VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
Gladbach snatch narrow win at Stuttgart
A thrilling five-goal encounter sees Borussia Mönchengladbach edge past VfB Stuttgart despite an early home lead.
VfB Stuttgart started brightly with an early goal from E. Demirović, but Borussia Mönchengladbach responded strongly after the break with strikes from J. Scally, S. Machino, and W. Mohya to secure a 3-2 victory. Demirović's late goal for Stuttgart wasn't enough to salvage a point. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 3-0 home win, proving the visitors' resilience in a closely contested Bundesliga clash.
Outcome probability
VfB Stuttgart face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the seventh round of the regular season, with Stuttgart looking to capitalize on their home advantage and recent form.
Match factors
Vagnoman's offensive threat from defense
Josha Vagnoman's 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games provide Stuttgart with unexpected attacking options from defense
Stuttgart's superior home scoring form
Stuttgart averages 2 goals per home game, well above Gladbach's 0.33 away scoring, supporting predicted 3-0 win
Stuttgart's key playmaker Stiller in good form
Angelo Stiller has 2 assists in last 5 games with 90% passing accuracy, driving Stuttgart's attack
Gladbach's defensive absences weaken backline
Key defenders Itakura and Leszczyński are out, reducing Gladbach's defensive stability against Stuttgart's attack
The context
The two sides have a closely matched history, with Stuttgart holding a slight edge in head-to-head wins. Stuttgart currently sit 13th in the league with 6 points, while Borussia Mönchengladbach languish at the bottom with no points from five games.
Key insights
Josha Vagnoman
VfB Stuttgart
Vagnoman’s 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games provide Stuttgart with unexpected attacking options from defence.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals in 5 games, 1 assist in 5 games, 441 mins, 0 yellow cards
Angelo Stiller
VfB Stuttgart
Stiller’s 2 assists and 90% passing accuracy make him the key playmaker driving Stuttgart’s attack.
Bundesliga 26/272 assists in 5 games, 392 mins, 90% passing accuracy
Analysis
Stuttgart's offensive threat is bolstered by Josha Vagnoman, who has scored twice in the last five games and also provides assists from defence. Angelo Stiller's playmaking, with two assists and 90% passing accuracy, adds further firepower. Meanwhile, Borussia Mönchengladbach's defensive frailties are exposed by key absences, weakening their backline and making them vulnerable to Stuttgart's attack.
Key facts
- 1.VfB Stuttgart have won 9 of 19 head-to-head matches against Borussia Mönchengladbach, who have 8 wins.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, indicating a multi-goal game.
- 3.Stuttgart rank 13th with 6 points from 6 games; Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th with 0 points from 5 games.
- 4.Josha Vagnoman has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in 5 games, showing offensive threat from defence.
- 5.Angelo Stiller leads Stuttgart with 2 assists and 90% passing accuracy in 5 games.
- 6.Borussia Mönchengladbach's key defenders Itakura and Leszczyński are out, weakening their defence.
- 7.Stuttgart average 2 goals per home game, compared to Gladbach's 0.33 goals away.
Prediction
Expect Stuttgart to take an early lead by halftime, going 1-0 up, and then extend their advantage to a 3-0 fulltime victory. The match is likely to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — VfB Stuttgart
Away — Borussia Mönchengladbach
No standout top scorers flagged for Borussia Mönchengladbach
The verdict
With Stuttgart's superior home scoring form and Gladbach's struggles, this match looks set to be a comfortable win for the home side. Fans can anticipate a solid performance from Stuttgart's key players and a clean sheet to boot.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 17:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Demirović
Assist: Pejčinović
Scally
Assist: Uno
Sauer
Yellow Card
Neuhaus
Yellow Card
Karazor
Yellow Card
Machino
Assist: Mohya
Uno
Yellow Card
Scally
Yellow Card
Pejčinović
Assignon
Sauer
Karazor
Mohya
Assist: Scally
Mohya
Scally
Chiarodia
Ullrich
Yellow Card
Demirović
Assist: Leweling
Bolin
Machino
Jeltsch
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 10 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Match Statistics
VfB Stuttgart
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3R. HendriksD
- 6A. StillerM
- 7M. MittelstädtD
- 9E. DemirovićF
- 10C. FührichM
- 16A. KarazorM
- 17D. PejčinovićM
- 22L. AssignonD
- 29Finn JeltschD
- 41D. SeimenG
- 44L. SauerM
Substitutes
- 1F. BredlowG
- 2A. Al DakhilD
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 18J. LewelingF
- 20L. StergiouD
- 21G. PrömelM
- 24J. ChabotD
- 26D. UndavF
- 47Y. SpaltD
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1M. NicolasG
- 2F. ChiarodiaD
- 10F. NeuhausM
- 14D. HashiokaD
- 16P. SanderD
- 18S. MachinoF
- 26L. UllrichM
- 29J. ScallyM
- 36W. MohyaM
- 38H. BolinM
- 47Z. UnoM
Substitutes
- 7K. StögerM
- 20D. HeroldD
- 22Y. KonoplyaD
- 25R. HackM
- 33D. BatzG
- 34M. NguefackM
- 39I. M. DanfaF
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Demirović | F | 90 | 8.1 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| C. Führich | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2/2 |
| M. Mittelstädt | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| D. Pejčinović | M | 55 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Leweling | F | 35 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Prömel | M | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Undav | F | 35 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Assignon | D | 55 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| L. Sauer | M | 55 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Hendriks | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Stiller | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 35 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Seimen | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Karazor | M | 64 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Al Dakhil | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Stergiou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Spalt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bredlow | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Mohya | M | 70 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3/4 |
| S. Machino | F | 84 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Scally | M | 70 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Chiarodia | D | 76 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hack | M | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| H. Bolin | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| F. Neuhaus | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Z. Uno | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Herold | D | 14 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Konoplya | D | 20 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ullrich | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Nguefack | M | 6 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Nicolas | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Sander | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Hashioka | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Stöger | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. M. Danfa | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Batz | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- Fipster's AI model predicted VfB Stuttgart to win against Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- What score did Fipster predict for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- Fipster predicted a final score of VfB Stuttgart 3–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- What were the win probabilities for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- Fipster's model gave VfB Stuttgart a 95% chance of winning, Borussia Mönchengladbach a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.