VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen
Match recap
VfB Stuttgart beat Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 in their Bundesliga fixture. Demirović, Mittelstädt, and Undav scored for VfB Stuttgart; García replied for Bayer Leverkusen. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.04 for VfB Stuttgart versus 0.54 for Bayer Leverkusen. VfB Stuttgart sit 4th in the Bundesliga table while Bayer Leverkusen are 6th.
Analysis
The Bundesliga fixture between VfB Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen promises to be a cracker, with both teams boasting attacking prowess and a history of high-scoring encounters. Fans can anticipate an entertaining match where neither side will settle for less than a point.
Stuttgart currently sit 4th in the league with 61 points, just ahead of Leverkusen in 6th with 58 points. Historically, Leverkusen have had the upper hand in their 20 meetings, winning 11 to Stuttgart's 3, with 6 draws. Matches between these two sides average over three goals, highlighting their offensive capabilities.
Stuttgart's attacking trio of Leweling, Demirović, and Undav have been in fine form, combining for numerous goals and assists recently. Undav, in particular, has been a consistent scorer at home, netting 9 goals in his last 10 games. Leverkusen's Patrik Schick leads their scoring charts and, alongside set-piece specialist Aleix García, poses a significant threat. Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical plans can be executed without disruption.
Prediction
Given the attacking strengths and recent form of both sides, a 2-2 draw is the most likely outcome. The halftime score is expected to be 1-1, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest. With an expected total of four cards, the match should be competitive but fair, keeping the game flowing and the fans entertained.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Stuttgart's attacking trio synergy
Leweling, Demirović, and Undav have strong recent link-up and goal involvement, enhancing Stuttgart's attack.
Leverkusen's set-piece threat
Aleix García and Grimaldo provide quality deliveries, increasing scoring chances from set plays.
Undav's consistent scoring form
Undav's recent goal streak supports his likelihood to score again in this fixture.
Leweling's past success vs Leverkusen
Leweling has scored and assisted in recent matches against Leverkusen, indicating a psychological edge.
No significant injuries reported
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring tactical plans can be executed as usual.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a pulsating encounter with goals at both ends and a fair share of drama. Stuttgart and Leverkusen are evenly matched, and a draw seems the fairest result. Fans should prepare for an exciting afternoon of Bundesliga football where neither side will want to come away empty-handed.
- In 20 head-to-head meetings, VfB Stuttgart have won 3, Bayer Leverkusen 11, with 6 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.3 total goals, indicating a high-scoring fixture.
- VfB Stuttgart are 4th in the league with 61 points from 33 games (W18 D7 L8).
- Bayer Leverkusen are 6th with 58 points from 33 games (W17 D7 L9).
- Deniz Undav has scored 9 goals in his last 10 games, showing excellent home form.
- Patrik Schick leads Leverkusen with 10 goals in the last 10 games.
- Jamie Leweling has 6 goals and 5 assists this season, key to Stuttgart's attack.
- Aleix García is Leverkusen's top assister with 7 assists and set-piece duties.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — VfB Stuttgart
Away — Bayer Leverkusen
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
García
Assist: Christian Kofane
Demirović
Assist: Nartey
Penalty confirmed
Mittelstädt
Penalty
Undav
Assist: Leweling
García
Culbreath
Undav
Nartey
Mittelstädt
Christian Kofane
Führich
Yellow Card
Quansah
Führich
Leweling
Tomás
Yellow Card
Palacios
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | +86 | 89 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 | 61 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 47 |
Match Statistics
VfB Stuttgart
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 3Ramon HendriksD
- 6Angelo StillerM
- 7Maximilian MittelstädtD
- 9Ermedin DemirovićF
- 10Chris Jan FührichM
- 18Jamie LewelingM
- 24Julian Jeffrey Gaston ChabotD
- 26Deniz UndavF
- 28Nikolas Terkelsen NarteyF
- 30José María Andrés BaixauliM
- 33Alexander NübelG
Substitutes
- 1Fabian BredlowG
- 4Josha Mamadou Karaboue VagnomanD
- 8Tiago TomásF
- 11Bilal El KhannoussM
- 14Luca Antony JaquezD
- 15Pascal StenzelD
- 22Lorenz AssignonD
- 23Dan-Axel ZagadouD
- 27Badredine BouananiF
Bayer Leverkusen
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1Mark FlekkenG
- 4Jarell Amorin QuansahD
- 8Robert AndrichD
- 12Edmond Fayçal TapsobaD
- 14Patrik SchickF
- 20Álex GrimaldoM
- 24Aleix GarcíaM
- 25Exequiel Alejandro PalaciosM
- 30Ibrahim MazaF
- 35Christian KofaneF
- 42Montrell Amare CulbreathM
Substitutes
- 5Loïc BadéD
- 6Ignacio Ezequiél Agustín Fernández CarballoM
- 7Jonas HofmannM
- 10Malik Leon TillmanM
- 13ArthurD
- 17Eliesse Ben SeghirF
- 19Ernest PokuF
- 21Lucas VázquezD
- 28Janis Jonathan BlaswichG
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Leweling | M | 87 | 8.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Angelo Stiller | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Alexander Nübel | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolas Nartey | F | 78 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 2/2 |
| Ermedin Demirović | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Maximilian Mittelstädt | D | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Deniz Undav(C) | F | 68 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | — | 1/2 |
| Chema Andrés | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Chris Führich | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/3 |
| Jeff Chabot | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ramon Hendriks | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Pascal Stenzel | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dan Zagadou | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabian Bredlow | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Badredine Bouanani | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Jaquez | D | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josha Vagnoman | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bilal El Khannouss | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenz Assignon | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Tomás | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleix García | M | 65 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Exequiel Palacios | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mark Flekken | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Kofane | F | 78 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Ibrahim Maza | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Montrell Culbreath | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Andrich(C) | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Patrik Schick | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Jarell Quansah | D | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edmond Tapsoba | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ezequiel Fernández | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Janis Blaswich | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïc Badé | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Hofmann | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur | D | 25 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Malik Tillman | M | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ernest Poku | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eliesse Ben Seghir | F | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |