Belgium vs Türkiye
Belgium cruise past Türkiye with De Bruyne double
A commanding 3-0 victory sees Belgium comfortably outclass Türkiye in the Nations League.
Belgium put on a clinical display to secure a 3-0 win over Türkiye, with K. De Bruyne starring by netting twice, including an early strike at 10' and another after the break at 59'. R. Lukaku sealed the deal with a goal at 76', ensuring a dominant home performance. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a 1-1 draw, turning the fixture into a one-sided affair rather than the anticipated stalemate.
Outcome probability
Belgium and Türkiye face off in a League A fixture that promises a balanced contest. Both teams have shown mixed form in the competition so far, setting the stage for a tactical battle with goals likely on both sides.
Match factors
Belgium's attacking duo in form
Lukebakio and Godts both scored in recent away match, showing strong finishing and link-up play.
De Bruyne and De Ketelaere creative synergy
Both have 1 assist in last away game, indicating strong connection to forwards and chance creation.
Belgium defenders excel in passing
Ngoy's 95% passing accuracy surpasses league average, aiding build-up from defense.
Türkiye's defensive midfield pressure
İ. Yüksek's high tackles and interceptions could challenge Belgium's midfield control.
The context
In this League A round 3 match, Belgium currently holds a slight edge in the standings with 3 points from one game, while Türkiye have yet to find their footing, sitting with no points from one game. Belgium's record in the competition includes one win and one loss, scoring twice and conceding once. Türkiye have struggled, losing both their matches and conceding five goals while scoring just once.
Key insights
- D
Dodi Lukebakio Ngandoli
Belgium
Lukebakio scored in the last away match and boasts a 100% duel win rate, making him a key attacking threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 1 appearance, 32 mins avg, 100% duels won
Mika Godts
Belgium
Godts impressed with a goal and three shots in his last away game, showing strong attacking involvement.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 1 appearance, 83 mins avg, 3 shots last match
Kevin De Bruyne
Belgium
De Bruyne’s assist rate and passing accuracy highlight his role as a vital creative force for Belgium.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 1 appearance, 58 mins avg, 32 passes last match
Analysis
The probabilities for this match are finely balanced, with home win, draw, and away win all equally likely at 30%. The most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture. Belgium's attacking duo, Dodi Lukebakio and Mika Godts, have been in good form, each scoring in recent away matches and showing strong link-up play. Kevin De Bruyne and Charles De Ketelaere provide creative spark with assists, enhancing Belgium's attacking threat. On the defensive side, Belgium's Ngoy boasts a 95% passing accuracy, aiding build-up play, while Türkiye's İ. Yüksek applies midfield pressure with high tackle and interception counts, potentially disrupting Belgium's rhythm.
Key facts
- 1.Belgium have played 2 matches in this competition (W1 D0 L1, GF 2 / GA 1)
- 2.Türkiye have played 2 matches in this competition (W0 D0 L2, GF 1 / GA 5)
- 3.Belgium are ranked 1 in this competition with 3 points from 1 game
- 4.Türkiye are ranked 3 in this competition with 0 points from 1 game
- 5.Belgium have a notable points-per-game advantage (3.00 PPG) over Türkiye (0.00 PPG)
- 6.Draw outcome has the highest modal scoreline probability at 1-1
- 7.Halftime score predicted as 0-0, consistent with cautious opening exchanges
- 8.Four cards expected, indicating a competitive midfield battle
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with no goals, as both sides feel each other out. The second half should see more action, with Belgium and Türkiye each finding the net once. The match is likely to end in a 1-1 draw, with around four cards expected as the teams contest the midfield and defensive battles.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Belgium
Away — Türkiye
No standout top scorers flagged for Türkiye
The verdict
This League A encounter between Belgium and Türkiye looks set to be a tight affair, with both sides evenly matched in many respects. The predicted 1-1 draw reflects the balance of probabilities and the competitive nature of the teams' recent performances in the competition.
Prediction generated 28 Sep 2026, 20:43 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
De Bruyne
Assist: Lukebakio
Lukebakio
Yellow Card
Tielemans
Yellow Card
Yılmaz
Bardakcı
Yellow Card
De Bruyne
Assist: Tielemans
Lukebakio
Vanaken
Aydın
Aktürkoğlu
Demiral
Yellow Card
Elmaz
Godts
Lukaku
Assist: De Ketelaere
De Bruyne
Yellow Card
De Ketelaere
De Bruyne
Yüksek
Güler
Yellow Card
Ngoy
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Belgium
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1S. LammensG
- 4B. MecheleD
- 5M. De CuyperD
- 7K. De BruyneM
- 8Y. TielemansM
- 14D. LukebakioF
- 15N. NgoyD
- 17C. De KetelaereF
- 20H. VanakenM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 22M. GodtsF
Substitutes
- 2Z. DebastD
- 3A. TheateD
- 6R. LaviaM
- 9R. LukakuF
- 10L. TrossardF
- 11L. OpendaF
- 12M. VandevoordtG
- 13M. PendersG
- 16K. De WinterD
- 18J. SeysD
- 19M. FofanaF
- 23N. RaskinM
Türkiye
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1U. ÇakırG
- 2Z. ÇelikD
- 3M. DemiralD
- 6B. ElmazM
- 7K. AktürkoğluM
- 10A. GülerF
- 14A. BardakcıD
- 16İ. YüksekM
- 18O. AydınM
- 20F. KadıoğluD
- 21B. YılmazF
Substitutes
- 4E. TopçuD
- 5S. ÖzcanM
- 8E. TıknazM
- 9D. GülF
- 11I. FakiliF
- 12A. BayındırG
- 13E. ElmalıD
- 15O. KabakD
- 17İ. KahveciM
- 19Y. AkgünF
- 22M. EskihellaçD
- 23M. ŞengezerG
Belgium
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens | G | 90 | 9.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. De Bruyne | M | 82 | 9.5 | 2 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1/1 |
| B. Mechele | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. De Cuyper | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/2 |
| R. Lukaku | F | 29 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 82 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 61 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| N. Ngoy | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Vanaken | M | 61 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| R. Lavia | M | 29 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Fofana | F | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Openda | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Trossard | F | 15 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Godts | F | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 0/7 |
| A. Theate | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Penders | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Seys | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. De Winter | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Raskin | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Debast | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vandevoordt | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Türkiye
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Güler | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 8 | 4 | 5 | 5/8 |
| I. Fakili | F | 24 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3/3 |
| İ. Yüksek | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Z. Çelik | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Y. Akgün | F | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| U. Çakır | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| B. Yılmaz | F | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| B. Elmaz | M | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Aydın | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Özcan | M | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Gül | F | 23 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Aktürkoğlu | M | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Bardakcı | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Tıknaz | M | 5 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Topçu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kabak | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İ. Kahveci | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Elmalı | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bayındır | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Şengezer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Eskihellaç | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Belgium vs Türkiye?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Belgium and Türkiye.
- What score did Fipster predict for Belgium vs Türkiye?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Belgium 1–1 Türkiye.
- What were the win probabilities for Belgium vs Türkiye?
- Fipster's model gave Belgium a 23% chance of winning, Türkiye a 23% chance, and a 54% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 54% confidence — a medium-confidence call.