Tre Fiori vs Larne
- Aggregate:
- Tre Fiori 1 3 Larne
- Advances:
- Larne
Match recap
Larne beat Tre Fiori 1–0 in their UEFA Champions League fixture.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 Tre Fiori win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
Tre Fiori face Larne in the 1st Qualifying Round of the competition, aiming to reverse their recent fortunes. After two defeats in this competition, Tre Fiori look poised to make a statement with a commanding win.
Match factors
Larne's key players show strong scoring and assisting efficiency
D. Bent and M. Ridley each scored 1 goal in their only appearance; R. Doherty has 1 assist in 1 game, indicating high impact potential
Tre Fiori's defense may exploit Larne's disciplinary risks
Simone Rea's recent red card suggests potential vulnerability in Larne's defense under pressure
Tre Fiori predicted to rebound strongly at home
Despite recent losses, Tre Fiori's predicted 3-0 win suggests positive tactical adjustments and home advantage
No confirmed injuries for either team, full squads expected
Both teams have no confirmed outs, allowing strongest lineups and tactical plans
The context
Tre Fiori have struggled in this competition so far, losing both of their two matches and scoring just once while conceding three. Larne, meanwhile, have a mixed record with two wins and two losses from four matches, but have conceded ten goals, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
Key insights
D. Bent
Larne
D. Bent has an impressive scoring rate with 1 goal in 1 game, making him a key offensive threat for Larne.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 1 game, 90 mins played
M. Ridley
Larne
M. Ridley contributes offensively from defence, scoring 1 goal in his only appearance, posing a threat on set pieces.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal in 1 game, 90 mins played
R. Doherty
Larne
Creative midfielder R. Doherty has provided 1 assist in 1 game, highlighting his playmaking abilities and set-piece duties.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 assist in 1 game, 76 mins played
- S
Simone Rea
Larne
Simone Rea's recent red card suggests Larne's defence may be vulnerable under pressure, which Tre Fiori could exploit.
Analysis
Despite Larne's previous wins against Tre Fiori in their two head-to-head meetings, the prediction leans heavily towards a home win for Tre Fiori. The forecast suggests Tre Fiori will lead 1-0 at halftime and extend their advantage to a 3-0 victory by fulltime. Larne's defensive discipline could be a concern, especially with Simone Rea's recent red card indicating potential lapses under pressure. Tre Fiori's goalkeeper, M. Nardi, is expected to play a crucial role in keeping a clean sheet.
Key facts
- 1.Tre Fiori have lost both of their two matches in this competition, scoring 1 and conceding 3 goals.
- 2.Larne have played 4 matches in this competition with 2 wins and 2 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 10 goals.
- 3.In two previous head-to-head meetings, Larne have won both matches against Tre Fiori.
- 4.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Tre Fiori, consistent with the fulltime prediction of 3-0.
- 5.Tre Fiori's goalkeeper M. Nardi is expected to be key in maintaining a clean sheet.
- 6.Simone Rea of Larne has a recent red card, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities under pressure.
Prediction
The most likely scenario is a 3-0 win for Tre Fiori, with a halftime lead of 1-0. This reflects a strong home performance and tactical adjustments that should see them dominate proceedings and keep Larne at bay.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
The verdict
Tre Fiori look set to turn the tide in this tie with a confident and comprehensive victory. Larne's attacking threats, including D. Bent and M. Ridley, will need to be tightly contained to prevent any surprises. Expect a disciplined and effective display from Tre Fiori to secure progression.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 12:51 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Goal
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yellow Card
Unknown
Unknown
Unknown
Yellow Card
Unknown
Unknown
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Unknown
Tre Fiori
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 2A. D'AddarioD
- 4Brando SamiM
- 5Simone ReaD
- 6T. SykuD
- 9M. PrandelliF
- 10T. BernardiF
- 17M. NardiG
- 20F. BenedettiniM
- 23Martín CascajoD
- 24P. MengucciD
- 29R. BertaniM
Substitutes
- 3Mattia SancisiD
- 8L. CensoniM
- 12Federico PesaresiD
- 16F. DolciniM
- 25A. CastagnoliG
- 28Luca TerenziM
- 33M. BerardiG
- 76N. ManaraF
- 99Giulio PonticelliD
Larne
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1R. FergusonG
- 3M. RidleyD
- 4A. DonnellyD
- 5S. McClellandD
- 6C. GallagherM
- 11S. GrahamD
- 15R. DohertyM
- 23T. CosgroveD
- 26D. BentM
- 30M. LustyF
- 45M. GibsonF
Substitutes
- 2L. WallaceD
- 7C. McKendryM
- 14B. MageeM
- 17J. UkekM
- 22J. McEneffM
- 25D. SloanM
- 36Dylan GrahamG
- 47J. SimpsonM
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Tre Fiori vs Larne?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Tre Fiori to win against Larne.
- What score did Fipster predict for Tre Fiori vs Larne?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Tre Fiori 3–0 Larne.
- What were the win probabilities for Tre Fiori vs Larne?
- Fipster's model gave Tre Fiori a 85% chance of winning, Larne a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.