Udinese vs Lecce
Lecce stroll to a commanding win at Udinese
Three goals, including a brace in the first half, hand Lecce a comfortable victory.
Lecce dismantled Udinese with a 3-0 victory, featuring early strikes from Kialonda Gaspar and K. N’Dri that set the tone before J. Siebert sealed the win late on. This result was a clear upset against Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, as Lecce dominated from start to finish.
Outcome probability
As Serie A's regular season unfolds, Udinese and Lecce face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have shown glimpses of promise but remain mid-table, setting the stage for a tactical battle.
Match factors
Udinese's attacking edge through Ekkelenkamp
Ekkelenkamp's strong away scoring form and high involvement give Udinese a key attacking advantage.
Udinese's superior assist potential via Keinan Davis
Davis leads Udinese with 2 assists in 4 games, exceeding league average for attackers, boosting goal chances.
Lecce's Coulibaly showing recent scoring form
Coulibaly has 2 goals in last 5 games and consistent starts, indicating rising form for Lecce's midfield.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing players expected.
The context
Udinese currently sit 14th with 4 points from 5 games, while Lecce are just above them in 12th with 6 points from 6 matches. Their head-to-head record favours Udinese, who have won 9 of their 15 meetings, suggesting a psychological edge. Matches between these two typically see moderate scoring, averaging 2.3 goals per game.
Key insights
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
Udinese
Ekkelenkamp's strong away scoring form and high involvement give Udinese a key attacking advantage.
Serie A 26/273 goals in last 5 games, 5 appearances, 0.6 goals/game last 5
Keinan Davis
Udinese
Davis leads Udinese with 2 assists in 4 games, exceeding league average for attackers, boosting goal chances.
Serie A 26/272 assists in 4 games, 0.5 assists/game
Lassana Coulibaly
Lecce
Coulibaly has 2 goals in last 6 games and consistent starts, indicating rising form for Lecce's midfield.
Serie A 26/272 goals in 6 games, 90 avg mins/game
Analysis
Udinese's attacking threat is spearheaded by Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, who boasts an impressive 3 goals in 5 games and a strong away scoring record. Keinan Davis complements this with 2 assists in 4 games, highlighting Udinese's creative potential. Lecce's Lassana Coulibaly has shown recent form with 2 goals, but overall, Udinese's combination of attacking efficiency and historical dominance gives them the upper hand. Both teams have full squads available, so no injury concerns should affect the outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Udinese have won 9 of 15 meetings against Lecce.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals per game.
- 3.Udinese are 14th in the league with 4 points from 5 games.
- 4.Lecce are 12th with 6 points from 6 games.
- 5.Jurgen Ekkelenkamp has scored 3 goals in 5 games for Udinese.
- 6.Keinan Davis leads Udinese with 2 assists in 4 games.
- 7.Lassana Coulibaly has 2 goals in 6 games for Lecce.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Udinese, with the halftime scoreline also expected to be 1-0. The match is likely to be competitive, with a total of around 4 cards issued, reflecting a spirited but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Udinese
Away — Lecce
The verdict
Expect a tight affair where Udinese's slight edge in attack and historical record could be the difference. Lecce will push hard, but the home side's form and key players should see them through to a slender win.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 23:22 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kialonda Gaspar
Assist: Gallo
N’Dri
Assist: Tiago Gabriel
Coulibaly
Kamara
Yellow Card
Alaba
Kamara
Zarraga
Goal cancelled
Ebosse
Chakvetadze
Ahmed Fatah
Geubbels
Maleh
N’Dri
Siebert
Match Statistics
Udinese
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5D. AlabaD
- 6Oier ZarragaM
- 8J. KarlströmM
- 9K. DavisF
- 11H. KamaraM
- 23M. VojvodaM
- 28O. SoletD
- 30G. ChakvetadzeM
- 32J. EkkelenkampM
- 40M. OkoyeG
- 77E. EbosseD
Substitutes
- 4S. LovrićM
- 13N. BertolaD
- 14J. AbankwahD
- 16M. PalmaD
- 20J. ArizalaM
- 24J. PiotrowskiM
- 27C. KabaseleD
- 38L. MillerM
- 41B. MrozekG
- 45G. VinciatiF
- 46Unai GómezM
- 59A. ZanoliD
- 91L. JovanoviÄF
- 93D. PadelliG
Lecce
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4Kialonda GasparD
- 7A. Ahmed FatahF
- 11K. N’DriF
- 14Y. MalehM
- 17Danilo VeigaD
- 25A. GalloD
- 29L. CoulibalyM
- 30W. FalconeG
- 44Tiago GabrielD
- 69W. GeubbelsF
- 79O. NgomM
Substitutes
- 1M. BleveG
- 2A. DembéléD
- 3C. NdabaD
- 5J. SiebertD
- 8S. FofanaM
- 9N. ŠtulićF
- 16O. GandelmanM
- 18G. JeanD
- 22Paco EstebanF
- 28Olaf GorterM
- 31E. ScottD
- 32A. BorbeiG
- 50S. PierottiF
- 77M. KabaM
- 99Joël MonteiroF
Udinese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Okoye | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Solet | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| M. Palma | D | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Vojvoda | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| D. Alaba | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| K. Davis | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| E. Ebosse | D | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Chakvetadze | M | 64 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Arizala | M | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Piotrowski | M | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Zanoli | D | 26 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Karlström | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 26 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 46 | 5.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Bertola | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Kabasele | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Padelli | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lovrić | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Vinciati | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Abankwah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. JovanoviÄ | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Mrozek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Miller | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lecce
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. N’Dri | F | 82 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Kialonda Gaspar | D | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Siebert | D | 8 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Tiago Gabriel | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Danilo Veiga | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| A. Gallo | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Kaba | M | 49 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Joël Monteiro | F | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Coulibaly | M | 41 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Pierotti | F | 21 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| W. Falcone | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Ngom | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paco Esteban | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Y. Maleh | M | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Geubbels | F | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ahmed Fatah | F | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Bleve | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Borbei | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Jean | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Gandelman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ndaba | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Štulić | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Dembélé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Olaf Gorter | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Scott | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Udinese vs Lecce?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Udinese to win against Lecce.
- What score did Fipster predict for Udinese vs Lecce?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Udinese 1–0 Lecce.
- What were the win probabilities for Udinese vs Lecce?
- Fipster's model gave Udinese a 47% chance of winning, Lecce a 26% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 47% confidence — a medium-confidence call.