Venezia vs Napoli
Venezia stuns Napoli with narrow win
A late first-half strike from A. Adams secures an unexpected victory for Venezia.
Venezia edged out Napoli 1-0 in Serie A thanks to A. Adams' goal just after the break at 49 minutes. Napoli's hopes of salvaging a point were dashed when K. De Bruyne missed a penalty at 68 minutes. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Napoli win, marking a surprising upset on the day.
Outcome probability
Venezia face a tough challenge against Napoli, who have shown stronger form this season. With Napoli's attacking prowess and Venezia's defensive struggles, this match promises some early fireworks and a close finish.
Match factors
Napoli's midfield creativity edge
Kevin De Bruyne's 3 goals and key playmaking give Napoli a creative advantage over Venezia's struggling midfield.
Venezia's defensive frailty
Venezia has conceded 16 goals in 6 games, indicating defensive weakness Napoli can exploit.
Napoli's scoring consistency
Napoli has scored in all last 5 games, showing strong attacking momentum heading into this match.
Venezia missing key attacker Adorante
Absence of Adorante (confirmed out) weakens Venezia's attacking options, increasing reliance on Yeboah and Adams.
The context
Venezia sit at the bottom of the league with no points from six games, struggling to find form. Napoli, meanwhile, are mid-table with 10 points and a positive goal difference, showing more consistency and firepower.
Key insights
Kevin De Bruyne
Napoli
De Bruyne's 3 goals and playmaking skills give Napoli a creative edge over Venezia's struggling midfield.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
Gianluca Busio
Venezia
Busio is Venezia's top assister with 2 assists in 4 games, providing key creativity despite the team's poor form.
Serie A 26/272 assists in 4 appearances, 0.5 assists/game
- A
Amir Rrahmani
Napoli
Rrahmani's strong defensive presence and passing accuracy help stabilize Napoli's backline against Venezia's attack.
Serie A 26/2788% passing accuracy, 70% duel win rate
Analysis
Napoli's midfield creativity, led by Kevin De Bruyne with three goals this season, gives them a clear advantage. Venezia's defence has conceded 16 goals in six games, a frailty Napoli is likely to exploit. Napoli have scored in all their last five matches, maintaining strong attacking momentum. Venezia's key attacker Adorante is out, weakening their offensive options and increasing reliance on players like Yeboah and Adams.
Key facts
- 1.Venezia are bottom of the league with 0 points from 6 games (W0 D0 L6).
- 2.Napoli are 8th with 10 points from 6 games (W3 D1 L2).
- 3.Napoli have a goal difference of +15, significantly better than Venezia.
- 4.Napoli average 1.67 points per game compared to Venezia's 0.00.
- 5.Venezia have conceded 16 goals in 6 games, highlighting defensive issues.
- 6.Kevin De Bruyne has scored 3 goals in 6 games for Napoli.
- 7.Napoli have scored in all of their last 5 matches.
- 8.Venezia's key attacker Adorante is confirmed out, weakening their attack.
Prediction
The prediction sees Napoli taking an early 2-0 lead by halftime, with Venezia pulling one back late on. Napoli's superior form and attacking quality should secure them a 2-1 victory away from home.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Venezia
Away — Napoli
The verdict
Expect Napoli to control the game early and manage their lead despite Venezia's efforts. The match should feature some tactical battles, but Napoli's quality in midfield and attack will likely prove decisive.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Adams
Assist: Sohm
Gilmour
Lucca
Giovane
Bašić
Yellow Card
Yeboah
Beukema
De Bruyne
Missed Penalty
Bašić
Haps
Moreno
Kike Pérez
Yellow Card
Sohm
Spinazzola
Match Statistics
Venezia
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1F. StankovićG
- 2M. MorenoD
- 5R. HapsM
- 10J. YeboahF
- 15Juan JesusD
- 18A. HainautM
- 19S. SohmM
- 25R. HalhalD
- 26T. BašićM
- 45A. AdamsF
- 71Kike PérezM
Substitutes
- 3J. SchingtienneD
- 7A. RrahmaniF
- 8Lamine DaboM
- 16R. MohammedD
- 20R. SagradoD
- 21Þ. HelgasonM
- 29L. LauberbachF
- 30M. DagassoM
- 55S. PanadaM
- 56K. LismanF
- 70P. MazzocchiD
- 77Toni FernándezM
- 95A. GomesD
- 96L. MontipòG
Napoli
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1A. MeretG
- 5B. BadiashileD
- 6B. GilmourM
- 8S. McTominayM
- 13Amir RrahmaniD
- 20L. LuccaF
- 22G. Di LorenzoM
- 23GiovaneM
- 31S. BeukemaD
- 37L. SpinazzolaM
- 68S. LobotkaM
Substitutes
- 11K. De BruyneM
- 14N. ContiniG
- 16Rafa MarínD
- 17M. OliveraD
- 19R. HøjlundF
- 21M. PolitanoF
- 27Alisson SantosF
- 32V. Milinković-SavićG
- 35Luca MarianucciD
- 70N. LangF
- 99A. Zambo AnguissaM
Venezia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Stanković | G | 90 | 8.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Adams | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Moreno | D | 72 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Juan Jesus | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Sohm | M | 82 | 7.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Schingtienne | D | 18 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Mazzocchi | D | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Halhal | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Þ. Helgason | M | 19 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Dabo | M | 8 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rrahmani | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Hainaut | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Yeboah | F | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| R. Haps | M | 71 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kike Pérez | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| T. Bašić | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Sagrado | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Lisman | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Fernández | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mohammed | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lauberbach | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Montipò | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Panada | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gomes | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dagasso | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Napoli
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Badiashile | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Beukema | D | 63 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alisson Santos | F | 36 | 7.2 | — | — | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2/3 |
| Amir Rrahmani | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| S. McTominay | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 36 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | — |
| B. Gilmour | M | 54 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| S. Lobotka | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Spinazzola | M | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| A. Meret | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Politano | F | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Olivera | D | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Giovane | M | 54 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| R. Højlund | F | 36 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| G. Di Lorenzo | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| L. Lucca | F | 54 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Zambo Anguissa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Lang | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Marianucci | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa Marín | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Contini | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Milinković-Savić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Venezia vs Napoli?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Napoli to win against Venezia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Venezia vs Napoli?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Venezia 1–2 Napoli.
- What were the win probabilities for Venezia vs Napoli?
- Fipster's model gave Venezia a 7% chance of winning, Napoli a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.