Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin and Frankfurt share six-goal thriller
Ebnoutalib's hat-trick can't secure Frankfurt victory as Union Berlin fight back twice.
Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt served up a six-goal spectacle ending in a 3-3 draw. Ebnoutalib was the star for Frankfurt with a first-half brace and a second-half goal, but Union Berlin responded with Latte Lath's early strike and late goals from Querfeld and Skarke to deny the visitors. This entertaining stalemate defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a Frankfurt win.
Outcome probability
The new Bundesliga season kicks off with Union Berlin facing Eintracht Frankfurt in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both sides will be eager to set the tone early, with fresh ambitions and squad adjustments shaping their approach.
Key facts
- 1.Union Berlin finished 11th last season with 39 points from 34 games.
- 2.Eintracht Frankfurt finished 8th last season with 44 points from 34 games.
- 3.Frankfurt had a superior goal difference by 10 goals compared to Union Berlin last season.
- 4.R. Kristensen departed Eintracht Frankfurt over the summer.
- 5.This is the first league match of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season for both teams.
The context
This fixture marks the first league game of the 2026-27 season for both teams. Union Berlin and Eintracht Frankfurt finished last season in mid-table positions, with Frankfurt holding a slight edge in goal difference. Notably, Frankfurt have parted ways with R. Kristensen over the summer, which could influence their dynamics as they seek to build on last season's platform.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Union Berlin
Away — Eintracht Frankfurt
Analysis
Looking ahead to this opener, Eintracht Frankfurt appear marginally stronger on paper, boasting a better goal difference from last season and sitting higher in the previous campaign's standings. Union Berlin will aim to leverage home advantage, but Frankfurt's squad depth and tactical flexibility may prove decisive. The predicted 2-1 scoreline suggests a tight contest with Frankfurt edging out their opponents by a narrow margin.
Prediction
Our forecast sees Eintracht Frankfurt securing a 2-1 victory away from home. The away side's ability to find the net twice while limiting Union Berlin to a single goal reflects their slight superiority. Expect a competitive match with moments of quality from both sides, but ultimately Frankfurt to claim the three points.
The verdict
As the Bundesliga season gets underway, this clash sets the stage for an intriguing campaign. Both teams will be keen to start positively, but Eintracht Frankfurt's predicted narrow win could give them early momentum. Fans can look forward to a spirited contest with plenty to play for.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Eintracht Frankfurt has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Latte Lath
Assist: Juranović
Ebnoutalib
Ebnoutalib
Yellow Card
Ebnoutalib
Yellow Card
Aebischer
Yellow Card
Schäfer
Latte Lath
Aebischer
Burkardt
Ebnoutalib
Assist: Baum
Kemlein
Uzun
Amaimouni
Querfeld
Assist: Juranović
Van Den Bosch
Yellow Card
LjubiÄiÄ
Onyedika
Yellow Card
Ebnoutalib
Skarke
Assist: Querfeld
Otávio
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |  FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Union Berlin
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 4Z. Van Den BoschD
- 6A. KemleinM
- 8R. KhediraM
- 13A. SchäferM
- 14L. QuerfeldD
- 15T. RotheD
- 18J. JuranovićD
- 20M. AebischerM
- 27M. LjubiÄiÄF
- 29E. Latte LathF
- 31M. RaabG
Substitutes
- 2F. UduokhaiD
- 9Livan BurcuF
- 11Jeong Woo-YeongM
- 17D. KöhnD
- 19J. HabererM
- 21T. SkarkeM
- 25C. KlausG
- 28C. TrimmelD
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1N. AtuboluG
- 2Elias BaumD
- 4R. KochD
- 8F. ChaïbiM
- 9J. BurkardtF
- 11Y. EbnoutalibF
- 25R. OnyedikaM
- 26K. KosugiD
- 29A. AmaimouniM
- 42C. UzunM
Substitutes
- 5OtávioD
- 6O. HøjlundM
- 19J. BahoyaF
- 22T. ChandlerD
- 27M. GötzeM
- 31L. ArrhovM
- 35M. PimpongF
- 40Kauã SantosG
Union Berlin
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Juranović | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | — |
| T. Skarke | M | 29 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Querfeld | D | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| E. Latte Lath | F | 61 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Livan Burcu | F | 29 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/4 |
| Z. Van Den Bosch | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Aebischer | M | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| A. Kemlein | M | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jeong Woo-Yeong | M | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. LjubiÄiÄ | F | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Khedira | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Schäfer | M | 61 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Köhn | D | 8 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Haberer | M | 14 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| T. Rothe | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| M. Raab | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Uduokhai | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Klaus | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Trimmel | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Ebnoutalib | F | 85 | 9.3 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Elias Baum | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| R. Koch | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Atubolu | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pimpong | F | 24 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Burkardt | F | 66 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| F. Chaïbi | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| C. Uzun | M | 79 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/7 |
| A. Amaimouni | M | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 4/8 |
| R. Onyedika | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Højlund | M | 11 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Arrhov | M | 11 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Otávio | D | 5 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kosugi | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bahoya | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Götze | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Chandler | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Santos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Eintracht Frankfurt to win against Union Berlin.
- What score did Fipster predict for Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Union Berlin 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt.
- What were the win probabilities for Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Fipster's model gave Union Berlin a 27% chance of winning, Eintracht Frankfurt a 46% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 46% confidence — a medium-confidence call.