Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama steamroll Coritiba in dominant display
A commanding 5-0 victory sees Vasco DA Gama dismantle Coritiba with ruthless efficiency.
Vasco DA Gama delivered a comprehensive thrashing of Coritiba, with F. Colidio and Bruno Duarte setting the tone before the break. After the interval, a penalty from A. Lescano and goals from A. Gómez and Ramon Rique sealed a resounding 5-0 win. This emphatic result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction favouring an away win for Coritiba, proving the home side's dominance was underestimated.
Outcome probability
This fixture between Vasco DA Gama and Coritiba promises plenty of goals and excitement, with both teams eager to improve their league standings as the season progresses.
Match factors
Coritiba's Pedro Rocha in strong scoring form
Pedro Rocha leads Coritiba with 8 goals and 3 in last 5 games, posing a major threat to Vasco's defense
Vasco DA Gama's Gómez consistent in midfield scoring
Andrés Gómez has 4 goals this season with strong home form, key for Vasco's attacking output
Vasco missing key playmaker Jair and defender Cuiabano
Absence of Jair and Cuiabano weakens Vasco's midfield creativity and defensive solidity
Coritiba's Josué consistently providing assists
Josué has 8 assists this season and 2 in last 5, driving Coritiba's attacking chances
Vasco's José Rodríguez key in set-pieces and assists
Rodríguez leads Vasco with 4 assists, crucial for set-piece delivery and attacking support
The context
Coritiba currently sit 7th in the league with 38 points, showing stronger form compared to Vasco DA Gama, who are 17th with 25 points. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been competitive, with Vasco holding a slight edge in wins but many matches ending in draws.
Key insights
Pedro Rocha
Coritiba
Pedro Rocha leads Coritiba with 8 goals this season, including 3 in the last 5 games, making him a major attacking threat.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 25 appearances, 1900 mins
A. Gómez
Vasco DA Gama
Andrés Gómez has been a consistent scorer for Vasco with 4 goals this season, particularly strong in home matches.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 22 appearances, 1810 mins
Josué
Coritiba
Josué has been a key creator for Coritiba with 8 assists this season, including 2 in the last 5 games, driving their attacking chances.
Serie A 26/278 assists in 23 appearances, 1683 mins
J. Rodríguez
Vasco DA Gama
J. Rodríguez is crucial for Vasco with 4 assists, especially effective in set-pieces and providing attacking support.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 17 appearances, 1146 mins
Analysis
Coritiba's Pedro Rocha is in fine scoring form, netting 8 goals this season including 3 in his last 5 games, making him a key threat against Vasco's defence. Vasco will rely on Andrés Gómez, who has been consistent with 4 goals and strong home performances. However, Vasco's midfield creativity is hampered by the absence of Jair, and defensive solidity is weakened without Cuiabano. Coritiba's Josué continues to provide assists regularly, with 8 this season, supporting their attacking play. The predicted 5-goal thriller aligns with the average 2.5 goals per head-to-head match, suggesting an open game with plenty of action.
Key facts
- 1.Coritiba rank 7th with 38 points, ahead of Vasco DA Gama in 17th with 25 points.
- 2.In 17 head-to-head matches, Vasco DA Gama have 6 wins, Coritiba 4, with 7 draws.
- 3.Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, consistent with the predicted 5 goals in this game.
- 4.Pedro Rocha leads Coritiba with 8 goals this season, including 3 in the last 5 games.
- 5.Andrés Gómez has scored 4 goals for Vasco DA Gama, showing strong home form.
- 6.Josué has provided 8 assists for Coritiba this season, driving their attacking play.
- 7.Vasco DA Gama are missing key players Jair and Cuiabano, affecting midfield and defence.
Prediction
We expect Coritiba to edge this encounter 3-2, with a halftime scoreline of 2-1 in their favour. The match should feature four cards, reflecting a competitive and physical battle. Coritiba's stronger league form and attacking momentum give them the slight advantage in this closely fought contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Vasco DA Gama
Away — Coritiba
The verdict
In summary, while Vasco DA Gama will put up a spirited fight bolstered by key players like Gómez and Rodríguez, Coritiba's recent form and attacking prowess should see them secure a narrow victory. Fans can look forward to an entertaining, high-scoring match with plenty of twists.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Colidio
Duarte
Assist: Gómez
Tissi
Fabinho
Santos
Lescano
Penalty
Paulo Roberto
Yellow Card
Gómez
Assist: Saldivia
Gómez
Yellow Card
Rocha
Gómez
Lescano
Ramon Rique
Fonseca
Yellow Card
Sosa
Thiago Mendes
Lavega
Colidio
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +32 | 60 |
| 8 |  Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +4 | 40 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 31 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | -8 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Vasco DA Gama
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Léo JardimG
- 4A. SaldiviaD
- 5S. SosaM
- 9F. ColidioF
- 11A. GómezF
- 19Bruno DuarteF
- 22A. LescanoM
- 30Robert RenanD
- 66CuiabanoD
- 96Paulo HenriqueD
- 188Thiago MendesM
Substitutes
- 2J. RodríguezD
- 6Lucas PitonD
- 7DavidF
- 8JairM
- 10J. RojasF
- 13Daniel FuzatoG
- 18M. HinestrozaF
- 28AdsonF
- 43Lucas FreitasD
- 55Gabriel PereiraD
- 77C. SpinelliF
- 83Ramon RiqueM
Coritiba
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Pedro LuccasG
- 4Rodrigo MoledoD
- 7J. LavegaM
- 10JosuéM
- 19S. GómezM
- 21Thiago SantosM
- 23Tiago CóserD
- 26Bruno MeloD
- 28FabinhoM
- 32Pedro RochaF
- 50TissiD
Substitutes
- 3MaiconD
- 5N. FonsecaM
- 14F. BustosD
- 18Paulo RobertoM
- 22Pedro RangelG
- 33D. AlvesF
- 36Vini PaulistaF
- 37L. CrepaldiF
- 66Rodrigo GeladoD
- 78Renato MarquesF
- 99Rodrigo RodriguesF
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gómez | F | 71 | 8.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| F. Colidio | F | 77 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 8 | 4 | 4 | 2/2 |
| Cuiabano | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1/3 |
| Ramon Rique | M | 19 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bruno Duarte | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Lescano | M | 71 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/2 |
| A. Saldivia | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jair | M | 13 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Sosa | M | 76 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Hinestroza | F | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David | F | 13 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| J. Rojas | F | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Adson | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Pereira | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Fuzato | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Coritiba
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Luccas | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vini Paulista | F | 13 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Pedro Rocha | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tiago Cóser | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Moledo | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Josué | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| J. Lavega | M | 77 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fabinho | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Fonseca | M | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Gómez | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| F. Bustos | D | 44 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Santos | M | 46 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Paulo Roberto | M | 44 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Melo | D | 90 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rodrigo Gelado | D | 25 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Tissi | D | 46 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Rodrigues | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rangel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Marques | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Crepaldi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Alves | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Maicon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Coritiba to win against Vasco DA Gama.
- What score did Fipster predict for Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Vasco DA Gama 2–3 Coritiba.
- What were the win probabilities for Vasco DA Gama vs Coritiba?
- Fipster's model gave Vasco DA Gama a 19% chance of winning, Coritiba a 62% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 62% confidence — a medium-confidence call.