VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen
Stuttgart's early strike secures narrow win
M. Mittelstädt's seventh-minute goal proves decisive in a tight Bundesliga contest.
VfB Stuttgart edged out Werder Bremen 1-0 thanks to an early goal from M. Mittelstädt. The match remained a close affair with no further goals, highlighting Stuttgart's ability to hold on to their slender lead. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
VfB Stuttgart and Werder Bremen face off in what promises to be a closely contested Bundesliga regular season match. Both sides have shown glimpses of attacking prowess, setting the stage for an exciting encounter.
Match factors
Stuttgart missing key midfielder A. Stiller
Stiller is out with a groin injury, reducing Stuttgart's midfield creativity and passing accuracy.
Demirović's scoring form vs Bremen's defense
Demirović has scored multiple goals recently, exploiting Bremen's defensive vulnerabilities.
Mittelstädt's defensive dominance
Mittelstädt's tackling and duel win rates exceed league averages, bolstering Stuttgart's defense.
Werder Bremen's scoring consistency
Bremen has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum.
The context
Werder Bremen currently sit 7th in the league with 12 points from 7 games, enjoying a better run of form compared to VfB Stuttgart, who are 15th with 6 points. Their head-to-head history is well balanced, with Stuttgart winning 7 of their 20 meetings, Bremen 6, and 7 draws. Matches between these two tend to be lively, averaging nearly 3 goals per game.
Key insights
- M
M. Mittelstädt
VfB Stuttgart
Mittelstädt’s tackling rate of 2.5 per game and 70.5% duel win rate bolster Stuttgart’s defence significantly.
Bundesliga 26/272.5 tackles per game, 70.5% duel win rate (competition 78, 2026 season)
- E
E. Demirović
VfB Stuttgart
Demirović’s consistent scoring and recent multi-goal games make him a key offensive threat against Bremen.
Bundesliga 26/27Multiple multi-goal games, high recent match ratings (up to 8.77) (competition 78, 2026 season)
- A
A. Stiller
VfB Stuttgart
Stiller is out with a groin injury, reducing Stuttgart’s midfield creativity and passing accuracy.
Bundesliga 26/27Previously up to 91% passing accuracy (competition 78, 2026 season)
- N
N. Füllkrug
Werder Bremen
Füllkrug is Bremen’s top scorer with multiple recent goals, providing a focal point in attack.
Bundesliga 26/27High shooting volume and accuracy (competition 78, 2026 season)
Analysis
The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. Stuttgart’s M. Mittelstädt stands out defensively with a tackling rate well above the league average and a strong duel win percentage, providing a solid backbone. Offensively, E. Demirović has been in fine form, consistently scoring and posing a significant threat to Bremen’s defence. Bremen’s attack, led by N. Füllkrug and supported by M. Grüll’s assists, has been reliable, scoring in their last five matches. However, Stuttgart will miss key creative midfielder A. Stiller due to a groin injury, which could impact their midfield fluidity.
Key facts
- 1.In 20 head-to-head meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 7, Werder Bremen 6, with 7 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 total goals, indicating open, attacking games.
- 3.Werder Bremen are 7th in the league with 12 points from 7 games (W3 D3 L1).
- 4.VfB Stuttgart are 15th with 6 points from 7 games (W2 D0 L5).
- 5.Werder Bremen have a points-per-game advantage of 1.71 over Stuttgart's 0.86.
- 6.M. Mittelstädt has an above average tackling rate of 2.5 per game versus the league average of 1.34 for defenders.
- 7.E. Demirović is a consistent goal scorer with multiple multi-goal games recently.
- 8.Werder Bremen have scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for VfB Stuttgart with a 3-2 scoreline. After a balanced first half ending 1-1, Stuttgart are expected to pull ahead in the second half, edging out Bremen in a high-scoring affair. The data supports this outcome, highlighting Stuttgart’s attacking edge and defensive resilience despite Bremen’s stronger league position.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — VfB Stuttgart
Away — Werder Bremen
The verdict
Expect a thrilling match with plenty of goals and end-to-end action. Stuttgart’s determination to climb the table and Bremen’s consistent scoring form should produce a memorable contest, ultimately tipping in favour of the home side by a narrow margin.
Prediction generated 31 Oct 2026, 16:25 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mittelstädt
Assist: Prömel
Füllkrug
Yellow Card
Deman
Yellow Card
Grüll
Yellow Card
Jaquez
El Khannouss
Leweling
Grüll
Lynen
Spalt
Führich
Dinkçi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 21 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
Match Statistics
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3R. HendriksD
- 7M. MittelstädtM
- 10C. FührichM
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 14L. JaquezD
- 18J. LewelingM
- 21G. PrömelM
- 24J. ChabotD
- 26D. UndavF
- 41D. SeimenG
- 47Y. SpaltM
Substitutes
- 1F. BredlowG
- 2A. Al DakhilD
- 8Tiago TomásF
- 9E. DemirovićF
- 16A. KarazorM
- 17D. PejčinovićF
- 22L. AssignonD
- 28N. NarteyM
- 29Finn JeltschD
Werder Bremen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1K. HeinG
- 2O. DemanD
- 5A. PieperD
- 10N. FüllkrugF
- 13ArthurD
- 14S. LynenM
- 15L. ReisM
- 17M. GrüllM
- 18E. DinkçiM
- 32M. FriedlD
- 44Y. RegeerM
Substitutes
- 3O. WójcikD
- 4N. StarkD
- 11J. NjinmahF
- 19K. QuetantF
- 20Chuky San JoséM
- 23Dariusz StalmachM
- 26C. IttenF
- 30A. SchlagerG
- 33Mick SchmetgensD
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mittelstädt | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0/3 |
| D. Seimen | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Prömel | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jaquez | D | 55 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 64 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 35 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Karazor | M | 7 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Leweling | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| Tiago Tomás | F | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Spalt | M | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| C. Führich | M | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 3/7 |
| E. Demirović | F | 7 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Undav | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bredlow | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Assignon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Al Dakhil | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Werder Bremen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Hein | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pieper | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Dinkçi | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| O. Deman | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Friedl | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Njinmah | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Regeer | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| N. Füllkrug | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Grüll | M | 67 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| L. Reis | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Chuky San José | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Lynen | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Arthur | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/7 |
| C. Itten | F | 4 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Stark | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schlager | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dariusz Stalmach | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Quetant | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Wójcik | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mick Schmetgens | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster's AI model predicted VfB Stuttgart to win against Werder Bremen.
- What score did Fipster predict for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster predicted a final score of VfB Stuttgart 3–2 Werder Bremen.
- What were the win probabilities for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
- Fipster's model gave VfB Stuttgart a 70% chance of winning, Werder Bremen a 15% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 70% confidence — a high-confidence call.