Venezia vs Inter
Inter sneak late double own goal win
Venezia's misfortune gifts Inter a narrow Serie A victory.
Inter secured a 2-0 victory over Venezia thanks to two own goals in the late stages, with M. Moreno and R. Halhal both inadvertently scoring against their own side after the 75th minute. The match was tight until those crucial moments, turning what looked like a goalless stalemate into a narrow win for the visitors. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed.
Outcome probability
As the Serie A season rolls on, Venezia face a tough challenge against the league leaders, Inter. With contrasting fortunes this season, the Nerazzurri look poised to extend their unbeaten run.
Match factors
Venezia missing key attackers and defenders
Venezia has 15 confirmed outs including main attacker A. Adorante and key defenders, weakening attack and defense
Inter's superior passing and defensive metrics
Inter defenders Bastoni and Akanji show passing and tackling stats well above league averages, boosting control and defense
Inter's strong recent form and scoring consistency
Inter is unbeaten in last 8 with 5 consecutive games scoring, averaging 2.88 goals per game
Venezia's midfield creativity limited by injuries
Venezia's top passers and assisters are absent or limited, reducing chance creation against Inter's solid defense
The context
Inter currently top the league with 22 points from 8 games, boasting an impressive goal difference and consistent scoring. Venezia, on the other hand, sit 20th with just 3 points from 7 matches, grappling with injuries and poor form.
Key insights
- A
A. Bastoni
Inter
Bastoni's passing accuracy of 90% and tackling rate of 2.17 per game bolster Inter's defensive control.
Serie A 26/27Passing accuracy 90%, Tackles per game 2.17
- M
M. Akanji
Inter
Akanji's exceptional 95% passing accuracy and 11 interceptions per game make him a defensive powerhouse.
Serie A 26/27Passing accuracy 95%, Interceptions per game 11
- V
Venezia Squad
Venezia
Venezia's injury crisis with 15 confirmed absences, including key attackers and defenders, severely limits their competitiveness.
Serie A 26/2715 confirmed outs including main attacker A. Adorante
Analysis
Inter's defensive solidity and attacking prowess are evident in their stats, with defenders like Bastoni and Akanji excelling in passing and tackling. Venezia's injury woes, including key attackers and defenders missing, hamper their creativity and defensive resilience. Inter's midfielders and defenders maintain high passing accuracy and tackle rates, underpinning their control of matches. Meanwhile, Venezia's limited chance creation and defensive frailties make them vulnerable to the Nerazzurri's clinical finishing.
Key facts
- 1.Inter lead Serie A with 22 points from 8 games (W7 D1 L0).
- 2.Venezia are 20th with 3 points from 7 games (W1 D0 L6).
- 3.Inter have a superior goal difference, scoring 23 goals this season.
- 4.Inter's defenders Bastoni and Akanji show exceptional passing accuracy and tackling stats.
- 5.Venezia are missing 15 players including key attackers and defenders.
- 6.Inter are unbeaten in their last 8 matches with 5 consecutive games scoring.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 0-2 in favour of Inter.
- 8.Total cards expected in the match are 4.
Prediction
Expect Inter to take an early lead and maintain control, reflected in a predicted halftime score of 0-2. Venezia may pull one back, but Inter's quality should see them secure a 3-1 victory by fulltime, with a moderate number of cards expected in a competitive encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Venezia
Away — Inter
The verdict
This fixture highlights the gulf in class and form between the sides. Inter's consistency and depth should see them comfortably through, while Venezia will need to regroup quickly to avoid further slide down the table.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 15:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bastoni
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Stanković
Bisseck
Sučić
Barella
Yellow Card
Kike Pérez
Bonny
Lauberbach
Helgason
Mazzocchi
Moreno (OG)
Halhal (OG)
Thuram
Match Statistics
Venezia
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1F. StankovićG
- 2M. MorenoD
- 15Juan JesusD
- 18A. HainautM
- 19S. SohmM
- 21Þ. HelgasonM
- 25R. HalhalD
- 29L. LauberbachF
- 45A. AdamsF
- 70P. MazzocchiM
- 71Kike PérezM
Substitutes
- 3J. SchingtienneD
- 5R. HapsD
- 6G. BusioM
- 7A. RrahmaniF
- 8Lamine DaboM
- 10J. YeboahF
- 17A. Bella-KotchapD
- 20R. SagradoD
- 26T. BašićM
- 30M. DagassoM
- 32A. DuncanM
- 56K. LismanF
- 77Toni FernándezM
- 96L. MontipòG
Inter
3-5-2Starting XI
- 5A. StankovićM
- 7P. ZielińskiM
- 8P. SučićM
- 9M. ThuramF
- 14A. BonnyF
- 17A. DioufM
- 30Carlos AugustoD
- 31Y. BisseckD
- 32F. DimarcoM
- 49I. ProvedelG
- 95A. BastoniD
Substitutes
- 1Josep MartínezG
- 12R. Di GennaroG
- 20H. ÇalhanoğluM
- 22H. MkhitaryanM
- 23N. BarellaM
- 25M. AkanjiD
- 46L. BovioD
- 48M. MosconiF
- 51L. JakirovićD
- 53M. LavelliF
- 94F. EspositoF
- 99D. SpenceD
Venezia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Jesus | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Hainaut | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Kike Pérez | M | 61 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Þ. Helgason | M | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| A. Adams | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| R. Haps | D | 14 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Yeboah | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| P. Mazzocchi | M | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| L. Lauberbach | F | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| S. Sohm | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Busio | M | 29 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Moreno | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Bašić | M | 22 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Halhal | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Stanković | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rrahmani | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dagasso | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schingtienne | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Sagrado | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Dabo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Lisman | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bella-Kotchap | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Fernández | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Duncan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Montipò | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Inter
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Augusto | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| I. Provedel | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Bisseck | D | 46 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Akanji | D | 44 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| P. Sučić | M | 46 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Barella | M | 44 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| P. Zieliński | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| A. Stanković | M | 46 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Bastoni | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Spence | D | 4 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Dimarco | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Thuram | F | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 44 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Diouf | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/5 |
| A. Bonny | F | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| F. Esposito | F | 25 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Jakirović | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mosconi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Di Gennaro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josep Martínez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Mkhitaryan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bovio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lavelli | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Venezia vs Inter?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Inter to win against Venezia.
- What score did Fipster predict for Venezia vs Inter?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Venezia 1–3 Inter.
- What were the win probabilities for Venezia vs Inter?
- Fipster's model gave Venezia a 2% chance of winning, Inter a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.