Udinese vs Cremonese
Match recap
Cremonese beat Udinese 1–0 in their Serie A fixture. Vardy scored for Cremonese. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.31 for Udinese versus 0.49 for Cremonese. Udinese sit 10th in the Serie A table while Cremonese are 18th.
Analysis
As the Serie A season nears its climax, Udinese host Cremonese in a match where home advantage and recent form suggest a narrow victory for the hosts. Expect a tactical battle with limited goals but plenty of intensity.
Udinese currently sit comfortably in 9th place with 50 points, while Cremonese languish near the relegation zone in 18th with 31 points. Historically, Udinese have the upper hand, winning half of their recent head-to-heads without defeat. Cremonese's attack is weakened by injuries to key scorers, making their task even tougher.
Udinese's midfield dynamo Arthur Atta has been in fine form, netting 3 goals in the last 5 games, providing a creative spark that could unlock Cremonese's defence. Defensively, Udinese boast stalwarts like Oumar Solet and Thomas Kristensen, whose solid performances have kept the opposition at bay. Cremonese, missing top scorers Bonazzoli and Vardy, will struggle to find the net, especially against a disciplined Udinese backline.
Prediction
We predict a 1-0 victory for Udinese, with the only goal likely coming in the first half. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this outcome is high at 95%, given the statistical and form advantages Udinese hold.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Udinese missing key striker Keinan Davis
Davis is Udinese's top scorer but is injured, reducing their main goal threat; others must step up.
Arthur Atta's recent form boosts midfield creativity
Atta's scoring and assist form provides Udinese a creative edge in midfield despite other absences.
Udinese's defensive stalwarts outperform league averages
Solet and Kristensen show strong defensive metrics, likely to limit Cremonese's attack.
Udinese's positive scoring streak away from home
Udinese scored in last 5 away games, indicating strong attacking momentum on the road.
Cremonese's attack weakened by Bonazzoli and Vardy absences
Both top scorers are injured, reducing Cremonese's goal threat and aiding Udinese's defense.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Udinese's home advantage, superior form, and key player contributions make them favourites to edge out Cremonese in a closely fought match. Expect a tight scoreline with Udinese holding firm to claim all three points.
- Udinese have won 2 of 4 recent head-to-head matches against Cremonese, with 2 draws and no losses.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.3 goals, with Udinese scoring 7 and Cremonese 2 in total.
- Udinese rank 9th with 50 points, while Cremonese are 18th with 31 points, showing a clear quality gap.
- Udinese average 1.39 points per game compared to Cremonese's 0.86, indicating better form.
- Udinese's defensive duo Solet and Kristensen have above-average passing accuracy and duel success rates.
- Arthur Atta has scored 3 goals in the last 5 games, boosting Udinese's midfield threat.
- Cremonese's attack is weakened by injuries to top scorers Bonazzoli and Vardy.
- Udinese have scored in their last 5 away games, showing strong attacking momentum on the road.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Udinese
Away — Cremonese
No standout top scorers flagged for Cremonese
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Vardy
Penalty cancelled
Kabasele
Bonazzoli
Yellow Card
Barbieri
Yellow Card
Barbieri
Arizala
Bonazzoli
Red card cancelled
Kamara
Yellow Card
Miller
Davis
Kamara
Thorsby
Maleh
Vardy
Grassi
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Udinese
3-5-2Starting XI
- 8J. KarlströmM
- 9K. DavisF
- 11H. KamaraM
- 14A. AttaM
- 18A. BuksaF
- 20J. ArizalaM
- 27C. KabaseleD
- 28O. SoletD
- 31T. KristensenD
- 38L. MillerM
- 40M. OkoyeG
Substitutes
- 1A. NunzianteG
- 6Oier ZarragaM
- 7I. GueyeF
- 13N. BertolaD
- 15V. BayoF
- 22Branimir MlačićD
- 24J. PiotrowskiM
- 29A. CamaraM
- 33J. ZemuraD
- 90R. SavaG
- 93D. PadelliG
Cremonese
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1E. AuderoG
- 2M. ThorsbyM
- 3G. PezzellaM
- 4T. BarbieriM
- 5S. LupertoD
- 10J. VardyF
- 15M. BianchettiD
- 24F. TerraccianoD
- 29Y. MalehM
- 33A. GrassiM
- 90F. BonazzoliF
Substitutes
- 7A. ZerbinF
- 9M. ĐurićF
- 16M. SilvestriG
- 18M. CollocoloM
- 22R. Floriani MussoliniD
- 27J. VandeputteM
- 30M. FayeD
- 32M. PayeroM
- 55F. FolinoD
- 69L. NavaG
- 77D. OkerekeF
- 99A. Sanabria
Udinese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oumar Solet | D | 96 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Thomas Kristensen | D | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maduka Okoye | G | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassane Kamara | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lennon Miller | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keinan Davis | F | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jesper Karlström(C) | M | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Arthur Atta | M | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Juan Arizala | M | 60 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Buksa | F | 96 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Christian Kabasele | D | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Branimir Mlačić | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Nunziante | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakub Piotrowski | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Padelli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Răzvan Sava | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Bertola | D | 51 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Camara | M | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jordan Zemura | D | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
Cremonese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Vardy | F | 88 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Emil Audero | G | 96 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Matteo Bianchetti(C) | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Federico Bonazzoli | F | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Morten Thorsby | M | 82 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Giuseppe Pezzella | M | 96 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Youssef Maleh | M | 82 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Tommaso Barbieri | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Martín Payero | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lapo Nava | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikayil Faye | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Folino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Silvestri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michele Collocolo | M | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | D | 36 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Okereke | F | 36 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Milan Đurić | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jari Vandeputte | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |