Valencia vs Girona
Match recap
Valencia beat Girona 2–1 in their La Liga fixture. Ramazani and Sadiq scored for Valencia; Roca replied for Girona. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.46 for Valencia versus 1.51 for Girona. Valencia sit 9th in the La Liga table while Girona are 19th.
Analysis
Valencia host Girona in what promises to be a balanced La Liga clash. Both teams have shown similar form this season, making a draw a likely outcome.
Valencia sit 14th in the league with 35 points, while Girona are just above in 12th with 38 points. Their head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, with five wins apiece and one draw in 11 meetings, highlighting the evenly matched nature of this fixture.
The predicted 1-1 scoreline reflects the teams' comparable attacking and defensive capabilities. Valencia's Hugo Duro, with his strong away scoring form, is a key threat, while Girona will miss their top scorer Vanat due to injury. Midfield control by Valencia's Pepelu could be crucial, but the absence of creative force Luis Rioja might limit their chances. The match is expected to be tight, with a modest total of four cards likely.
Prediction
We forecast a 0-0 halftime stalemate leading to a 1-1 fulltime draw. Both sides are evenly matched, and the game should see limited goals and a fair share of fouls, resulting in four cards overall.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Valencia's attacking options limited by injuries
Key attackers Ramazani and Danjuma are injured, reducing scoring depth and creativity.
Pepelu's midfield control could dictate tempo
Pepelu's high passing accuracy and defensive work rate give Valencia midfield dominance potential.
Hugo Duro's strong away scoring form
Duro's 0.5 goals/game away recently surpasses league average, making him a prime scoring threat.
Girona missing top scorer Vanat
Vanat's injury removes Girona's leading goal threat, impacting their offensive threat.
Luis Rioja's absence affects Valencia creativity
Rioja's recent assist form and passing quality are missed, possibly reducing chance creation.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a competitive match with neither side able to dominate fully. Valencia and Girona will likely share the spoils in a 1-1 draw, reflecting their balanced head-to-head history and current league standings.
- Valencia and Girona have an equal number of wins (5 each) and one draw in 11 meetings.
- Matches between these teams average 2.4 goals, supporting a low-scoring draw.
- Valencia are 14th with 35 points from 31 games (W9 D8 L14).
- Girona are 12th with 38 points from 31 games (W9 D11 L11).
- Hugo Duro is Valencia's top scorer with 9 goals, showing strong away form.
- Girona's top scorer Vanat is injured, reducing their attacking threat.
- Valencia's Luis Rioja, top assister, is also injured, impacting creativity.
- Pepelu's midfield control and defensive work rate are key for Valencia.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Valencia
Away — Girona
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Saravia
Yellow Card
Álex Moreno
Yellow Card
Ramazani
Assist: Javi Guerra
Sadiq
Assist: José Gayà
Echeverri
Lemar
Álex Moreno
Roca
Assist: Francés
Javi Guerra
Beltrán
Blind
Ounahi
Sadiq
Saravia
Ramazani
Stuani
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | +59 | 94 |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 | 50 |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 | 49 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 | 46 |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 | 42 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 | 41 |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -34 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Valencia
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1S. DimitrievskiG
- 2G. RodríguezM
- 5César TárregaD
- 6U. SadiqF
- 8Javi GuerraM
- 11Luis RiojaM
- 14José GayàD
- 15L. BeltránF
- 17L. RamazaniM
- 18PepeluD
- 20R. SaraviaD
Substitutes
- 4Unai NúñezD
- 7A. DanjumaF
- 9Hugo DuroF
- 10André AlmeidaM
- 13Cristian RiveroG
- 16Diego LópezF
- 19Dani RabaF
- 21Jesús VázquezD
- 22B. SantamaríaM
- 23F. UgrinicM
- 26Rubo IranzoD
- 27David OtorbiF
Girona
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4Arnau MartínezD
- 11T. LemarM
- 12Vitor NunesD
- 13P. GazzanigaG
- 14C. EcheverriF
- 15V. TsygankovM
- 17D. BlindD
- 18A. OunahiM
- 20A. WitselM
- 23Iván MartínM
- 24Álex MorenoD
Substitutes
- 1Rubén BlancoG
- 2Hugo RincónD
- 3Joel RocaM
- 5David LópezD
- 7C. StuaniF
- 8Fran BeltránM
- 16Alejandro FrancésD
- 21Bryan GilF
- 25V. KrapyvtsovG
- 36Ricard ArteroM
Valencia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Largie Ramazani | M | 84 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| Stole Dimitrievski | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pepelu | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Rioja | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jose Gaya(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Guido Rodríguez | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Umar Sadiq | F | 71 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| César Tárrega | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renzo Saravia | D | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Javier Guerra | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Lucas Beltrán | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| David Otorbi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Rivero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani Raba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Baptiste Santamaria | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnaut Danjuma | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jesús Vázquez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubén Iranzo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Ugrinić | M | 25 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Unai Núñez | D | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego López | F | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Hugo Duro | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Almeida | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Girona
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Axel Witsel | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Gazzaniga | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Lemar | M | 61 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Vitor Reis | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Claudio Echeverri | F | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Azzedine Ounahi | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Daley Blind | D | 69 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arnau Martínez(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Iván Martín | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Viktor Tsygankov | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Alex Moreno | D | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Vladyslav Krapyvtsov | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricard Artero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fran Beltrán | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Blanco | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Lopez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Francés | D | 29 | 8.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Hugo Rincón | D | 21 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Roca | M | 29 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Bryan Gil | F | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Cristhian Stuani | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |