Udinese vs Lazio
Lazio snatch late win at Udinese
Frattesi and Guðmundsson turn the tide after the break
Udinese took an early second-half lead through J. Karlström, but Lazio fought back with goals from D. Frattesi and A. Guðmundsson in the 75th and 88th minutes respectively to secure a 2-1 victory. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, as Lazio's late surge proved decisive.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with Udinese facing Lazio in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both teams have been busy in the transfer market, shaping their squads for the challenges ahead. With fresh faces and fresh ambitions, this match sets the tone for the campaign to come.
Key facts
- 1.Udinese have signed G. Chakvetadze and M. Vojvoda ahead of the new season.
- 2.Lazio have lost I. Provedel, Mario Gila, and M. Vecino during the summer transfer window.
- 3.Lazio have added P. Ratkov and free agent Pedraza to their squad.
- 4.Udinese loaned out T. Kristensen before the season began.
- 5.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of Udinese.
- 6.The halftime score is expected to be 0-0 or 1-0, indicating a tight match.
- 7.Both teams finished last season mid-table, setting up a balanced opener.
The context
Udinese have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of G. Chakvetadze and M. Vojvoda, while loaning out T. Kristensen. Lazio, meanwhile, have seen the departure of key players including I. Provedel, Mario Gila, and M. Vecino, but have added P. Ratkov and free agent Pedraza to their squad. These changes will influence how both sides approach this opening fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Udinese
Away — Lazio
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a narrow home win for Udinese, with a 1-0 scoreline the most likely outcome. The probabilities suggest a close game, with the halftime score expected to be goalless or 1-0, indicating a tight defensive battle. Both teams are evenly matched on paper, but Udinese's summer signings could provide the edge needed to break the deadlock.
Prediction
Expect Udinese to clinch a slender 1-0 victory over Lazio. The home side's fresh additions and tactical setup should be enough to secure all three points in this season opener, though the margin will be tight and the game closely fought.
The verdict
This season opener promises a competitive match with Udinese just shading it over Lazio. Fans can anticipate a disciplined contest where a single moment of quality might decide the outcome. A cautious but optimistic start for Udinese as they look to build momentum early on.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Piotrowski
Yellow Card
Piotrowski
Miller
Yellow Card
Isaksen
Yellow Card
Solet
Karlström
Yellow Card
Gómez
Karlström
Assist: Davis
Pinamonti
Isaksen
Bayo
Yellow Card
Frattesi
Assist: Zaccagni
Davis
Abankwah
Frattesi
Bertola
Yellow Card
Guðmundsson
Assist: Doekhi
Zaccagni
Match Statistics
Udinese
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 8J. KarlströmM
- 9K. DavisF
- 11H. KamaraM
- 14J. AbankwahD
- 23M. VojvodaM
- 24J. PiotrowskiM
- 28O. SoletD
- 32J. EkkelenkampM
- 40M. OkoyeG
- 46Unai GómezM
- 77E. EbosseD
Substitutes
- 4S. LovrićM
- 6Oier ZarragaM
- 7I. GueyeF
- 13N. BertolaD
- 15V. BayoF
- 27C. KabaseleD
- 30G. ChakvetadzeM
- 38L. MillerM
- 41B. MrozekG
- 45G. VinciatiF
- 91L. JovanoviÄF
- 93D. PadelliG
Lazio
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5D. DoekhiD
- 9A. PinamontiF
- 10M. ZaccagniF
- 11G. IsaksenF
- 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
- 16D. FrattesiM
- 17Nuno TavaresD
- 21R. BelahyaneM
- 24K. TaylorM
- 25O. ProvstgaardD
- 35C. MandasG
Substitutes
- 14T. NoslinF
- 22M. CancellieriF
- 23PedrazaD
- 28A. PrzyborekM
- 29M. LazzariM
- 33Ricardo BordonD
- 37J. ŠutaloD
- 40E. MottaG
- 63F. SerraF
- 71V. FarcomeniM
- 80A. GuðmundssonF
Udinese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Davis | F | 76 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| M. Okoye | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Karlström | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Ebosse | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Abankwah | D | 76 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Miller | M | 75 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/4 |
| O. Solet | D | 38 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| C. Kabasele | D | 52 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Vojvoda | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| V. Bayo | F | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 14 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Piotrowski | M | 15 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| N. Bertola | D | 14 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Mrozek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. JovanoviÄ | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Gueye | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Vinciati | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Padelli | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lovrić | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Chakvetadze | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lazio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Mandas | G | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Guðmundsson | F | 10 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Zaccagni | F | 91 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2/3 |
| D. Doekhi | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| D. Frattesi | M | 80 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/5 |
| M. Cancellieri | F | 37 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| O. Provstgaard | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Taylor | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| R. Belahyane | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Floriani Mussolini | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Noslin | F | 37 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Isaksen | F | 53 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Pinamonti | F | 53 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Šutalo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedraza | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Bordon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Farcomeni | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Serra | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Motta | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Przyborek | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lazzari | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Udinese vs Lazio?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Udinese to win against Lazio.
- What score did Fipster predict for Udinese vs Lazio?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Udinese 1–0 Lazio.
- What were the win probabilities for Udinese vs Lazio?
- Fipster's model gave Udinese a 35% chance of winning, Lazio a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.