Udinese vs AC Milan
AC Milan secures a solid win at Udinese
Pulišić and Hutchinson strike to keep Milan's Serie A charge on track
AC Milan claimed a 2-0 victory over Udinese in Serie A, with C. Pulišić opening the scoring early on at 6 minutes and O. Hutchinson doubling the lead after the break at 65 minutes. The Rossoneri controlled the match comfortably, securing a clean sheet on the road. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed slightly.
Outcome probability
As Serie A's regular season unfolds, Udinese face AC Milan in a match that promises tactical intrigue and competitive spirit. Both teams have contrasting fortunes this season, setting the stage for an engaging encounter.
Match factors
AC Milan's midfield creativity vs Udinese's defensive struggles
AC Milan's Rabiot and Chukwueze offer high assist potential against Udinese's leaky defense conceding 2.29 goals/game
Diego Moreira's scoring form boosts AC Milan's attack
Moreira's 3 goals in 4 games and strong minutes played make him a key scoring threat
Udinese's defensive injury woes weaken their backline
Key defender Abankwah is out, reducing defensive stability and increasing vulnerability
Udinese missing multiple attackers reduces scoring options
Confirmed outs Bayo, Gueye, and Zaniolo limit Udinese's offensive threat significantly
The context
AC Milan currently sit 7th in the league with 12 points from 6 games, showing solid form and a positive goal difference of +6. Udinese, on the other hand, are struggling near the bottom at 17th with just 4 points from 7 games and a goal difference of -7. Historically, AC Milan have a slight edge in their head-to-head record, having won 9 of their 20 meetings against Udinese, who have won 6, with 5 draws.
Key insights
- A
Adrien Rabiot-Provost
AC Milan
Rabiot's combination of goals and assists makes him a pivotal creative force for AC Milan this season.
Serie A 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 6 appearances
Diego Moreira
AC Milan
Moreira's clinical finishing with 3 goals in 4 games boosts AC Milan's attacking threat significantly.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 4 appearances
- J
J. Abankwah
Udinese
Abankwah's absence due to injury weakens Udinese's defensive stability, increasing their vulnerability.
Serie A 26/27Strong passing accuracy (88%) and defensive stats when playing
Analysis
AC Milan's midfield creativity, led by Adrien Rabiot-Provost, who boasts 3 goals and 2 assists this season, poses a significant threat to Udinese's defence, which has been weakened by injuries and defensive instability. Diego Moreira's impressive scoring form, with 3 goals in 4 appearances, further boosts the Rossoneri's attacking options. Udinese's injury woes, including the absence of key attackers Bayo, Gueye, and Zaniolo, limit their offensive threat, while their defensive frailties could be exploited by AC Milan's dynamic playmakers.
Key facts
- 1.AC Milan rank 7th with 12 points from 6 games; Udinese rank 17th with 4 points from 7 games.
- 2.AC Milan have a goal difference of +6; Udinese have -7 this season.
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan have won 9, Udinese 6, with 5 draws.
- 4.Diego Moreira has scored 3 goals in 4 appearances for AC Milan this season.
- 5.Adrien Rabiot-Provost has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists for AC Milan.
- 6.Udinese are missing key attackers Bayo, Gueye, and Zaniolo due to injury.
- 7.Udinese's defender J. Abankwah is out, weakening their defensive stability.
Prediction
The prediction favours AC Milan to take an early lead by halftime, with a 1-0 scoreline, and ultimately secure a 2-1 victory. Udinese are expected to respond but fall short against the more clinical Rossoneri attack. The match is likely to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Udinese
No standout top scorers flagged for Udinese
Away — AC Milan
The verdict
In summary, AC Milan's superior form, creative midfield, and goal-scoring prowess give them the edge over Udinese. While the home side will fight hard, the Rossoneri's quality and depth should see them through to a narrow but deserved win.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 17:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pulišić
Assist: Modrić
Ramos
Yellow Card
Karlström
Yellow Card
Piotrowski
Vojvoda
Kamara
Hutchinson
Hutchinson
Tomori
Davis
Karlström
Bartesaghi
Ramos
Loftus-Cheek
Modrić
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Udinese
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 8J. KarlströmM
- 9K. DavisF
- 11H. KamaraM
- 14J. AbankwahD
- 16M. PalmaD
- 23M. VojvodaM
- 24J. PiotrowskiM
- 27C. KabaseleD
- 30G. ChakvetadzeM
- 32J. EkkelenkampM
- 40M. OkoyeG
Substitutes
- 4S. LovrićM
- 6Oier ZarragaM
- 10N. ZanioloM
- 13N. BertolaD
- 20J. ArizalaM
- 38L. MillerM
- 41B. MrozekG
- 45G. VinciatiF
- 46Unai GómezM
- 77E. EbosseD
- 91L. JovanoviÄF
- 93D. PadelliG
AC Milan
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 5K. De WinterD
- 9Gonçalo RamosF
- 11C. PulišićM
- 13S. BocoumD
- 14L. ModrićM
- 16M. MaignanG
- 20O. HutchinsonM
- 23F. TomoriD
- 30A. JashariM
- 31S. PavlovićD
- 33D. BartesaghiM
Substitutes
- 2P. EstupiñánD
- 8R. Loftus-CheekM
- 28C. ComottoM
- 35V. VladimirovD
- 41L. P. BouyerG
- 42F. TerraccianoD
- 70A. CissèM
- 73F. CamardaF
- 80Y. MusahM
- 96L. TorrianiG
Udinese
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Palma | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Okoye | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vojvoda | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| L. Miller | M | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Kabasele | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| H. Kamara | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 3/5 |
| J. Karlström | M | 83 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| G. Vinciati | F | 7 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| G. Chakvetadze | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3/4 |
| J. Abankwah | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Piotrowski | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Davis | F | 83 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| J. Arizala | M | 26 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Ekkelenkamp | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| S. Lovrić | M | 7 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Zaniolo | M | 27 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Ebosse | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Padelli | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Mrozek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oier Zarraga | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Bertola | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. JovanoviÄ | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
AC Milan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pulišić | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2/5 |
| O. Hutchinson | M | 73 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Pavlović | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Maignan | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Modrić | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| K. De Winter | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Jashari | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Cissè | M | 5 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| S. Bocoum | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Loftus-Cheek | M | 18 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Tomori | D | 73 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Y. Musah | M | 17 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Bartesaghi | M | 85 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Gonçalo Ramos | F | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| L. P. Bouyer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Vladimirov | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Comotto | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Camarda | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Torriani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Terracciano | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Estupiñán | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Udinese vs AC Milan?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AC Milan to win against Udinese.
- What score did Fipster predict for Udinese vs AC Milan?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Udinese 1–2 AC Milan.
- What were the win probabilities for Udinese vs AC Milan?
- Fipster's model gave Udinese a 10% chance of winning, AC Milan a 79% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 79% confidence — a high-confidence call.