Toulouse vs Lyon
Lyon secures a solid win at Toulouse
Nartey and Fofana strike to seal a 2-0 victory away from home
Lyon claimed a 2-0 victory over Toulouse in Ligue 1, with N. Nartey opening the scoring after the break and M. Fofana doubling the lead late on. The away side controlled the match well enough to keep a clean sheet and secure all three points. Fipster's prediction of an away win was on the money, albeit with a slightly different scoreline.
Analysis
The new Ligue 1 season kicks off with an intriguing clash between Toulouse and Lyon. Both teams are eager to set the tone early, with Lyon looking to assert their quality against Toulouse in what promises to be a competitive encounter.
As the curtain rises on the 2026-27 campaign, Toulouse and Lyon prepare to battle it out in the first round of the regular season. Neither side has yet to make their mark this term, so this fixture offers a fresh start and an opportunity to gain early momentum.
Lyon enter this match with a stronger goal difference and a higher league finish from last season compared to Toulouse, suggesting a slight edge in quality. The prediction models favour an away win for Lyon, with a likely halftime lead of 1-0 and a final scoreline of 2-1. Discipline is expected to be moderate, with around three cards anticipated.
Prediction
The forecast points to Lyon clinching a 2-1 victory over Toulouse. The away side is expected to take an early lead and hold on despite Toulouse's efforts to respond. Fans can anticipate a closely fought match with Lyon edging out their opponents.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
This season opener sets the stage for what could be an exciting campaign. Lyon's predicted narrow win over Toulouse highlights their potential to challenge near the top, while Toulouse will be keen to bounce back quickly. Expect a spirited contest with goals and a few cards along the way.
- Lyon finished higher than Toulouse in the previous season's league standings.
- Lyon have a significantly better goal difference than Toulouse.
- The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Lyon.
- The fulltime predicted score is 1-2, favouring Lyon.
- Three cards are expected during the match, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Toulouse
Away — Lyon
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Schmidt
Yellow Card
Nartey
Yellow Card
Himbert
Duranville
Nartey
Assist: Šulc
Nartey
de Carvalho
Vignolo
Hidalgo
Diallo
Gboho
Bidstrup
Fofana
Assist: Tolisso
Schmidt
Tessmann
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Toulouse
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2R. NicolaisenD
- 3M. McKenzieD
- 7Julián VignoloM
- 8T. JørgensenM
- 9S. HidalgoF
- 10Y. GbohoM
- 12C. TapéD
- 16G. RestesG
- 23C. CásseresM
- 31N. SchmidtM
- 94I. DialloD
Substitutes
- 5S. KoumbassaD
- 11S. OppongF
- 13J. Russell-RoweF
- 19D. OdoguD
- 22R. MessaliM
- 28M. SakaM
- 37Y. AziziF
- 77M. SauerM
Lyon
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2M. BidstrupM
- 13Z. AthekameD
- 20F. BacherD
- 22Clinton MataD
- 24J. DuranvilleF
- 26K. BoudacheF
- 39M. de CarvalhoM
- 40R. DescampsG
- 45R. HimbertF
- 76M. OuédraogoD
- 99N. NarteyM
Substitutes
- 1D. GreifG
- 3N. TagliaficoD
- 6T. TessmannM
- 7E. NuamahF
- 8C. TolissoM
- 10P. ŠulcM
- 11M. FofanaF
- 17L. OpendaF
- 23T. MortonM
Toulouse
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas Schmidt | M | 70 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Rasmus Nicolaisen(C) | D | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Cristian Cásseres Jr. | M | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Thomas Jørgensen | M | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| Julian Vignolo | M | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Yann Gboho | M | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Mark McKenzie | D | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ismail Diallo | D | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guillaume Restes | G | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Christ Tapé | D | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Santiago Hidalgo | F | 70 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rafik Messali | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario Sauer | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacen Russell Rowe | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathis Saka | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sion Oppong | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seny Koumbassa | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ilyas Azizi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Odogu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lyon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton Mata(C) | D | 70 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rémy Descamps | G | 70 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Nartey | M | 69 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Felix Bacher | D | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zachary Athekame | D | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Kaïl Boudache | F | 70 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Julien Duranville | F | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mohamed Ouédraogo | D | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mads Bidstrup | M | 70 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathys de Carvalho | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rémi Himbert | F | 63 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nicolás Tagliafico | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Loïs Openda | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominik Greif | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pavel Šulc | M | 7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tanner Tessmann | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Morton | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ernest Nuamah | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malick Fofana | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Corentin Tolisso | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Toulouse vs Lyon?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Lyon to win against Toulouse.
- What score did Fipster predict for Toulouse vs Lyon?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Toulouse 1–2 Lyon.
- What were the win probabilities for Toulouse vs Lyon?
- Fipster's model gave Toulouse a 29% chance of winning, Lyon a 41% chance, and a 30% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 41% confidence — a low-confidence call.