Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo
Match recap
Botafogo beat Vasco DA Gama 2–1 in their Serie A fixture. David scored for Vasco DA Gama; Villalba and Matheus Martins replied for Botafogo. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.41 for Vasco DA Gama versus 1.19 for Botafogo. Vasco DA Gama sit 13th in the Serie A table while Botafogo are 11th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-0 Vasco DA Gama win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
This upcoming fixture between Vasco DA Gama and Botafogo promises a clear-cut contest, with Vasco DA Gama expected to assert their attacking prowess and secure a comprehensive victory.
Match factors
Vasco's attacking midfield strength
Andrés Gómez's consistent scoring and playmaking in midfield gives Vasco a tactical edge in creating chances.
Danilo Santos' goal threat for Botafogo
Danilo Santos leads Botafogo with 9 goals and strong recent form, posing a key threat despite predicted loss.
Vasco's home scoring form
Vasco averages 1.4 goals per home game and has recent positive scoring streaks, supporting the predicted 4-0 win.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries for either team ensures all key scorers and assisters are available, maximizing predicted performance.
The context
Both teams sit mid-table in the league, with Botafogo just a point ahead of Vasco DA Gama. Their recent encounters have been competitive, but Vasco holds a slight historical edge with seven wins in twenty matches against Botafogo.
Key insights
Andrés Gómez
Vasco DA Gama
Andrés Gómez's consistent scoring and playmaking in midfield gives Vasco a tactical edge in creating chances.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 25 appearances, 0.2 goals/game
Danilo Santos
Botafogo
Danilo Santos leads Botafogo with 9 goals and strong recent form, posing a key threat despite predicted loss.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 22 appearances, 0.41 goals/game
Analysis
Vasco DA Gama's attacking midfield, led by Andrés Gómez, provides a significant tactical advantage. Gómez's consistent scoring and playmaking ability have been crucial this season, contributing five goals in 25 appearances. Meanwhile, Botafogo's top scorer Danilo Santos, with nine goals, remains a threat but may struggle against Vasco's solid defensive setup. The prediction of a 4-0 scoreline aligns with Vasco's strong home scoring form, averaging 1.4 goals per home game, and the expected four total cards suggest a competitive but controlled match.
Key facts
- 1.Vasco DA Gama have won 7 of 20 matches against Botafogo historically.
- 2.Vasco DA Gama are 14th in the league with 35 points from 29 games.
- 3.Botafogo are 13th with 36 points from 30 games.
- 4.Andrés Gómez has scored 5 goals this season, key to Vasco's attack.
- 5.Danilo Santos leads Botafogo with 9 goals this season.
- 6.Vasco averages 1.4 goals per home game this season.
- 7.Four total cards are predicted for this match.
Prediction
We anticipate Vasco DA Gama to take an early lead, possibly going 2-0 up by halftime, and then extend their dominance to finish the match 4-0. The home side's attacking efficiency and Botafogo's inability to contain them should be decisive factors.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Vasco DA Gama
Away — Botafogo
The verdict
In summary, Vasco DA Gama look set to deliver a commanding performance, leveraging their attacking midfield strength and home form to secure a convincing 4-0 win over Botafogo.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:50 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Justino
Yellow Card
Saldivia
Yellow Card
Telles
Júnior Santos
Yellow Card
Ferraresi
Yellow Card
Júnior Santos
David
Assist: Rodríguez
Villalba
Edenílson
Cabral
Rojas
Tchê Tchê
David
Matheus Martins
Assist: Montoro
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Allan
Raul
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 13 |  Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
Match Statistics
Vasco DA Gama
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Léo JardimG
- 2J. RodríguezD
- 3Tchê TchêM
- 4A. SaldiviaD
- 7DavidF
- 10J. RojasM
- 11A. GómezM
- 23Thiago MendesM
- 30Robert RenanD
- 66CuiabanoD
- 88Cauan BarrosM
Substitutes
- 6Lucas PitonD
- 9Matheus FrançaF
- 13Daniel FuzatoG
- 17Nuno MoreiraM
- 18M. HinestrozaF
- 25Hugo MouraM
- 28AdsonF
- 43Lucas FreitasD
- 46C. CuestaD
- 77C. SpinelliF
- 96Paulo HenriqueD
- 98JPM
Botafogo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1RaulG
- 2VitinhoD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 7Júnior SantosF
- 8Danilo SantosM
- 11Matheus MartinsF
- 13Alex TellesD
- 19Arthur CabralF
- 20A. BarbozaD
- 25AllanM
- 88EdenílsonM
Substitutes
- 6C. MedinaM
- 10Álvaro MontoroM
- 14J. BarreraM
- 15Bartolomeu Jacinto QuissangaD
- 23S. RodríguezM
- 24Léo LinckG
- 27Caio RoqueD
- 28NewtonM
- 34G. JustinoM
- 37K. BarriaF
- 42Kadu SantosD
- 77L. VillalbaF
Vasco DA Gama
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puma Rodríguez | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/1 |
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David | F | 78 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Thiago Mendes(C) | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Cuiabano | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/6 |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Johan Rojas | M | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Alan Saldivia | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Andrés Gómez | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/10 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hugo Moura | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Piton | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Carlos Cuesta | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus França | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Freitas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Fuzato | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JP | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | F | 20 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Nuno Moreira | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Claudio Spinelli | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Martins | F | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Vitinho | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Alexander Barboza | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Danilo | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Raul | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Edenilson | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Alex Telles(C) | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Júnior Santos | F | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Santiago Rodríguez | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Medina | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo Linck | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Justino | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadu Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bastos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Villalba | F | 30 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 22 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Newton | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caio Roque | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadir Barría | F | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Vasco DA Gama to win against Botafogo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Vasco DA Gama 4–0 Botafogo.
- What were the win probabilities for Vasco DA Gama vs Botafogo?
- Fipster's model gave Vasco DA Gama a 95% chance of winning, Botafogo a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.