Vasco DA Gama vs Mirassol
Mirassol snatches draw at Vasco DA Gama
Igor Formiga's first-half strike earns Mirassol a valuable point on the road.
Mirassol took the lead through Igor Formiga's 30th-minute goal, putting Vasco DA Gama on the back foot. Although A. Gómez pulled one back for Vasco DA Gama in the 80th minute, the hosts couldn't find a winner, resulting in a 1-1 draw. This result defied Fipster's prediction of a narrow home win, proving the model's confidence misplaced in this Serie A encounter.
Analysis
Vasco DA Gama face Mirassol in a regular season fixture where a tight, tactical battle is expected. Both sides have struggled for consistency this season, but Vasco's midfield strength and home advantage could prove decisive.
Mirassol have won all three previous meetings against Vasco DA Gama, but both teams currently sit near the bottom of the league table—Vasco in 17th with 20 points and Mirassol in 19th with 16 points. Their head-to-head matches have averaged 3.3 goals, suggesting moderate scoring potential in this fixture.
Vasco DA Gama's midfield duo Thiago Mendes and Andrés Gómez provide a strong attacking presence, likely to control the tempo and create chances. Puma Rodríguez's set-piece delivery adds an extra threat. Mirassol's defensive stability, led by Igor Formiga, and attacking efforts from Edson Carioca will test Vasco's defence. However, the statistical edge and home advantage favour Vasco for a narrow win.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-0 victory for Vasco DA Gama, with the halftime score also predicted to be 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards likely (around four). Confidence in this prediction stands at 60%.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Vasco DA Gama's midfield strength
Thiago Mendes and Andrés Gómez provide strong attacking midfield presence, likely to control tempo and create chances
Set-piece threat from Puma Rodríguez
Puma Rodríguez leads Vasco DA Gama in assists with 4, key in set-piece deliveries and crossing accuracy
Mirassol's recent scoring consistency
Mirassol has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, with Edson Carioca as a key forward contributor
Defensive solidity with Igor Formiga
Mirassol's Igor Formiga offers defensive stability and occasional goal threat, important against Vasco's attack
Key Takeaways
Expect a closely fought match where Vasco DA Gama's midfield quality and set-piece prowess could make the difference. Mirassol will push hard, but Vasco's home advantage and tactical strengths should see them claim all three points.
- Mirassol have won all 3 previous meetings against Vasco DA Gama.
- Vasco DA Gama rank 17th with 20 points from 19 games (W5 D5 L9).
- Mirassol rank 19th with 16 points from 17 games (W4 D4 L9).
- Head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, indicating moderate scoring potential.
- Vasco DA Gama's Thiago Mendes has scored 6 goals this season, leading their midfield attack.
- Puma Rodríguez leads Vasco DA Gama with 4 assists, key in set-piece situations.
- Mirassol's Edson Carioca has 3 goals this season, important for their attack.
- Predicted total cards in the match is 4, suggesting a moderately physical game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Vasco DA Gama
Away — Mirassol
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Igor Formiga
Assist: Reinaldo
José Aldo
Unknown
Tchê Tchê
Adson
Walter
Yellow Card
Japa
Edson
Ramon Rique
Cuiabano
Cauan Barros
Gómez
Denilson
Nuno Moreira
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Vasco DA Gama
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Léo JardimG
- 2J. RodríguezD
- 3Tchê TchêM
- 11A. GómezM
- 28AdsonM
- 30Robert RenanD
- 46C. CuestaD
- 66CuiabanoD
- 77C. SpinelliF
- 83Ramon RiqueM
- 88Cauan BarrosM
Substitutes
- 6Lucas PitonD
- 7DavidF
- 10J. RojasF
- 13Daniel FuzatoG
- 17Nuno MoreiraM
- 18M. HinestrozaF
- 29PaulinhoD
- 43Lucas FreitasD
- 60V. JoaoF
- 96Paulo HenriqueD
- 98JPM
Mirassol
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5JapaM
- 6ReinaldoD
- 8DenilsonM
- 21José AldoM
- 22WalterG
- 30Bruno SantosF
- 32Igor FormigaD
- 34João VictorD
- 44GabrielD
- 95EdsonF
Substitutes
- 2Lucas OliveiraD
- 3Willian MachadoD
- 7ShaylonM
- 9André LuísF
- 10ChicoM
- 12Victor LuísD
- 17FernandinhoF
- 18EliasD
- 27A. GaleanoF
- 33EduardoM
- 90ThomazellaG
- 96Carlos EduardoF
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrés Gómez | M | 94 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3/7 |
| Carlos Cuesta | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Robert Renan | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adson | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Puma Rodríguez(C) | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Claudio Spinelli | F | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Cauan Barros | M | 74 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Jardim | G | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Ramon Rique | M | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Paulinho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Vitor Silva | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JP | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Fuzato | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Johan Rojas | F | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| David | F | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Mirassol
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 94 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor(C) | D | 94 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 94 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6/7 |
| Japa | M | 69 | 7.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Reinaldo | D | 94 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Edson Carioca | F | 69 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Gabriel Knesowitsch | D | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Aldo | M | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Denilson | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Bruno Santos | F | 94 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Shaylon | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Luis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Galeano | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomazella | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luis | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lucas Oliveira | D | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 49 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fernandinho | F | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Chico | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |