Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg
Union Berlin edges Elversberg in tight contest
Livan Burcu's late strike secures a narrow win for the hosts.
Union Berlin managed to break the deadlock with an 81st-minute goal from Livan Burcu, clinching a 1-0 victory over SV Elversberg in this Bundesliga clash. The match was a closely fought affair, with the solitary goal proving decisive. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, albeit with a different scoreline in mind.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Union Berlin facing off against SV Elversberg, a freshly promoted side eager to make their mark. Both teams will be looking to start their campaigns on a high note in what promises to be an entertaining encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Union Berlin finished 11th last season with 39 points from 34 games.
- 2.SV Elversberg are newly promoted and have not played any league games this season.
- 3.Union Berlin have signed M. Aebischer ahead of the new season.
- 4.Union Berlin have released D. Doekhi, Ilyas Ansah, and Diogo Leite during the summer.
- 5.The predicted fulltime score is 3-2 in favour of Union Berlin.
- 6.The halftime score is expected to be 2-1, indicating an open first half.
- 7.The match is expected to see around three total cards.
- 8.This is the first competitive fixture of the new season for both teams.
The context
Union Berlin finished 11th in their league last season with 39 points from 34 games, while SV Elversberg are stepping up to this level for the first time, having not played any league games this season. Union Berlin have strengthened their squad with the arrival of M. Aebischer, while also seeing the departure of D. Doekhi, Ilyas Ansah, and Diogo Leite. Elversberg enter this match with a clean slate, aiming to prove their worth against more established opposition.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Union Berlin
Away — SV Elversberg
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win, with a likely scoreline of 3-2. The first half is expected to be lively, possibly ending 2-1 in favour of Union Berlin. Both sides are anticipated to contribute to an open game with multiple goals. The total number of cards is expected to be around three, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match. Union Berlin's experience at this level and summer reinforcements could give them the edge, but Elversberg's enthusiasm as newcomers should not be underestimated.
Prediction
We foresee Union Berlin clinching a narrow 3-2 victory over SV Elversberg. The match is likely to be closely contested, with Union Berlin taking a 2-1 lead into halftime and holding on to secure the win by the final whistle.
The verdict
This season opener promises goals and excitement as Union Berlin look to assert their status against ambitious newcomers SV Elversberg. Expect a tight contest with plenty of action, culminating in a home victory that sets the tone for the campaign ahead.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 17:21 UTC · Fipster Model v1.160
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Haberer
Yellow Card
Skarke
Yellow Card
Imeri
Zimmerschied
Futkeu
Darvich
Günther
Aebischer
Jeong Woo-Yeong
Skarke
Burcu
Sirch
Krattenmacher
Yellow Card
Schäfer
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Union Berlin
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1F. RønnowG
- 2F. UduokhaiD
- 4Z. Van Den BoschD
- 8R. KhediraM
- 11Jeong Woo-YeongM
- 13A. SchäferM
- 15T. RotheD
- 19J. HabererD
- 20M. AebischerM
- 21T. SkarkeF
- 30K. ImeriM
Substitutes
- 6A. KemleinM
- 7O. BurkeF
- 9Livan BurcuF
- 14L. QuerfeldD
- 17D. KöhnD
- 27M. LjubiÄiÄF
- 28C. TrimmelD
- 31M. RaabG
SV Elversberg
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8Ł. PorębaM
- 9N. FutkeuF
- 10Noah DarvichM
- 19L. PinckertD
- 20N. KristofG
- 21L. GüntherD
- 25L. PetkovM
- 26L. SirchD
- 29T. ZimmerschiedM
- 31M. RohrD
- 43F. KeidelM
Substitutes
- 2N. MickelsonD
- 3F. Le JoncourD
- 6A. CondéM
- 7M. KrattenmacherM
- 17F. SchmahlM
- 24L. SchnellbacherM
- 28T. BossG
- 39William Cole CampbellF
- 42D. MokwaF
Union Berlin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livan Burcu | F | 32 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Z. Van Den Bosch | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Uduokhai | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| K. Imeri | M | 58 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Jeong Woo-Yeong | M | 78 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Rønnow | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Trimmel | D | 13 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schäfer | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| T. Rothe | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| O. Burke | F | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Khedira | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Haberer | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| T. Skarke | F | 78 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/6 |
| A. Kemlein | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. LjubiÄiÄ | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Querfeld | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Raab | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Köhn | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SV Elversberg
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Kristof | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Rohr | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Sirch | D | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Günther | D | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| L. Pinckert | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| F. Keidel | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. Krattenmacher | M | 31 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Zimmerschied | M | 59 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Cole Campbell | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| F. Schmahl | M | 4 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Mickelson | D | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ł. Poręba | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Mokwa | F | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Darvich | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| N. Futkeu | F | 70 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Petkov | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| F. Le Joncour | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Condé | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Boss | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Schnellbacher | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Union Berlin to win against SV Elversberg.
- What score did Fipster predict for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Union Berlin 3–2 SV Elversberg.
- What were the win probabilities for Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg?
- Fipster's model gave Union Berlin a 42% chance of winning, SV Elversberg a 29% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 42% confidence — a low-confidence call.