Udinese vs Cagliari
Cagliari sneak past Udinese with Maldini strike
A solitary goal after the break secures a narrow win for the visitors.
Cagliari edged out Udinese 1-0 thanks to D. Maldini's second-half goal at 54 minutes. The match was a tight affair with the single strike proving decisive in this Serie A encounter. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed slightly from the forecast.
Outcome probability
As the Serie A season kicks off, Udinese and Cagliari prepare to face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing battle early in the campaign.
Key facts
- 1.Udinese have signed B. Mrozek, G. Chakvetadze, and M. Vojvoda this summer.
- 2.Cagliari have added H. Winks, Y. Sugawara (loan), and R. Gagliardini (free agent) to their squad.
- 3.Udinese finished higher in the league last season, ranked 10th with 50 points.
- 4.Cagliari ended the previous season 14th with 43 points.
- 5.Cagliari have an 82% aggregated probability of winning this match.
- 6.The most likely fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Cagliari.
- 7.A total of four cards is the expected modal number for this game.
The context
Udinese have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of B. Mrozek, G. Chakvetadze, and M. Vojvoda, while parting ways with A. Atta, T. Kristensen (loan), and K. Ehizibue (free agent). Cagliari, meanwhile, have strengthened their squad by signing H. Winks, bringing in Y. Sugawara on loan, and adding free agent R. Gagliardini, offset by the departures of S. Esposito (loan), G. Gaetano, and M. Prati (loan). Both sides will be eager to make a positive impression as the new season begins.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Udinese
Away — Cagliari
Analysis
Statistically, Cagliari hold a slight edge despite being lower in the league standings last season, with an 82% probability of an away win in this fixture. The predicted scoreline of 2-1 suggests Cagliari will start strongly, possibly leading 2-0 at halftime before Udinese pull one back. The match is expected to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards anticipated, reflecting a spirited contest rather than a dull affair.
Prediction
We foresee Cagliari clinching a 2-1 victory over Udinese. The away side's early dominance should set the tone, with Udinese responding late but falling short. Expect a lively match with four cards likely to be shown as both teams battle hard for points.
The verdict
This Serie A opener promises excitement as Cagliari look to make a statement on the road. Udinese will be keen to leverage their summer signings to turn the tide, but the prediction leans towards an away win in a closely fought encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Zaniolo
Yellow Card
Karlström
Yellow Card
Davis
Zaniolo
Maldini
Miller
Maldini
Rodríguez
Kabasele
Kamara
Romano
Mendy
Match Statistics
Udinese
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 8J. KarlströmM
- 9K. DavisF
- 10N. ZanioloF
- 11H. KamaraM
- 14J. AbankwahD
- 23M. VojvodaM
- 27C. KabaseleD
- 32J. EkkelenkampF
- 38L. MillerM
- 40M. OkoyeG
- 77E. EbosseD
Substitutes
- 4S. LovrićM
- 6Oier ZarragaM
- 7I. GueyeF
- 13N. BertolaD
- 15V. BayoF
- 30G. ChakvetadzeM
- 41B. MrozekG
- 46Unai GómezM
- 59A. ZanoliD
- 93D. PadelliG
Cagliari
5-3-2Starting XI
- 1E. CaprileG
- 2Zé PedroD
- 4A. RomanoM
- 6H. WinksM
- 8M. AdopoD
- 14A. DeiolaM
- 15J. RodríguezD
- 26Y. MinaD
- 31P. MendyF
- 33A. ObertD
- 70D. MaldiniF
Substitutes
- 9Kevin CarlosF
- 10J. FazziniM
- 12A. SherriG
- 20R. CiervoF
- 21R. GagliardiniM
- 22R. KoflerD
- 23B. RadunovićG
- 24G. AurelioD
- 27J. LitetaM
- 28Y. SugawaraD
- 32Ivan Stoyanov SulevM
- 35A. SugameleF
- 39A. FaderaF
- 79Y. MassolinM
Udinese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Kabasele | D | 71 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Enzo Ebosse | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| James Abankwah | D | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jürgen Ekkelenkamp | F | 87 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Jesper Karlström(C) | M | 87 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Hassane Kamara | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mërgim Vojvoda | M | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Lennon Miller | M | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Keinan Davis | F | 37 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Maduka Okoye | G | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Zaniolo | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Daniele Padelli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Bertola | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bartosz Mrozek | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sandi Lovrić | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Zanoli | D | 16 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Idrissa Gueye | F | 50 | 6.9 | — | — | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgi Chakvetadze | M | 42 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Cagliari
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yerry Mina | D | 87 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elia Caprile | G | 87 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Maldini | F | 59 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Zé Pedro | D | 87 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harry Winks | M | 87 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Obert | D | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Romano | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Michel Adopo | D | 87 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Alessandro Deiola(C) | M | 87 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Mendy | F | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Joseph Liteta | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roberto Gagliardini | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacopo Fazzini | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan Sulev | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raphael Kofler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Sugamele | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alen Sherri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boris Radunović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alieu Fadera | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Aurelio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Ciervo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yanis Massolin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yukinari Sugawara | D | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Udinese vs Cagliari?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Cagliari to win against Udinese.
- What score did Fipster predict for Udinese vs Cagliari?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Udinese 1–2 Cagliari.
- What were the win probabilities for Udinese vs Cagliari?
- Fipster's model gave Udinese a 2% chance of winning, Cagliari a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.