Utrecht vs Willem II
Utrecht seals solid win over Willem II
Cathline's brace and Alarcón's late strike secure a 3-1 victory at home.
Utrecht delivered a confident performance in the Eredivisie, overcoming Willem II 3-1. Y. Cathline was the standout, netting twice after the break, while Ángel Alarcón added a late goal to seal the win. J. Slory's effort for Willem II offered brief hope, but Utrecht maintained control. Fipster's high-confidence prediction proved spot on with the exact scoreline.
Outcome probability
Utrecht and Willem II face off in the Regular Season - 8, with both sides eager to improve their league standing. Utrecht holds a clear advantage in form and goal difference, while Willem II seeks to find some rhythm after a tough start.
Match factors
Willem II's attacking threat led by Devin Haen
Haen's 3 goals in 6 games and full-time presence make him a key scoring threat against Utrecht's defense.
Utrecht's defensive duels dominated by S. Horemans
Horemans wins 65% of duels, above league average, providing defensive stability despite team struggles.
Artem Stepanov's recent scoring form
Stepanov scored multiple goals recently, boosting Utrecht's attack potential in this fixture.
Utrecht missing key midfielders and attacker
Several midfielders and an attacker are confirmed out, weakening Utrecht's depth and creativity.
Willem II's creative supply from Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Tjoe-A-On leads assists for Willem II with 2, providing key crosses and set-piece creativity.
The context
Utrecht currently sits 13th in the league with 5 points from 6 games, showing a better run of form compared to Willem II, who are 18th with just 2 points from 7 matches. The goal difference tells a similar story, with Utrecht boasting +6 and Willem II languishing at -14.
Key insights
Devin Haen
Willem II
Haen's 3 goals in 6 games and full-time presence make him a key scoring threat against Utrecht's defence.
Eredivisie 26/273 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 goals per game
- S
S. Horemans
Utrecht
Horemans wins 65% of duels, providing defensive stability despite team struggles.
Eredivisie 26/27High duel win rate (65%) and interceptions for Utrecht
Artem Stepanov
Utrecht
Stepanov scored multiple goals recently, boosting Utrecht's attack potential in this fixture.
Eredivisie 26/27Multiple goals in recent fixtures, strong shot conversion
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Willem II
Tjoe-A-On leads assists for Willem II with 2, providing key crosses and set-piece creativity.
Eredivisie 26/272 assists in 6 appearances, 0.33 assists per game
Analysis
Utrecht's attacking threat is led by Artem Stepanov, who has been in good scoring form recently. Defensively, S. Horemans provides stability with a high duel win rate. Willem II's main hope lies with Devin Haen, their top scorer with 3 goals this season, and creative supply from Nathan Tjoe-A-On. However, Utrecht's overall better form and goal difference suggest they will control the match.
Key facts
- 1.Utrecht ranks 13th with 5 points from 6 games (W1 D2 L3).
- 2.Willem II is 18th with 2 points from 7 games (W0 D2 L5).
- 3.Utrecht has a goal difference of +6 compared to Willem II's -14.
- 4.Utrecht averages 0.83 points per game, higher than Willem II's 0.29.
- 5.Devin Haen is Willem II's top scorer with 3 goals in 6 games.
- 6.Artem Stepanov has scored multiple goals recently for Utrecht.
- 7.S. Horemans wins 65% of defensive duels, aiding Utrecht's defence.
- 8.Nathan Tjoe-A-On leads Willem II with 2 assists this season.
Prediction
The prediction is a home win for Utrecht with a halftime score of 1-1 and a fulltime score of 3-1. The match is expected to be competitive early on, but Utrecht's quality should see them pull away in the second half. A total of three cards is anticipated, reflecting a moderately physical encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Utrecht
Away — Willem II
The verdict
Utrecht's superior form and goal difference make them the favourites to take all three points. Willem II will need to tighten up defensively and find more attacking cohesion to challenge effectively. Expect a lively game with Utrecht ultimately prevailing 3-1.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 12:09 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cathline
Yellow Card
Cathline
Assist: de Wit
Slory
Assist: van Crooij
Vesterlund
Zagré
Vilhena
Slory
Cathline
Assist: Agougil
Panagiotou
Yellow Card
van Crooij
Tjoe-A-On
Broholm
Agougil
Uriel van Aalst
Alarcón
Assist: Blake
Cathline
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 20 |
| 12 |  Cambuur | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -16 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Utrecht
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1V. BarkasG
- 2S. HoremansD
- 3M. DiddenD
- 5N. PanagiotouD
- 8J. van OvereemM
- 10Y. CathlineF
- 20D. de WitF
- 23N. VesterlundM
- 38O. AgougilM
- 80M. BroholmF
- 92A. ZagréM
Substitutes
- 6G. OfferhausD
- 11Ángel AlarcónF
- 15A. BlakeF
- 17S. van DuijnF
- 18J. MedićD
- 21N. Ogidi NwankwoD
- 22S. PadtG
- 32P. KloosterboerD
- 33K. GadellaaG
- 34D. van den BergM
- 39N. AmrabatF
Willem II
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3F. StamD
- 5H. ter AvestD
- 6C. TwigtM
- 7J. SloryM
- 9D. HaenF
- 19Uriel van AalstM
- 23M. DekkerD
- 24N. Tjoe-A-OnD
- 26M. DelangheG
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 52T. VilhenaM
Substitutes
- 2A. CiranniD
- 10J. SchuurmanM
- 14Jens MathijsenD
- 15A. Et-TaïbiD
- 17O. MartinF
- 18Anass ZarroukM
- 21W. van der SteenG
- 22Per van LoonM
- 28T. VerheydtF
- 31K. de LeeuwG
- 50E. GürbüzF
- 83M. LemmensD
Utrecht
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Cathline | F | 90 | 9.2 | 2 | — | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| O. Agougil | M | 82 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Ángel Alarcón | F | 22 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| D. de Wit | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | — |
| J. van Overeem | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| S. Horemans | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| M. Didden | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| P. Kloosterboer | D | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Vesterlund | M | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| A. Zagré | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Blake | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Broholm | F | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| D. van den Berg | M | 8 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Barkas | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Panagiotou | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Ogidi Nwankwo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Medić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Amrabat | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Padt | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Offerhaus | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Gadellaa | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. van Duijn | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Willem II
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. van Crooij | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| J. Slory | M | 72 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| C. Twigt | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| F. Stam | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Haen | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Verheydt | F | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Gürbüz | F | 18 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| O. Martin | F | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Tjoe-A-On | D | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| H. ter Avest | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Ciranni | D | 9 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anass Zarrouk | M | 18 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Dekker | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Uriel van Aalst | M | 87 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Vilhena | M | 72 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Delanghe | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. van der Steen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Per van Loon | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. de Leeuw | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lemmens | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Mathijsen | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Et-Taïbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Schuurman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Utrecht vs Willem II?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Utrecht to win against Willem II.
- What score did Fipster predict for Utrecht vs Willem II?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Utrecht 3–1 Willem II.
- What were the win probabilities for Utrecht vs Willem II?
- Fipster's model gave Utrecht a 75% chance of winning, Willem II a 12% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.