Toulouse vs Le Havre
Toulouse edge Le Havre in five-goal thriller
C. Tengstedt's quick double sets the tone for a narrow home victory.
Toulouse secured a 3-2 win over Le Havre in a closely contested Ligue 1 clash. C. Tengstedt's penalty and immediate follow-up goal shortly after the break gave Toulouse a strong start, with J. Maja and M. Samatta pulling goals back for Le Havre. T. Jørgensen's strike restored the lead for Toulouse, ensuring the hosts defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win.
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Toulouse facing off against Le Havre in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, aiming to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Le Havre have strengthened their squad with three new signings including two loan players.
- 2.Toulouse have lost key players including C. Cresswell on loan and D. Sidibé released.
- 3.Le Havre finished lower in the league last season compared to Toulouse but have made notable summer additions.
- 4.The predicted scoreline is a narrow 1-0 win for Le Havre.
- 5.The match is expected to feature around three cards, suggesting a competitive but disciplined game.
The context
Toulouse have seen some departures including C. Cresswell on loan, D. Sidibé released, and D. Methalie transferred away. Meanwhile, Le Havre have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of A. Richardson and A. Touba on loan, plus J. Mwanga on a permanent transfer, while losing I. Soumaré and G. Lloris as free agents and M. Diaw to a transfer. These changes could influence the dynamics as both sides look to find their rhythm early on.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Toulouse
Away — Le Havre
Analysis
Despite Toulouse's stronger goal difference last season, Le Havre's summer reinforcements might just tip the balance. The prediction leans towards a narrow away win, with a 1-0 scoreline reflecting a tight defensive battle. The forecast also suggests a modest number of cards, indicating a competitive but controlled match.
Prediction
Expect Le Havre to take the lead by halftime and hold on to that advantage through to the final whistle, securing a 1-0 victory. The match is likely to be decided by fine margins, with Le Havre's new signings potentially making the difference.
The verdict
This season opener sets the stage for what could be an intriguing campaign for both sides. Le Havre's slim victory here could provide early momentum, while Toulouse will be eager to respond in their next fixtures. Fans should brace for a tactical and closely fought contest.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tapé
Yellow Card
Tengstedt
Penalty
Tengstedt
Assist: Jørgensen
Sigur
Yellow Card
Ouziad
Fofana
Sasso
Maja
Assist: Nakamura
Azizi
Messali
Tengstedt
Koumbassa
Yellow Card
Jørgensen
Assist: Cásseres
Nakamura
Yellow Card
Richardson
Maja
Samatta
Match Statistics
Toulouse
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3M. McKenzieD
- 5S. KoumbassaD
- 8T. JørgensenM
- 12C. TapéD
- 13J. Russell-RoweF
- 14N. SigurM
- 16G. RestesG
- 20C. TengstedtF
- 22R. MessaliD
- 23C. CásseresM
- 37Y. AziziM
Substitutes
- 6A. VossahM
- 7Julián VignoloF
- 9S. HidalgoF
- 11S. OppongF
- 15A. DønnumM
- 18M. AmougouM
- 19D. OdoguD
- 31N. SchmidtM
- 60M. NifloreG
Le Havre
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5A. ToubaD
- 7A. RichardsonM
- 9J. MajaF
- 12E. JelertM
- 15A. SekoD
- 20D. OuziadM
- 23V. SassoD
- 25M. SamattaM
- 26S. EbonogM
- 38R. FofanaM
- 93G. GallonG
Substitutes
- 6J. MwangaM
- 14R. NdiayeM
- 16A. BodartG
- 17K. MizutaM
- 27E. Koffi VinetteF
- 30S. NakamuraF
- 44I. BounebM
- 78D. MosengoM
Toulouse
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jørgensen | M | 90 | 8.4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/1 |
| C. Tengstedt | F | 72 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| G. Restes | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Messali | D | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 6/7 |
| C. Cásseres | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| M. McKenzie | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Oppong | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| N. Sigur | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| S. Hidalgo | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| S. Koumbassa | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Azizi | M | 72 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2/4 |
| J. Russell-Rowe | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| C. Tapé | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| A. Vossah | M | 18 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Niflore | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Dønnum | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Odogu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Amougou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Vignolo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Schmidt | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Le Havre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Maja | F | 82 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0/1 |
| M. Samatta | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| S. Nakamura | F | 21 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| D. Ouziad | M | 69 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| V. Sasso | D | 70 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Touba | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Seko | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| S. Ebonog | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| E. Koffi Vinette | F | 21 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Richardson | M | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| R. Fofana | M | 69 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2/5 |
| J. Mwanga | M | 20 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ndiaye | M | 8 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Bouneb | M | 8 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Jelert | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Gallon | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bodart | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Mizuta | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mosengo | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Toulouse vs Le Havre?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Le Havre to win against Toulouse.
- What score did Fipster predict for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Toulouse 0–1 Le Havre.
- What were the win probabilities for Toulouse vs Le Havre?
- Fipster's model gave Toulouse a 29% chance of winning, Le Havre a 42% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 42% confidence — a low-confidence call.