Venezia vs Fiorentina
Fiorentina fight back to stun Venezia
Mastantuono's hat-trick seals a thrilling 4-2 victory away from home.
Venezia looked set for a home win after A. Adams opened the scoring early on, but Franco Mastantuono's quick double before half-time swung the momentum. Fiorentina extended their lead with Mateo Pellegrino's strike after the break, and Mastantuono completed his hat-trick late on. Despite a late goal from A. Hainaut, Venezia couldn't claw back, and Fiorentina's spirited comeback defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a Venezia win.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with a tantalising clash between newly promoted Venezia and Fiorentina, known affectionately as La Viola. Both sides are eager to make a strong start, with Venezia looking to prove their mettle after promotion and Fiorentina aiming to build on their established presence.
Key facts
- 1.Venezia have a significantly better goal difference (9 goals) than Fiorentina this season.
- 2.Fiorentina have a notable points-per-game advantage (1.11) over Venezia (0.00).
- 3.Venezia have bolstered their squad with signings A. Rrahmani, A. Adams, and L. Montipò.
- 4.Fiorentina's summer arrivals include Mateo Pellegrino, A. Atta, and C. Inao Oulaï.
- 5.Fiorentina have loaned out A. Richardson, P. Comuzzo, and R. Gosens.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Venezia.
- 7.The most likely fulltime scoreline is 2-1 to Venezia.
The context
This fixture marks the first competitive meeting of the season for both teams. Venezia, fresh from promotion, have strengthened their squad with key signings including A. Rrahmani, A. Adams, and L. Montipò, aiming to solidify their position in the top flight. Fiorentina have also been active, welcoming Mateo Pellegrino, A. Atta, and C. Inao Oulaï, while loaning out players such as A. Richardson and R. Gosens. The stage is set for a competitive encounter as both sides look to start their campaigns positively.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Venezia
Away — Fiorentina
Analysis
The probabilities suggest a slight edge for Venezia to claim victory, with a predicted 2-1 scoreline. The halftime score of 1-0 aligns with this, indicating a tight first half before Venezia pull away. Despite Fiorentina's points-per-game advantage last season, the promoted side's better goal difference hints at their attacking potential. The match promises tactical intrigue, with Venezia eager to leverage their new signings and home advantage, while Fiorentina will look to their summer recruits to break down the opposition.
Prediction
Expect Venezia to take the spoils in a closely fought contest, edging out Fiorentina 2-1. The home side's early lead at halftime should provide the platform for a hard-fought win, though La Viola will push until the final whistle. This result would be a perfect start for Venezia's campaign, setting a positive tone for the challenges ahead.
The verdict
In summary, this season opener offers a compelling narrative of a newly promoted side aiming to make their mark against a seasoned opponent. While the prediction favours Venezia, the low confidence in the call suggests a match finely balanced and full of potential surprises. Fans can look forward to an engaging contest with goals and drama aplenty.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Adams
Assist: Busio
Mastantuono
Assist: Álex Jiménez
Mastantuono
Assist: Beto
Schingtienne
Yellow Card
Busio
Atta
Beto
Pellegrino
Assist: Fagioli
Sagrado
Moreno
Njie
Yellow Card
Sohm
Yellow Card
Sohm
Yeboah
Njie
Mastantuono
Hainaut
Assist: Haps
Mastantuono
Ranieri
Match Statistics
Venezia
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1F. StankovićG
- 2M. MorenoD
- 3J. SchingtienneD
- 5R. HapsD
- 6G. BusioM
- 10J. YeboahF
- 18A. HainautM
- 19S. SohmM
- 20R. SagradoM
- 45A. AdamsF
- 71Kike PérezM
Substitutes
- 7A. RrahmaniF
- 8Lamine DaboM
- 14Thierry CorreiaD
- 15Juan JesusD
- 16R. MohammedD
- 21Þ. HelgasonM
- 25R. HalhalD
- 29L. LauberbachF
- 36L. BerardiM
- 55S. PanadaM
- 56K. LismanF
- 70P. MazzocchiD
- 77Toni FernándezM
- 95A. GomesD
- 96L. MontipòG
Fiorentina
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3R. DrăgușinD
- 6L. RanieriD
- 14A. AttaM
- 20Álex JiménezD
- 23BetoF
- 25A. NjieM
- 27C. NdourM
- 30Franco MastantuonoM
- 33VieryD
- 43David de GeaG
- 44N. FagioliM
Substitutes
- 2DodôD
- 4M. BrescianiniM
- 5M. PongračićD
- 17João MárioD
- 19L. LezzeriniG
- 21ValdeD
- 28PoteM
- 29W. GnontoF
- 32Mateo PellegrinoF
- 42C. Inao OulaïM
- 53O. ChristensenG
Venezia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Stanković | G | 90 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Antoine Hainaut | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Akor Adams | F | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Gianluca Busio(C) | M | 44 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| John Yeboah | F | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/4 |
| Matias Moreno | D | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ridgeciano Haps | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Simon Sohm | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Joel Schingtienne | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Richie Sagrado | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Kike Pérez | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lorenzo Montipò | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Berardi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rufai Mohammed | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kornel Lisman | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lamine Fanne | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Redouane Halhal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ale Gomes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simone Panada | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pasquale Mazzocchi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Albion Rrahmani | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thierry Correia | D | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| Juan Jesus | D | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Toni Fernández | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Þórir Jóhann Helgason | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Lion Lauberbach | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fiorentina
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Mastantuono | M | 89 | 9.9 | 3 | — | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3/4 |
| Nicolò Fagioli | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alieu Njie | M | 80 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3/3 |
| Radu Drăguşin | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Atta | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Álex Jiménez | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Cher Ndour | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Viery | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David De Gea(C) | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Ranieri | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Beto | F | 60 | 5.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Víctor Valdepeñas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marin Pongračić | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Brescianini | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Christensen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Lezzerini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dodô | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Mário | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christ Inao Oulaï | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Pellegrino | F | 30 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Gonçalves | M | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Venezia vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Venezia to win against Fiorentina.
- What score did Fipster predict for Venezia vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Venezia 2–1 Fiorentina.
- What were the win probabilities for Venezia vs Fiorentina?
- Fipster's model gave Venezia a 35% chance of winning, Fiorentina a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.