VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid snatch draw in Stuttgart
J. Álvarez cancels out Leweling's opener after the break.
VfB Stuttgart took the lead through J. Leweling's first-half strike, but Atletico Madrid responded swiftly after the break with J. Álvarez leveling the score. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Stuttgart win, leaving both sides to share the spoils in this Champions League encounter.
Outcome probability
The group stage encounter between VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid promises an intriguing contest. Both teams enter this fixture with full squads and no injury concerns, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Match factors
No injury absences for either team
Both VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
Limited player-level data restricts individual impact predictions
Absence of top scorers and assisters data for both teams limits ability to identify key individual contributors.
Uncertain form due to insufficient recent match data
No recent fixtures or form data available for either team, making momentum assessment impossible.
The context
This match is part of the group stage where every point counts. Neither side has recent form data available, making it a bit of a guessing game on momentum. However, both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups given the absence of injuries.
Key facts
- 1.VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid have no confirmed injuries, ensuring full squad availability.
- 2.Home win has the highest aggregated probability at 39%.
- 3.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Stuttgart.
- 4.Halftime score of 1-0 is consistent with the predicted fulltime result.
- 5.Total cards expected to be around three, indicating a moderately physical game.
- 6.No recent form data available for either team, making momentum assessment difficult.
Analysis
Aggregated probabilities favour a home win for Stuttgart, with the most likely fulltime scoreline being 2-1. The halftime score prediction of 1-0 aligns well with this outcome, suggesting Stuttgart may take an early lead and hold on despite Atletico's efforts. The match is also expected to be moderately physical, with around three cards anticipated.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — VfB Stuttgart
Away — Atletico Madrid
Prediction
We predict VfB Stuttgart to clinch a 2-1 victory over Atletico Madrid. Stuttgart are expected to lead 1-0 at halftime and maintain their advantage through the second half, despite pressure from Los Colchoneros.
The verdict
In summary, Stuttgart look set to capitalise on their home advantage and secure all three points in a closely fought match. Atletico Madrid will no doubt push hard, but the home side's early lead should prove decisive.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mittelstädt
Yellow Card
Leweling
David
Álvarez
Assist: Lookman
Vagnoman
Hjulmand
Red Card
Álex Baena
Leweling
Barrios
Álvarez
Simeone
Yellow Card
Undav
Simeone
Führich
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 |
| 16 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
Match Statistics
VfB Stuttgart
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3R. HendriksD
- 4J. VagnomanD
- 6A. StillerM
- 7M. MittelstädtD
- 10C. FührichM
- 11B. El KhannoussM
- 18J. LewelingM
- 21G. PrömelM
- 24J. ChabotD
- 26D. UndavF
- 41D. SeimenG
Substitutes
- 1F. BredlowG
- 2A. Al DakhilD
- 9E. DemirovićF
- 14L. JaquezD
- 16A. KarazorM
- 17D. PejčinovićF
- 22L. AssignonD
- 28N. NarteyM
- 29Finn JeltschD
- 33M. FunkG
- 44L. SauerF
Atletico Madrid
4-4-2Starting XI
- 8Pablo BarriosM
- 10Álex BaenaM
- 13J. OblakG
- 14Marcos LlorenteD
- 15J. DavidF
- 17D. HanckoD
- 18Marc PubillD
- 19J. ÁlvarezF
- 20G. SimeoneM
- 22Álex GrimaldoD
- 23M. HjulmandM
Substitutes
- 1J. MussoG
- 3O. VargasM
- 4Rodrigo MendozaM
- 5J. CardosoM
- 7Lee Kang-InM
- 9A. SørlothF
- 11A. LookmanF
- 16Arnau OrtizF
- 24Robin Le NormandD
- 27J. DominguezD
- 30Dani MartÃnezD
- 46J. CastilloM
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Leweling | M | 72 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| M. Mittelstädt | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Stiller | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vagnoman | D | 52 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Hendriks | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Assignon | D | 38 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Seimen | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Prömel | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Chabot | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| B. El Khannouss | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| L. Sauer | F | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Pejčinović | F | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Führich | M | 87 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 2/3 |
| D. Undav | F | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| M. Funk | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Karazor | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nartey | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Finn Jeltsch | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jaquez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Al Dakhil | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Bredlow | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Álvarez | F | 78 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 78 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 44 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| G. Simeone | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| A. Sørloth | F | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. David | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Álex Baena | M | 69 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Vargas | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 64 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Arnau Ortiz | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani MartÃnez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Castillo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Dominguez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Musso | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
- Fipster's AI model predicted VfB Stuttgart to win against Atletico Madrid.
- What score did Fipster predict for VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
- Fipster predicted a final score of VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Atletico Madrid.
- What were the win probabilities for VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid?
- Fipster's model gave VfB Stuttgart a 44% chance of winning, Atletico Madrid a 28% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.