Vasco DA Gama vs Santos
Santos cruise to comfortable win at Vasco
A second-half surge sees Santos secure a 3-0 victory away from home.
Santos turned on the style after the break with goals from Gabriel Barbosa, Willian Arão, and Luan Peres sealing a commanding 3-0 win over Vasco DA Gama. The trio struck between the 68th and 81st minutes to put the game beyond doubt. Fipster had tipped an away win with medium confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the prediction of Santos coming out on top proved spot on.
Outcome probability
Vasco DA Gama and Santos face off in a tightly poised league clash where both sides are eager to climb out of the lower reaches of the table. With similar points tallies and recent form, this match promises a competitive encounter with Santos narrowly favoured to come out on top.
Match factors
Santos missing key attacker Neymar
Neymar is confirmed out due to suspension, removing a major goal threat and playmaker
Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos scoring
Gabriel Barbosa has 7 goals in 14 games, top scorer and in strong recent form
Vasco DA Gama's Gómez key in attack
Gómez is a consistent scorer and creative midfielder, likely focal point vs Santos defense
Santos scoring streak in away games
Santos has scored in all last 5 away matches, showing strong offensive momentum
Rodríguez's assist threat from defense
Rodríguez provides set-piece and crossing assists, enhancing Vasco's scoring chances
The context
Both teams sit precariously near the bottom of the league standings, with Vasco DA Gama in 18th and Santos just above in 17th, each on 22 points. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, though Santos have a slight edge with nine wins to Vasco's six in 20 meetings. Matches between these two typically see around 2.6 goals, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends.
Key insights
Gabriel Barbosa
Santos
Leading scorer with 7 goals in 14 games, including 3 in the last 5, making him a key threat.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 14 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
A. Gómez
Vasco DA Gama
Consistent goal-scoring midfielder with 4 goals this season, pivotal in Vasco's attack.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 18 appearances, 0.22 goals/game
J. Rodríguez
Vasco DA Gama
Top assister among defenders with 4 assists, providing set-piece and crossing threats.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 17 appearances, 0.24 assists/game
Analysis
Santos have shown consistent scoring form on the road, netting in each of their last five away fixtures. Their leading marksman, Gabriel Barbosa, boasts seven goals in 14 games and has been particularly sharp recently, scoring three in his last five outings. Vasco DA Gama will rely heavily on midfielder A. Gómez, who has contributed four goals this season and remains a key offensive outlet. Defensively, Santos will miss Neymar due to suspension, which could slightly blunt their attacking threat, but their overall momentum and Barbosa's form give them the edge. Vasco's J. Rodríguez offers a threat from defence with his set-piece deliveries, potentially troubling Santos' backline.
Key facts
- 1.Santos have won 9 of 20 matches against Vasco DA Gama, who have won 6, with 5 draws.
- 2.Average total goals in their head-to-head matches is 2.6, with Santos scoring 29 and Vasco DA Gama 23.
- 3.Both teams are near the bottom of the league, ranked 17th and 18th with 22 points each.
- 4.Gabriel Barbosa is Santos' top scorer with 7 goals in 14 games, including 3 in the last 5.
- 5.Vasco DA Gama's A. Gómez has scored 4 goals in 18 appearances, a key attacking figure.
- 6.Santos have scored in all of their last 5 away matches, showing strong offensive momentum.
- 7.J. Rodríguez leads Vasco DA Gama defenders with 4 assists in 17 games, a set-piece threat.
Prediction
The most likely scenario sees Santos take a 1-0 lead into halftime, with Gabriel Barbosa probably on the scoresheet. Vasco DA Gama are expected to respond in the second half, but Santos should hold firm to secure a 2-1 victory. The match is predicted to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Vasco DA Gama
Away — Santos
The verdict
In a fixture where both teams are desperate for points, Santos' recent away scoring streak and the clinical finishing of Gabriel Barbosa are likely to be decisive. Vasco DA Gama will push hard, especially through Gómez and Rodríguez, but ultimately Santos should edge this one by a narrow margin.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Jair
Robert Renan
Yellow Card
Oliva
Barreal
Caballero
Spinelli
Colidio
Piton
Barbosa
Assist: Rollheiser
Barbosa
Tchê Tchê
Arão
Peres
Paulo Henrique
Yellow Card
João Schmidt
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 13 |  Sao Paulo | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 27 |
| 14 |  Santos | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 |  Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 25 |
| 18 |  Remo | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -11 | 23 |
| 19 |  Vasco DA Gama | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -14 | 22 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | -22 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Vasco DA Gama
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Léo JardimG
- 3Tchê TchêM
- 6Lucas PitonD
- 8JairM
- 9F. ColidioM
- 11A. GómezM
- 23Thiago MendesM
- 30Robert RenanD
- 46C. CuestaD
- 77C. SpinelliF
- 96Paulo HenriqueD
Substitutes
- 2J. RodríguezD
- 5S. SosaM
- 7DavidF
- 10J. RojasF
- 13Daniel FuzatoG
- 17Nuno MoreiraM
- 18M. HinestrozaF
- 28AdsonF
- 43Lucas FreitasD
- 82AvellarD
- 83Ramon RiqueM
- 88Cauan BarrosM
Santos
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5João SchmidtM
- 9Gabriel BarbosaF
- 10NeymarM
- 14Luan PeresD
- 15Willian ArãoD
- 17G. CaballeroM
- 18Igor ViniciusD
- 22Á. BarrealM
- 28C. OlivaM
- 31G. EscobarD
- 77Gabriel BrazãoG
Substitutes
- 1DiógenesG
- 7Nikita SolodchenkoF
- 11RonyF
- 16ThacianoM
- 26João Paulo AnaniasD
- 27D. FernandesF
- 30M. TercerosM
- 32B. RollheiserF
- 34João PauloG
- 42João AlencarD
- 48Gustavo Henrique PereiraM
- 81S. PierriM
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Mendes(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Facundo Colidio | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 2/4 |
| Carlos Cuesta | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jair | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrés Gómez | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2/5 |
| Claudio Spinelli | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 75 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Lucas Piton | D | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Adson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riquelme Avellar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Fuzato | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johan Rojas | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | F | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Santiago Sosa | M | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Puma Rodríguez | D | 24 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Santos
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willian Arão | D | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Barbosa | F | 69 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Brazão | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Escobar | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Christian Oliva | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Neymar(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Álvaro Barreal | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Gustavo Caballero | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Igor Vinícius | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| João Paulo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robinho Júnior | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diogenes | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguelito | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Alencar | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo Ananias | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Mendes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davizinho | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | F | 27 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |