Twente vs PEC Zwolle
Twente rally past PEC Zwolle for solid win
A spirited comeback sees Twente overturn an early deficit to claim a 3-1 victory.
PEC Zwolle struck first through E. Sørensen in the first half, but Twente responded before the break with a goal from D. Weidmann. After the break, an own goal by D. Mbayo and a strike from D. Rots sealed the win for Twente. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the margin was a bit more comfortable than forecast.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Twente facing PEC Zwolle in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have been busy in the transfer market, shaping their squads for the challenges ahead. Fans can expect a competitive match as Twente look to leverage their stronger league standing from last season.
Key facts
- 1.Twente finished 4th last season with 58 points from 34 games.
- 2.PEC Zwolle ended the previous campaign in 15th place with 37 points.
- 3.Twente had a +19 goal difference compared to PEC Zwolle's -27 last season.
- 4.Twente averaged 1.71 points per game, surpassing PEC Zwolle's 1.09.
- 5.Twente signed Wout Weghorst and Anders Adelgaard over the summer.
- 6.PEC Zwolle signed Nick Viergever but lost three players including Jamiro Monteiro.
- 7.The predicted final score is 2-1 in favour of Twente.
- 8.The match is the season opener for both teams.
The context
Twente finished last season comfortably higher in the league table than PEC Zwolle, reflecting a generally stronger campaign. Over the summer, Twente have bolstered their ranks with the signings of Wout Weghorst on a free transfer and Anders Adelgaard, while parting ways with Michel Rots. PEC Zwolle, meanwhile, have seen the arrival of Nick Viergever on a free transfer but have lost several players including Koen de Rooij, Aaron MacNulty, and Jamiro Monteiro. These changes set the stage for an intriguing season opener.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Twente
Away — PEC Zwolle
No standout best passers flagged for PEC Zwolle
Analysis
Looking at last season's performances, Twente's superior league position and goal difference suggest they have the edge. Their points per game were notably higher, indicating more consistent results. The additions of Weghorst and Adelgaard could provide fresh attacking options, while PEC Zwolle's losses might impact their depth. However, the predicted scoreline of 2-1 indicates a tight match where PEC Zwolle will not be pushovers.
Prediction
The forecast is for a narrow home win with Twente edging PEC Zwolle 2-1. While the home win probability is only slightly higher than other outcomes, the 2-1 scoreline is the most likely winning result. Expect a competitive game with Twente just managing to break through PEC Zwolle's resistance.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this fixture sets the tone for both teams. Twente will aim to start strongly and justify their summer reinforcements, while PEC Zwolle will look to upset the odds despite their squad changes. A 2-1 victory for Twente seems the most plausible outcome, but the margin suggests PEC Zwolle will keep things interesting.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sørensen
Assist: Oosting
Weidmann
Assist: Ørjasæter
Mbayo (OG)
Mbayo
Oosting
Sørensen
Rots
Assist: Zerrouki
van Rooij
Pjaca
Thomas
Ørjasæter
Weidmann
Weghorst
van der Haar
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +15 | 16 |
| 3 |  Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 14 |
| 4 |  Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 10 |
| 15 |  Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 4 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Twente
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1L. UnnerstallG
- 3R. PröpperD
- 6R. ZerroukiM
- 7M. PjacaM
- 9W. WeghorstF
- 11D. RotsM
- 27S. ØrjasæterM
- 28B. van RooijD
- 29A. AdelgaardD
- 42D. WeidmannM
- 43R. NijstadD
Substitutes
- 4M. KjøløM
- 10S. LammersF
- 12Guilherme Martinho PeixotoD
- 14K. HlynssonM
- 16J. DrommelG
- 19Y. TahaF
- 20T. van den BeltM
- 22R. PasveerG
- 24K. KurowskiD
- 25Lucas Vennegoor of HesselinkF
- 37N. ÜnüvarF
PEC Zwolle
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. SchendelaarG
- 3O. AertssenD
- 8T. SommerM
- 9E. SørensenM
- 10K. KostonsF
- 11D. MbayoM
- 24N. ViergeverD
- 25T. OostingM
- 28S. GravesD
- 30R. ThomasM
- 33D. van der HaarD
Substitutes
- 4T. VelthuisD
- 6Jan BürgerD
- 16T. de GraaffG
- 18O. VelanasM
- 20G. ReizigerM
- 22I. CissokoF
- 26Jadiel Pereira da GamaM
- 34N. FichtingerM
- 37Gilles van der WalM
- 38G. RahajaänM
- 41D. VerduinG
- 42Dylan RuwardD
Twente
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daouda Weidmann | M | 80 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2/2 |
| Daan Rots | M | 88 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bart van Rooij | D | 69 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Ruud Nijstad | D | 88 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ramiz Zerrouki | M | 88 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Sondre Ørjasæter | M | 80 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 5/5 |
| Marko Pjaca | M | 69 | 7.0 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Robin Pröpper(C) | D | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lars Unnerstall | G | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aske Adelgaard | D | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Wout Weghorst | F | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Krzysztof Kurowski | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Younes Taha | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Naci Ünüvar | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathias Kjølø | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Remko Pasveer | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sam Lammers | F | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Joël Drommel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Peixoto | D | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Kristian Hlynsson | M | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Thomas Van den Belt | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
PEC Zwolle
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Thomas(C) | M | 78 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Elias Sørensen | M | 66 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Jasper Schendelaar | G | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thijs Oosting | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| Tobias Sommer | M | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Dylan Mbayo | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Nick Viergever | D | 88 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Koen Kostons | F | 88 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Damian van der Haar | D | 84 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Olivier Aertssen | D | 88 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Simon Graves | D | 88 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Dylan Ruward | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jadiel Pereira da Gama | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Bürger | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Givaro Rahajaän | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijs Velthuis | D | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duke Verduin | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom de Graaff | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilles van der Wal | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Fichtinger | M | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Cissoko | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Reiziger | M | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Odysseus Velanas | M | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Twente to win against PEC Zwolle.
- What score did Fipster predict for Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Twente 2–1 PEC Zwolle.
- What were the win probabilities for Twente vs PEC Zwolle?
- Fipster's model gave Twente a 38% chance of winning, PEC Zwolle a 31% chance, and a 31% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 38% confidence — a low-confidence call.