Udinese vs AS Roma
Match recap
AS Roma beat Udinese 5–2 in their Serie A fixture. Zaniolo and Palma scored for Udinese; Cristante, Mora, Malen, Ndicka, and Ghilardi replied for AS Roma. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.89 for Udinese versus 2.63 for AS Roma. Udinese sit 19th in the Serie A table while AS Roma are 3rd.
Outcome probability
As the Serie A regular season reaches its 10th round, Udinese face a tough challenge against AS Roma. The Giallorossi have been in fine form, and this clash promises plenty of action and goals.
Match factors
Roma's potent attack vs Udinese's fragile defense
Roma's top scorers have strong recent form while Udinese concedes frequently, favoring Roma's offensive players
Donyell Malen's scoring consistency
Malen leads Roma with 6 goals in 7 games, showing high scoring reliability
Roma's strong recent form and scoring streak
Roma has won 6 of 9 games, scoring 2.56 goals per game, indicating strong momentum
Udinese's key attackers out injured
Udinese missing key attackers Bayo and Gueye, weakening their goal threat
Paulo Dybala's creative influence
Dybala leads Roma's assists with 4 in 6 games, crucial for unlocking defenses
The context
AS Roma currently sit 3rd in the league with 21 points from 9 games, boasting a strong goal difference of +24. Udinese, struggling at 17th with just 4 points from 8 matches, face an uphill battle. Historically, Roma have dominated this fixture, winning 15 of their last 20 encounters against Udinese.
Key insights
Donyell Malen
AS Roma
Malen’s consistent scoring makes him the key threat against Udinese’s fragile defence.
Serie A 26/276 goals in 7 appearances, 0.86 goals/game
Paulo Dybala
AS Roma
Dybala’s creativity and set-piece prowess are crucial for unlocking Udinese’s defence.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 6 appearances, 0.67 assists/game
- H
Hassane Kamara
Udinese
Kamara’s tackling is vital for Udinese’s midfield resistance but may not be enough to stop Roma.
Serie A 26/2716 tackles in 8 games, 58.7% duel win rate
Analysis
Roma's attacking threat is spearheaded by Donyell Malen, who has netted 6 goals in 7 appearances, making him a constant menace. Paulo Dybala's creativity, with 4 assists in 6 games, adds another layer of danger. Udinese's defence has been leaky this season, and with key attackers Bayo and Gueye sidelined, their goal threat is diminished. The predicted halftime score of 0-2 reflects Roma's early dominance, with the fulltime scoreline expected to be 1-3.
Key facts
- 1.AS Roma are 3rd in the league with 21 points from 9 games; Udinese are 17th with 4 points from 8 games.
- 2.Roma have a superior goal difference of +24 compared to Udinese's.
- 3.Roma have won 15 of the last 20 head-to-head matches against Udinese.
- 4.Donyell Malen leads Roma's scoring with 6 goals in 7 games this season.
- 5.Paulo Dybala has provided 4 assists in 6 appearances, the highest for Roma.
- 6.Udinese are missing key attackers Bayo and Gueye due to injury.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 0-2 in favour of Roma.
- 8.Total cards expected in the match are around 4, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
Expect AS Roma to assert control early, taking a 2-0 lead into halftime. Udinese might pull one back in the second half, but Roma's quality and depth should see them comfortably secure a 3-1 victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Udinese
No standout top scorers flagged for Udinese
Away — AS Roma
The verdict
This fixture looks set to underline Roma's strong season form and Udinese's struggles. With key players firing for the Giallorossi and Udinese missing crucial attackers, the away win prediction is well justified.
Prediction generated 28 Oct 2026, 19:21 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cristante
Assist: Wesley
Miller
Yellow Card
Mora
Assist: Cristante
Malen
Assist: Soulé
Ndicka
Assist: Soulé
Zaniolo
Davis
Ekkelenkamp
Mora
Malen
Cristante
Yellow Card
Zaniolo
Palma
Assist: Kamara
Soulé
Wesley
Kamara
Karlström
Hermoso
Ghilardi
Assist: Castro
Match Statistics
Udinese
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 8J. KarlströmM
- 9K. DavisF
- 10N. ZanioloM
- 11H. KamaraM
- 14J. AbankwahD
- 16M. PalmaD
- 23M. VojvodaM
- 27C. KabaseleD
- 32J. EkkelenkampM
- 38L. MillerM
- 40M. OkoyeG
Substitutes
- 4S. LovrićM
- 6Oier ZarragaM
- 13N. BertolaD
- 20J. ArizalaM
- 24J. PiotrowskiM
- 30G. ChakvetadzeM
- 41B. MrozekG
- 45G. VinciatiF
- 46Unai GómezM
- 77E. EbosseD
- 91L. JovanoviÄF
- 93D. PadelliG
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4B. CristanteM
- 5E. NdickaD
- 14D. MalenF
- 15M. de RoonM
- 18M. SouléM
- 20N. MolinaM
- 22HermosoD
- 43WesleyM
- 86Rodrigo MoraM
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 95P. GolliniG
Substitutes
- 2D. RenschD
- 3K. KoulierakisD
- 9S. CastroF
- 23G. ManciniD
- 26L. BalerdiD
- 32D. VásquezG
- 61N. PisilliM
- 70G. De MarziG
- 77E. LulliD
Udinese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Zaniolo | M | 67 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1/3 |
| M. Palma | D | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 2/2 |
| H. Kamara | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| L. Miller | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | M | 56 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| K. Davis | F | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. JovanoviÄ | F | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Vojvoda | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| C. Kabasele | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Piotrowski | M | 23 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 34 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| G. Chakvetadze | M | 34 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| J. Arizala | M | 8 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Karlström | M | 82 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Abankwah | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Okoye | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Mrozek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ebosse | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Padelli | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Lovrić | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Vinciati | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Bertola | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Cristante | M | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Soulé | M | 79 | 8.0 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| D. Malen | F | 59 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 1/2 |
| E. Ndicka | D | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mora | M | 59 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Wesley | M | 79 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| P. Gollini | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hermoso | D | 84 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Ghilardi | D | 90 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| S. Castro | F | 31 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| M. de Roon | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Koulierakis | D | 6 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mancini | D | 11 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Rensch | D | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Pisilli | M | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| N. Molina | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| G. De Marzi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Balerdi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Lulli | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Vásquez | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Udinese vs AS Roma?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AS Roma to win against Udinese.
- What score did Fipster predict for Udinese vs AS Roma?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Udinese 1–3 AS Roma.
- What were the win probabilities for Udinese vs AS Roma?
- Fipster's model gave Udinese a 2% chance of winning, AS Roma a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.