Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid
Match recap
Villarreal beat Atletico Madrid 5–1 in their La Liga fixture. Dani Parejo, Pérez, Mikautadze, Gueye, and Pérez scored for Villarreal; Pubill replied for Atletico Madrid. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.45 for Villarreal versus 1.16 for Atletico Madrid. Villarreal sit 3rd in the La Liga table while Atletico Madrid are 4th.
Analysis
As the La Liga season nears its climax, Villarreal host Atletico Madrid in a fixture that promises tight competition and tactical intrigue. Both teams are neck and neck in the standings, making this encounter crucial for European qualification hopes.
Villarreal and Atletico Madrid sit third and fourth respectively, each with 69 points after 37 games. This close ranking underscores the evenly matched nature of the contest, with both sides eager to secure vital points in the final round.
Villarreal's home scoring streak, with goals in all their last five home games, gives them a slight edge. G. Mikautadze leads the charge with 12 goals this season and a perfect home scoring record, while Atletico's defensive efforts, led by S. Mouriño, will be tested. The questionable fitness of Villarreal's captain Gerard Moreno adds an element of uncertainty but also opportunity for others to step up.
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with a 0-0 scoreline, as both teams probe for weaknesses. However, Villarreal's attacking prowess at home should see them edge the game 2-1 by full time, with a total of four cards likely to reflect the competitive nature of the match.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Villarreal's Home Scoring Streak
Villarreal has scored in all last 5 home games, leveraging strong home form to pressure Atletico.
Gerard Moreno's Injury Uncertainty
Moreno's questionable status may reduce Villarreal's attacking potency if he misses the match.
Mikautadze's Superior Scoring Rate
Mikautadze's 0.39 goals/game surpasses league attacker average, making him a key scoring threat.
Atletico's Defensive Stalwart Mouriño
Mouriño's high tackle rate and duel success could disrupt Villarreal's attackers effectively.
Atletico's Consistent Scoring Away
Atletico has scored in all last 5 away games, showing strong offensive form on the road.
Key Takeaways
In a fixture where every point counts, Villarreal's home advantage and key players' form should see them narrowly overcome Atletico Madrid. Fans can anticipate a thrilling encounter with just enough drama to keep everyone on the edge of their seats.
- Villarreal and Atletico Madrid are ranked 3rd and 4th respectively with 69 points each after 37 games.
- Villarreal have scored in all of their last 5 home matches, showing strong offensive form.
- G. Mikautadze is Villarreal's top scorer with 12 goals and a perfect home scoring average of 1.0 per game.
- Atletico's defender S. Mouriño boasts a high tackle rate (3.74 per game) and strong duel success (55.6%).
- Gerard Moreno's injury status is uncertain, potentially impacting Villarreal's attacking options.
- Atletico Madrid have scored in all of their last 5 away games, maintaining consistent offensive threat on the road.
- The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Villarreal
Away — Atletico Madrid
No standout top scorers flagged for Atletico Madrid
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Simeone
Yellow Card
Dani Parejo
Penalty
Pérez
Mikautadze
Assist: Pérez
Pubill
Assist: Griezmann
Gueye
Assist: Pépé
Simeone
Pubill
Hancko
Pérez
Assist: Pépé
Lookman
Álex Baena
Dani Parejo
Pedraza
Pérez
Gueye
Mikautadze
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 | 72 |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 | 69 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | +11 | 60 |
Match Statistics
Villarreal
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4Rafa MarínD
- 6Pau NavarroD
- 9G. MikautadzeF
- 10Dani ParejoM
- 15S. MouriñoD
- 18P. GueyeM
- 19N. PépéM
- 20Alberto MoleiroM
- 22Ayoze PérezF
- 24PedrazaD
- 25Arnau TenasG
Substitutes
- 1Luíz JúniorG
- 2Logan CostaD
- 3A. FreemanD
- 5Willy Kambwala NdengushiD
- 11Alfon GonzálezF
- 12Renato VeigaM
- 17T. BuchananF
- 21T. OluwaseyiF
- 23Sergi CardonaD
- 33Pau CabanesF
- 37C. MaciaM
- 38A. DiattaM
Atletico Madrid
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1J. MussoG
- 6KokeM
- 7A. GriezmannF
- 10Álex BaenaM
- 14Marcos LlorenteD
- 15C. LengletD
- 17D. HanckoD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 20G. SimeoneF
- 21O. VargasM
- 22A. LookmanF
Substitutes
- 3M. RuggeriD
- 9A. SørlothF
- 13J. OblakG
- 29Rayane BelidF
- 31Salvador EsquivelG
- 32Javier BoñarD
- 34Julio Díaz del RomoM
- 37I. LuqueF
- 40A. PuricD
- 47J. MorcilloM
- 61M. LlorenteF
Villarreal
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoze Pérez | F | 75 | 9.5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Georges Mikautadze | F | 89 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Nicolas Pépé | M | 91 | 8.2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Pape Gueye | M | 75 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Dani Parejo(C) | M | 66 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Mouriño | D | 91 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Rafa Marín | D | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Arnau Tenas | G | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Navarro | D | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alfonso Pedraza | D | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Alberto Moleiro | M | 91 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tajon Buchanan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Freeman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tani Oluwaseyi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Veiga | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willy Kambwala | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Júnior | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Maciá | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfon González | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alassane Diatta | M | 25 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Logan Costa | D | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sergi Cardona | D | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pau Cabanes | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koke(C) | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Marc Pubill | D | 45 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Antoine Griezmann | F | 91 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Ademola Lookman | F | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Giuliano Simeone | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | D | 91 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Baena | M | 61 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Juan Musso | G | 91 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dávid Hancko | D | 45 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 91 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Salvi Esquivel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julio Díaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Cubo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Luque | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Belaid | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Oblak | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javi Morcillo | M | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Javier Boñar | D | 30 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexander Sørloth | F | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Aleksa Purić | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |