VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund nudge Stuttgart in tight contest
M. Beier's 70th-minute strike secures a slender win for the visitors.
Borussia Dortmund edged out VfB Stuttgart 1-0 thanks to M. Beier's decisive goal after the break. The match was a close affair with little to separate the sides until that moment. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline was a bit more modest than expected.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with an intriguing clash between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund. Both sides have made some summer moves, and this fixture promises to set the tone for their campaigns ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Borussia Dortmund are ranked 2nd in the league with 73 points from 34 games last season.
- 2.VfB Stuttgart finished 4th with 62 points from 34 games last season.
- 3.Dortmund have a significantly better goal difference (+14) than Stuttgart.
- 4.Borussia Dortmund signed J. Veerman and Kouakou Joane Gadou over the summer.
- 5.VfB Stuttgart bolstered their squad with D. Pejčinović, G. Prömel, and L. Sauer.
- 6.Dortmund lost J. Brandt and K. Adeyemi during the summer transfer window.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Dortmund.
- 8.The forecast includes a total of 4 cards in the match.
The context
Borussia Dortmund enter this match ranked second in the league with a notably better goal difference than Stuttgart, who sit fourth. Both teams have strengthened their squads over the summer, with Dortmund signing J. Veerman and Kouakou Joane Gadou, while Stuttgart have added D. Pejčinović, G. Prömel, and L. Sauer. Meanwhile, Dortmund have seen the departures of J. Brandt and K. Adeyemi, and Stuttgart have lost José María Andrés Baixauli.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — VfB Stuttgart
Away — Borussia Dortmund
Analysis
Statistically, Dortmund hold a clear edge with a superior goal difference and league position. The aggregated probabilities heavily favour an away win, with a 1-3 scoreline the most likely outcome. The halftime prediction of 0-1 aligns well with the fulltime forecast, suggesting Dortmund will take an early lead and maintain control throughout. The expected four cards indicate a competitive but not overly aggressive encounter.
Prediction
We predict Borussia Dortmund will secure a 3-1 victory over VfB Stuttgart, taking an early lead by halftime and extending their advantage in the second half. Stuttgart will find the net once but ultimately fall short against Dortmund's stronger attack and league form.
The verdict
This season opener looks set to confirm Borussia Dortmund's status as one of the league's top contenders, while VfB Stuttgart will need to regroup quickly after a tough start. Fans can expect an entertaining match with goals and some competitive edge.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Demirović
Yellow Card
Stiller
Yellow Card
Schlotterbeck
Yellow Card
Veerman
Yellow Card
Kouakou Joane Gadou
Yellow Card
Veerman
Nwaneri
Undav
Führich
Beier
Assist: Bellingham
Guirassy
Bellingham
Yellow Card
Beier
Ryerson
Ryerson
Yellow Card
Prömel
El Khannouss
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 10 |
| 13 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |  Hamburger SV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -11 | 3 |
Match Statistics
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1F. BredlowG
- 4J. VagnomanM
- 6A. StillerM
- 7M. MittelstädtD
- 9E. DemirovićF
- 10C. FührichM
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 21G. PrömelM
- 24J. ChabotD
- 26D. UndavM
- 29Finn JeltschD
Substitutes
- 2A. Al DakhilD
- 3R. HendriksD
- 16A. KarazorM
- 17D. PejčinovićF
- 18J. LewelingF
- 28N. NarteyM
- 33M. FunkG
- 44L. SauerF
- 47Y. SpaltD
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. KobelG
- 3W. AntonD
- 4N. SchlotterbeckD
- 8F. NmechaM
- 9S. GuirassyF
- 14M. BeierM
- 18E. NwaneriM
- 22Kouakou Joane GadouD
- 24D. SvenssonM
- 25J. VeermanM
- 26J. RyersonM
Substitutes
- 5R. BensebaïniD
- 7J. BellinghamM
- 17C. ChukwuemekaM
- 19K. KaretsasM
- 20M. SabitzerM
- 21Fábio SilvaF
- 33A. MeyerG
- 40S. InacioF
- 49L. ReggianiD
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mittelstädt | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| J. Chabot | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Stiller | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 84 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| J. Leweling | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| F. Bredlow | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Vagnoman | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| C. Führich | M | 64 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Nartey | M | 6 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Sauer | F | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Prömel | M | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Undav | M | 64 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| E. Demirović | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Funk | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Spalt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Karazor | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Al Dakhil | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Beier | M | 82 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| G. Kobel | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Anton | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Veerman | M | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| K. Karetsas | M | 28 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Kouakou Joane Gadou | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Nmecha | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| R. Bensebaïni | D | 8 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 28 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Nwaneri | M | 62 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Fábio Silva | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Svensson | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ryerson | M | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| S. Guirassy | F | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Meyer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Reggiani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Inacio | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Borussia Dortmund to win against VfB Stuttgart.
- What score did Fipster predict for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Fipster predicted a final score of VfB Stuttgart 1–3 Borussia Dortmund.
- What were the win probabilities for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund?
- Fipster's model gave VfB Stuttgart a 2% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.