Vardar Skopje vs Riga
- Aggregate:
- Vardar Skopje 4 4 Riga (a.e.t.)
- Advances:
- Riga
Match recap
Riga beat Vardar Skopje 3–2 in their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Vardar Skopje win
Actual
2–3
Outcome probability
This 2nd Qualifying Round match between Vardar Skopje and Riga promises a close encounter, with both sides eager to progress further in the competition. Recent meetings have been competitive, and the tactical battle will be key.
Match factors
Riga's Salazar provides attacking threat from defense
Salazar's 2 assists in last 5 games and set-piece role give Riga creative edge from backline
Vardar's Rodrigues scored in last meeting vs Riga
Rodrigues scored in recent home fixture against Riga, showing ability to break their defense
Riga's Caio is sole top scorer with goal threat
Caio leads Riga's scoring with 1 goal in 5 games despite limited minutes, key to their attack
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so selection and tactics will be key factors
The context
Vardar Skopje have played two matches in this competition so far, winning one and losing one, scoring and conceding four goals each. Riga come into this with a slightly more extensive record of six matches, boasting three wins, two draws, and a single loss, with eight goals scored and six conceded. The head-to-head record between these teams is evenly split with one win apiece and no draws, setting the stage for a tightly contested affair.
Key insights
- A
Andrés Salazar Osorio
Riga
Salazar's 2 assists in last 5 games and set-piece role give Riga creative edge from backline
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/272 assists in last 5 games, 6 appearances

G. Rodrigues
Vardar Skopje
Rodrigues scored in recent home fixture against Riga, showing ability to break their defense

Caio
Riga
Caio leads Riga's scoring with 1 goal in 5 games despite limited minutes, key to their attack
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/271 goal in 5 games, 13 mins avg per game, 0.2 goals/game
Analysis
Riga's Andrés Salazar Osorio stands out as a creative force from defence, contributing two assists in his last five games and taking key set-pieces, which gives Riga an attacking edge from the backline. However, Vardar's G. Rodrigues has shown he can breach Riga's defence, having scored in their recent meeting. Vardar's goalkeeper, D. Taleski, will be crucial in maintaining a clean sheet to secure the predicted narrow win. Both teams have full squads available, so tactical nous and individual moments of quality will likely decide the outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Vardar Skopje have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D0 L1, GF 4 / GA 4).
- 2.Riga have played 6 matches in this competition (W3 D2 L1, GF 8 / GA 6).
- 3.In 2 head-to-head meetings, Vardar Skopje have won 1, Riga have won 1, with 0 draws.
- 4.Andrés Salazar Osorio has 2 assists in last 5 games, providing Riga with set-piece threat.
- 5.G. Rodrigues scored in the last meeting against Riga, showing his attacking threat.
- 6.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a home win for Vardar Skopje with a 1-0 scoreline. While the margin is expected to be slim, Vardar's ability to keep Riga at bay and capitalize on their chances should see them edge this encounter. Expect a disciplined defensive performance and a decisive goal from one of their key attackers.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Vardar Skopje

Away — Riga
The verdict
In what promises to be a tight and tactical battle, Vardar Skopje are tipped to come out on top by the narrowest of margins. Riga will pose threats, especially through Salazar's creativity, but Vardar's resilience and recent form against Riga give them the slight edge to progress.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
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Goal
Goal
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Yellow Card
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Unknown
Unknown
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Goal
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Goal
Unknown
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | |
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Vardar Skopje
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3M. ManevskiD
- 4M. MatićD
- 5F. NajdovskiD
- 6D. BabunskiM
- 7G. RodriguesF
- 8B. NikolovM
- 9A. OmeragikjF
- 21G. JankulovD
- 32D. CastañedaM
- 71Miguel Ângelo Ferreira PiresM
- 95D. TaleskiG
Substitutes
- 1D. DikovskiG
- 10Goran ZakarićF
- 17E. SpahiuF
- 18N. MishkovskiD
- 22D. TodorovskiM
- 23F. DuranskiM
- 27F. CvetkovskiD
- 31I. MarkovskiF
- 34I. PuleioM
- 49D. DanevF
- 88N. BosančićM
Riga
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4O. GaloM
- 7R. AouaniM
- 8Iago Siqueira AugustoM
- 13R. JurkovskisD
- 17A. SalazarD
- 18S. Oulad M'HandM
- 19M. BadamosiF
- 21B. MusahD
- 34A. ČernomordijsD
- 40A. AnkrahM
- 91F. OrolsG
Substitutes
- 3AbnerD
- 5K. WassomD
- 10Reginaldo RamiresF
- 11B. Pena
- 22M. Diop
- 23M. ToņiševsD
- 25A. TaiwoF
- 31T. PapadoudisG
- 33PauloD
- 44M. KazainisG
- 99CaioF
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Vardar Skopje vs Riga?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Vardar Skopje to win against Riga.
- What score did Fipster predict for Vardar Skopje vs Riga?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Vardar Skopje 1–0 Riga.
- What were the win probabilities for Vardar Skopje vs Riga?
- Fipster's model gave Vardar Skopje a 35% chance of winning, Riga a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.



