Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo
Flamengo storms Vasco with commanding win
Pedro's brace and Samuel Lino's double secure a dominant 4-1 victory away from home.
Flamengo put on a clinical display at Vasco DA Gama, racing ahead with an early goal from Pedro before Vasco briefly levelled through A. Lescano. However, Pedro's second before half-time and two second-half strikes from Samuel Lino sealed a convincing 4-1 win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow Vasco victory, turning the expected upset on its head.
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between Vasco DA Gama and Flamengo promises to be a nail-biter, with both sides eager to secure vital points in the regular season. Expect a match full of attacking intent and drama.
Match factors
Flamengo's superior scoring form
Flamengo averages 2 goals per game, significantly higher than Vasco's 1.26, boosting their scoring chances
Pedro's goal threat vs Vasco defense
Pedro leads Flamengo with 15 goals, posing a major challenge to Vasco's defense
Carlos Gómez Hinestroza's recent scoring
Gómez has scored 1 goal in last 5 games and 5 overall, showing good form for Vasco
José Rodríguez Bebanz's dual threat
Rodríguez contributes both goals (3) and assists (4), adding attacking threat from defense
Flamengo's creative midfielders' assist potential
Carrascal and Samuel Lino have 8 assists each, enhancing Flamengo's chance creation
The context
Flamengo currently sit comfortably in 2nd place with 67 points, showcasing a strong campaign, while Vasco DA Gama find themselves 13th with 38 points. Despite Flamengo's superior league position and goal difference, Vasco will be keen to upset the odds.
Key insights
Pedro
Flamengo
Pedro leads Flamengo with 15 goals, posing a major challenge to Vasco's defence.
Serie A 26/2715 goals in 30 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
- C
Carlos Gómez Hinestroza
Vasco DA Gama
Gómez has scored 5 goals this season, showing good recent form and key home contributions.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 27 appearances, 0.19 goals/game
- J
José Rodríguez Bebanz
Vasco DA Gama
Rodríguez contributes both goals (3) and assists (4), adding attacking threat from defence.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 22 appearances, 0.18 assists/game
- J
J. Carrascal Guardo
Flamengo
Carrascal is a creative force with 8 assists, enhancing Flamengo's chance creation.
Serie A 26/278 assists in 24 appearances, 0.33 assists/game
Analysis
Flamengo have dominated the head-to-head record with 13 wins out of 20 meetings, but Vasco DA Gama have shown resilience and home strength. Pedro leads Flamengo's attack with 15 goals, while Vasco's Carlos Gómez Hinestroza has been a key contributor with 5 goals this season. Creative midfielders like Carrascal and Samuel Lino bolster Flamengo's chances, but Vasco's José Rodríguez Bebanz offers a dual threat from defence. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams eager to assert themselves.
Key facts
- 1.Flamengo lead head-to-head with 13 wins out of 20 matches.
- 2.Vasco DA Gama are 13th in the league with 38 points from 31 games.
- 3.Flamengo hold 2nd place with 67 points from 31 games.
- 4.Flamengo have a +36 goal difference compared to Vasco's -6.
- 5.Pedro is Flamengo's top scorer with 15 goals this season.
- 6.Carlos Gómez Hinestroza has scored 5 goals for Vasco this season.
- 7.José Rodríguez Bebanz leads Vasco's defenders with 4 assists and 3 goals.
Prediction
Despite Flamengo's statistical advantages, Vasco DA Gama are predicted to secure a 3-2 win after a 1-1 halftime stalemate. The home side's attacking contributions and recent form could just tip the balance in their favour in this closely fought encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Vasco DA Gama
Away — Flamengo
The verdict
This match promises excitement and goals, with Vasco DA Gama likely to celebrate a hard-fought victory. Flamengo will not go down without a fight, making this a must-watch fixture for fans of Brazilian football.
Prediction generated 27 Oct 2026, 01:03 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pedro
Assist: Varela
Lescano
Assist: Brenner
Pedro
Plata
Yellow Card
Plata
Lino
Thiago Mendes
Hinestroza
Cuiabano
de Arrascaeta
Pedro
Colidio
Brenner
Paquetá
Lino
Lino
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | +42 | 76 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | +39 | 73 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -7 | 41 |
| 14 |  Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
Match Statistics
Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Léo JardimG
- 2J. RodríguezD
- 8JairM
- 9F. ColidioM
- 18M. HinestrozaM
- 20BrennerF
- 22A. LescanoM
- 23Thiago MendesM
- 43Lucas FreitasD
- 55Gabriel PereiraD
- 66CuiabanoD
Substitutes
- 3Tchê TchêM
- 4A. SaldiviaD
- 5S. SosaM
- 6Lucas PitonD
- 7DavidF
- 13Daniel FuzatoG
- 17Nuno MoreiraM
- 19Bruno DuarteF
- 28AdsonF
- 30Robert RenanD
- 83Ramon RiqueM
- 96Paulo HenriqueD
Flamengo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. RossiG
- 2G. VarelaD
- 3Léo OrtizD
- 4Léo PereiraD
- 5E. PulgarM
- 9PedroF
- 10G. de ArrascaetaM
- 16Samuel LinoM
- 19G. PlataM
- 21JorginhoM
- 22Emerson RoyalD
Substitutes
- 6Ayrton LucasD
- 7Luiz AraújoF
- 11Lucas PaquetáM
- 27Bruno HenriqueF
- 30J. FreitasF
- 39J. S. MirandaF
- 42AndrewG
- 44VitãoD
- 49DyogoG
- 52Evertton AraújoM
- 61João Victor CunhaD
- 77Johnny GóesD
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Lescano | M | 87 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Jair | M | 87 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Brenner | F | 72 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Pereira | D | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Facundo Colidio | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4/5 |
| Thiago Mendes(C) | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Puma Rodríguez | D | 87 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 87 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | M | 60 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Cuiabano | D | 61 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Léo Jardim | G | 87 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ramon Rique | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Renan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Fuzato | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Saldivia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Sosa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Duarte | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| David | F | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Flamengo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Lino | M | 87 | 9.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1/5 |
| Pedro Guilherme | F | 70 | 8.0 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Léo Ortiz | D | 87 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Guillermo Varela | D | 87 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgian de Arrascaeta(C) | M | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Emerson Royal | D | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Plata | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Agustín Rossi | G | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulgar | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Josmar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evertton Araujo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dyogo Alves | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Victor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Johnny Goes | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitão | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | F | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Joaquín Freitas | F | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | F | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Vasco DA Gama to win against Flamengo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Vasco DA Gama 3–2 Flamengo.
- What were the win probabilities for Vasco DA Gama vs Flamengo?
- Fipster's model gave Vasco DA Gama a 40% chance of winning, Flamengo a 30% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 40% confidence — a low-confidence call.