Gerard MorenoF
- 10Alberto MoleiroM
- 12Renato VeigaD
- 18P. GueyeM
- 19N. PépéM
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 24N. SalibaM
Substitutes
- 5A. DiattaM
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 11Ilias AkhomachF
- 13Rubén GómezG
- 14Santi ComesañaM
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 16C. MaciaM
- 17T. BuchananF
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 25P. GulácsiG
Deportivo La Coruna
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4L. NoubiD
- 7P. AubameyangF
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 13Leo RománG
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 19Luismi CruzM
- 20J. GiménezD
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 23Ximo NavarroD
- 32B. NsongoF
Substitutes
- 6Marc CasadóM
- 8Diego VillaresM
- 9Z. EddahchouriF
- 10PekeF
- 11David MellaF
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 17AngeliñoD
- 18Jonathan Asp JensenM
- 22B. EdeD
- 24Adama TraoréF
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 34T. GijselhartM
Villarreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pépé | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4/9 |
| A. Freeman | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 62 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Saliba | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Renato Veiga | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Gueye | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| G. Mikautadze | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Logan Costa | D | 83 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gerard Moreno | F | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| T. Buchanan | F | 28 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santi Comesaña | M | 28 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Ilias Akhomach | F | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 62 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/4 |
| Luíz Júnior | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Macia | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Diatta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mouriño | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubén Gómez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Gulácsi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Deportivo La Coruna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Aubameyang | F | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Z. Eddahchouri | F | 13 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luismi Cruz | M | 77 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| J. Giménez | D | 66 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Leo Román | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Noubi | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peke | F | 36 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Adama Traoré | F | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| L. Amatucci | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Mario Soriano | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Nsongo | F | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/5 |
| G. Quagliata | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ximo Navarro | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Loureiro | D | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Casadó | M | 24 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riki Rodríguez | M | 54 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angeliño | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Villares | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Mella | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Asp Jensen | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Gijselhart | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Ede | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Fernández | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Deportivo La Coruna to win against Villarreal.
- What score did Fipster predict for Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Villarreal 1–2 Deportivo La Coruna.
- What were the win probabilities for Villarreal vs Deportivo La Coruna?
- Fipster's model gave Villarreal a 32% chance of winning, Deportivo La Coruna a 36% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 36% confidence — a low-confidence call.